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Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Momentum

BMGFCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity
54,057
Surface
grass
Attendance
54,042

Teams

Coaches
Eugen Polanski · Vincent Kompany
Position
18 · 1
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sascha Stegemann

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.9° (feels 6.4°)
Wind
9.7
Humidity
85%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 14 · xG 5.51–8.42 · xPts 5.03

  • L A FC Union Berlin 1–3 xG 0.83–1.9 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 0–0 xG 0.91–0.86 GER BI
  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 4–6 xG 1.52–2.4 GER BI
  • D A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 xG 0.89–1.38 GER BI
  • L H Werder Bremen 0–4 xG 1.36–1.88 GER BI

FC Bayern München

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 18 GA 2 · xG 14.78–3.06 · xPts 12.67

  • W H Club Brugge 4–0 xG 3.78–0.28 UEFA CL
  • W H Borussia Dortmund 2–1 xG 2.34–1.45 GER BI
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 xG 1.65–0.47 GER BI
  • W A Pafos FC 5–1 xG 3.42–0.45 UEFA CL
  • W H Werder Bremen 4–0 xG 3.59–0.41 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1010 draws20 FC Bayern München

Goals 49–77 · 3.15 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 22 draws6 FC Bayern München

Goals 10–20 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 00 draws5 FC Bayern München

Goals 2–13 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Bayern München 4–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Bayern München 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 17FC Bayern München all · 34FC Bayern München away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.412.622.65
W / D / L9 / 11 / 146 / 6 / 528 / 5 / 114 / 3 / 0
Goals for / match1.241.413.593.18
Goals against / match1.561.411.061.00
Clean sheets38%47%35%41%
Failed to score35%35%0%0%
Both teams scored41%35%65%59%
Over 2.553%53%94%88%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.392.702.47
xG against / match1.511.431.221.46
xG difference-0.16-0.041.481.01
Finishing vs xG-0.120.020.890.71
xPts / match1.271.342.151.95
Points vs xPts-0.150.070.470.70
Game state
Scored first41%53%65%53%
PPG when scoring first2.292.332.773.00
PPG when conceding first0.070.002.332.25
Came back from behind18%17%93%100%
Leads held64%67%90%93%
Minutes leading19%25%50%41%
Minutes level52%53%36%42%
Minutes trailing28%22%14%17%
First goal (min)48373240
First goal conceded (min)40423835
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%54%59%74%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%46%47%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.411.031.24
Late goals against0.350.240.320.24
Style
Possession47%46%67%67%
Shots11.611.519.216.8
On target4.14.58.58.1
Shot conversion11%12%19%19%
Shots inside box66%64%68%70%
Big chances created1.92.24.94.2
Corners3.83.36.45.1
xG from set plays34%39%23%22%
Goals from headers20%26%11%13%
Pressure index9.910.527.525.0
Dominant minutes41.942.874.268.6
Pass accuracy82%82%90%89%
Fouls10.810.68.89.1
Cards1.852.001.792.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

FC Bayern München

0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-5-22 6%0.51.01.50.961.29

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-133 97%2.673.611.02.721.2
4-3-1-21 3%1.03.03.02.21.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.3h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

11.0Home 9% P 9%7.0Draw 14% P 14%1.22Away 78% P 77%

Double Chance

4.0Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 12% P 12%1.1Borussia M'gladbach or Bayern Munich 43% P 43%1.05Draw or Bayern Munich 45% P 45%

Draw No Bet

7.01 14%1.12 86%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 63%2.25No 41% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.25Over 76%4.0Under 24%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.2Over 42% P 37%1.61Under 58% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home9%9%7%-1.3
Draw14%15%11%-4.1
Away77%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Sascha Stegemann

Career
194 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.14-0.5626
Fouls / match21.622.3-0.75
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.32-1.2215
Time added6.86.8-0.1241
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 40 270 6'9
2025-09-24 50 320 2'5
2025-09-19 20 281 40'7
2025-08-24 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 30 200 34'8
2025-08-21 50 370 12'8
2025-08-14 10 191 14'8
2025-05-17 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 10 6
2025-05-02 10 220 45'18
2025-04-19 50 270 39'7
2025-03-29 50 210 16'7