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Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Momentum

BVBFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Capacity
81,365
Surface
grass
Attendance
81,365

Teams

Coaches
Niko Kovač · Lukas Kwasniok
Position
3 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Benjamin Brand

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
9.1° (feels 6.0°)
Wind
7.1
Humidity
90%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Dortmund

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 6.57–5.86 · xPts 7.54

  • W A FC København 4–2 xG 1.67–0.94 UEFA CL
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–2 xG 1.45–2.34 GER BI
  • D H RB Leipzig 1–1 xG 1.07–1.28 GER BI
  • W H Athletic Club 4–1 xG 1.11–0.71 UEFA CL
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 2–0 xG 1.26–0.59 GER BI

FC Köln

DLLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.43–9.99 · xPts 4.25

  • D H FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 0.63–1.12 GER BI
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 xG 0.98–1.36 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 1–2 xG 0.76–2.02 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 1–3 xG 1.49–3.5 GER BI
  • D A VfL Wolfsburg 3–3 xG 1.58–1.99 GER BI

All meetings · 30 matches since 2005

Borussia Dortmund 197 draws4 FC Köln

Goals 67–27 · 3.13 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund 62 draws2 FC Köln

Goals 22–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund 50 draws0 FC Köln

Goals 14–2 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Köln 1–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 1–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–4 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 1–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 6–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 3–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 2–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 2–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 1–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund at home · 17FC Köln all · 34FC Köln away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.152.410.940.76
W / D / L22 / 7 / 513 / 2 / 27 / 11 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match2.062.351.441.12
Goals against / match1.000.941.851.94
Clean sheets44%53%9%12%
Failed to score6%6%12%18%
Both teams scored50%41%79%71%
Over 2.556%59%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.251.491.39
xG against / match1.251.081.661.88
xG difference0.581.18-0.18-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.230.10-0.05-0.27
xPts / match1.692.011.271.10
Points vs xPts0.460.40-0.33-0.34
Game state
Scored first76%76%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.502.621.571.60
PPG when conceding first1.001.750.500.42
Came back from behind54%67%38%43%
Leads held79%87%44%40%
Minutes leading42%48%19%11%
Minutes level46%40%51%55%
Minutes trailing12%13%30%34%
First goal (min)39344248
First goal conceded (min)48354442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%50%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%62%56%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.590.650.560.47
Late goals against0.350.180.350.41
Style
Possession53%56%47%46%
Shots13.114.813.411.7
On target4.85.44.73.8
Shot conversion16%16%11%10%
Shots inside box74%72%70%71%
Big chances created3.23.92.52.1
Corners5.37.24.64.4
xG from set plays36%38%27%29%
Goals from headers23%20%16%16%
Pressure index16.821.511.08.6
Dominant minutes55.464.542.835.8
Pass accuracy83%85%80%80%
Fouls11.611.58.38.1
Cards1.911.592.001.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.502
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 69% P 70%5.25Draw 18% P 18%7.5Away 13% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1Borussia Dortmund or Draw 43% P 44%1.16Borussia Dortmund or Cologne 41% P 41%3.0Draw or Cologne 16% P 15%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 56%2.25No 41% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 64%3.0Under 32% P 36%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%69%72%+3.5
Draw18%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Benjamin Brand

Career
102 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.01 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 59 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.15+0.3163
Fouls / match22.622.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.33+1.0593
Time added7.36.8+0.4078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 30 160 6'8
2025-09-20 · FC Köln 20 180 45'8
2025-08-23 50 241 5'7
2025-05-17 60 290 42'16
2025-04-26 · Borussia Dortmund 60 261 41'18
2025-04-12 70 260 37'3
2025-03-15 31 140 2'7
2025-02-28 80 250 39'3
2025-02-15 10 201 63'6
2025-02-02 40 160 45'9