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Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Momentum

SVWFCU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity
42,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
42,100

Teams

Coaches
Horst Steffen · Steffen Baumgart
Position
12 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Daniel Schlager

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
8.1° (feels 3.6°)
Wind
10.8
Humidity
85%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Werder Bremen

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.82–10.85 · xPts 5.45

  • D A FC Heidenheim 2–2 xG 1.2–3.15 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 1–0 xG 1.8–0.97 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 0–4 xG 0.41–3.59 GER BI
  • L H SC Freiburg 0–3 xG 1.52–1.79 GER BI
  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 xG 1.88–1.36 GER BI

FC Union Berlin

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 9.26–9.64 · xPts 6.8

  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 xG 1.9–0.83 GER BI
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 xG 1.13–2.32 GER BI
  • D H Hamburger SV 0–0 xG 1.52–1.36 GER BI
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 4–3 xG 1.4–2.24 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–4 xG 3.32–2.9 GER BI

All meetings · 12 matches since 2019

Werder Bremen 51 draws6 FC Union Berlin

Goals 18–17 · 2.92 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Werder Bremen 41 draws5 FC Union Berlin

Goals 16–14 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 31 draws1 FC Union Berlin

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 4–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 2–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 1–2 FC Union Berlin neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 3–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 0–2 FC Union Berlin neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricWerder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen at home · 17FC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.121.151.00
W / D / L8 / 8 / 185 / 4 / 810 / 9 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.091.121.291.06
Goals against / match1.761.821.711.88
Clean sheets18%18%21%18%
Failed to score38%35%24%29%
Both teams scored47%47%62%53%
Over 2.553%53%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.421.371.17
xG against / match1.581.351.481.79
xG difference-0.370.07-0.11-0.62
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.30-0.07-0.11
xPts / match1.211.471.371.09
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.35-0.22-0.09
Game state
Scored first29%29%41%35%
PPG when scoring first2.102.602.212.50
PPG when conceding first0.430.500.330.18
Came back from behind25%33%29%17%
Leads held62%71%71%83%
Minutes leading16%17%18%10%
Minutes level41%38%50%54%
Minutes trailing43%46%31%36%
First goal (min)52545363
First goal conceded (min)35334343
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%74%66%72%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%52%53%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.500.47
Late goals against0.320.290.410.35
Style
Possession51%54%40%39%
Shots13.115.412.511.7
On target4.14.73.93.5
Shot conversion8%7%10%9%
Shots inside box62%63%73%74%
Big chances created1.71.92.21.9
Corners4.64.95.04.8
xG from set plays24%23%48%46%
Goals from headers19%32%21%18%
Pressure index12.617.09.18.5
Dominant minutes47.860.434.732.1
Pass accuracy82%82%72%72%
Fouls9.910.312.312.5
Cards2.472.592.151.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.01.940.21

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 41%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.3Away 29% P 31%

Double Chance

1.33Werder Bremen or Draw 35% P 34%1.28Werder Bremen or Union Berlin 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Union Berlin 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 48%1.72Under 54% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%54%+0.8

Daniel Schlager

Career
120 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.56 (4.36 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
23.0 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.624.14+0.8985
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.38
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.87 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.32+0.5874
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 40 220 54'4
2025-10-02 51 210 2'10
2025-09-20 31 230 16'13
2025-08-31 · FC Union Berlin 21 9
2025-08-28 91 320 20'9
2025-08-14 50 200 8'9
2025-08-07 10 200 73'14
2025-05-17 16 3
2025-04-13 · Werder Bremen 51 250 6'2
2025-03-30 20 180 45'7