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Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Momentum

SGESt. Pauli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,500

Teams

Coaches
Dino Toppmöller · Alexander Blessin
Position
8 · 14
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robin Braun

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
9.0° (feels 5.5°)
Wind
7.5
Humidity
85%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 19 · xG 4.88–11.34 · xPts 3.83

  • L H Liverpool 1–5 xG 0.43–2.48 UEFA CL
  • D A SC Freiburg 2–2 xG 1.01–1.48 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.47–1.65 GER BI
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 1–5 xG 0.57–4.2 UEFA CL
  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 6–4 xG 2.4–1.52 GER BI

St. Pauli

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 5.59–7.3 · xPts 5.76

  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 0–3 xG 0.77–1.85 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–1 xG 0.97–1.8 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 xG 0.83–0.89 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–2 xG 0.94–2.09 GER BI
  • W H FC Augsburg 2–1 xG 2.1–0.68 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2010

Eintracht Frankfurt 42 draws0 St. Pauli

Goals 10–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 42 draws0 St. Pauli

Goals 10–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 32 draws0 St. Pauli

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D St. Pauli 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • W St. Pauli 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • W St. Pauli 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17St. Pauli all · 34St. Pauli away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.470.760.53
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 66 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.791.710.850.71
Goals against / match1.911.591.761.71
Clean sheets21%35%15%18%
Failed to score9%6%38%41%
Both teams scored74%59%56%47%
Over 2.568%65%56%41%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.480.990.85
xG against / match1.501.241.671.70
xG difference-0.150.24-0.68-0.86
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.14-0.14
xPts / match1.311.560.970.83
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.08-0.21-0.31
Game state
Scored first50%59%29%29%
PPG when scoring first1.942.201.701.40
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.290.09
Came back from behind43%33%17%8%
Leads held55%64%54%40%
Minutes leading25%22%13%12%
Minutes level46%49%50%47%
Minutes trailing29%29%37%40%
First goal (min)41495047
First goal conceded (min)35344034
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%62%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%62%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.210.12
Late goals against0.560.290.380.35
Style
Possession55%54%44%44%
Shots12.013.210.39.9
On target4.65.33.42.5
Shot conversion15%13%8%7%
Shots inside box67%68%59%57%
Big chances created2.52.71.71.5
Corners4.75.44.73.6
xG from set plays28%32%34%19%
Goals from headers12%10%24%25%
Pressure index12.813.48.46.2
Dominant minutes48.552.438.232.0
Pass accuracy83%84%77%77%
Fouls10.410.19.69.7
Cards2.062.121.681.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

St. Pauli

0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.173

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.44 · Behind vs level +0.29

St. Pauli

No pressure profile yet.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

St. Pauli

Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-118 53%0.890.831.891.011.79
3-4-1-210 29%0.81.01.71.241.61
3-5-22 6%0.00.51.50.691.33
5-4-12 6%0.51.02.00.371.94
3-4-32 6%0.50.51.00.430.85

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 58% P 59%4.33Draw 21% P 22%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 40% P 40%1.2Eintracht Frankfurt or St Pauli 39% P 39%2.25Draw or St Pauli 21% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 46%1.66Under 56% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%60%+1.3
Draw22%23%24%+1.3
Away20%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Robin Braun

Career
13 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.23 (4.0 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.5 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.54
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.624.15+0.8885
Fouls / match21.522.3-0.86
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.540.33+2.34100
Time added8.56.8+1.6796
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 40 161 24'8
2025-08-30 71 212 37'14
2025-02-02 71 210 34'9
2024-11-24 · St. Pauli 10 150 54'5