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Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Momentum

St. PauliBMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
Capacity
29,546
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,546

Teams

Coaches
Alexander Blessin · Eugen Polanski
Position
14 · 18
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Hartmann

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
14.5° (feels 13.9°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
75%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

St. Pauli

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 10 · xG 3.9–8.41 · xPts 3.9

  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–2 xG 0.4–1.79 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 0–3 xG 0.77–1.85 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–1 xG 0.97–1.8 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 xG 0.83–0.89 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–2 xG 0.94–2.09 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 4.94–9.33 · xPts 4.34

  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.79–2.78 GER BI
  • L A FC Union Berlin 1–3 xG 0.83–1.9 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 0–0 xG 0.91–0.86 GER BI
  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 4–6 xG 1.52–2.4 GER BI
  • D A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 xG 0.89–1.38 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2010

St. Pauli 21 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 6–11 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

St. Pauli 21 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 6–11 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

St. Pauli 11 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 4–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • L St. Pauli 0–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D St. Pauli 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • W St. Pauli 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
MetricSt. Pauli all · 34St. Pauli at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.761.001.120.82
W / D / L6 / 8 / 204 / 5 / 89 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match0.851.001.241.06
Goals against / match1.761.821.561.71
Clean sheets15%12%38%29%
Failed to score38%35%35%35%
Both teams scored56%65%41%47%
Over 2.556%71%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.991.131.351.31
xG against / match1.671.631.511.59
xG difference-0.68-0.50-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.13-0.12-0.25
xPts / match0.971.111.271.21
Points vs xPts-0.21-0.11-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first29%29%41%29%
PPG when scoring first1.702.002.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.070.10
Came back from behind17%27%18%18%
Leads held54%67%64%60%
Minutes leading13%14%19%14%
Minutes level50%53%52%52%
Minutes trailing37%33%28%35%
First goal (min)50534858
First goal conceded (min)40454040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%71%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%68%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.290.380.35
Late goals against0.380.410.350.47
Style
Possession44%45%47%48%
Shots10.310.611.611.7
On target3.44.24.13.8
Shot conversion8%9%11%9%
Shots inside box59%61%66%68%
Big chances created1.71.91.91.6
Corners4.75.93.84.2
xG from set plays34%46%34%29%
Goals from headers24%24%20%12%
Pressure index8.410.59.99.3
Dominant minutes38.244.441.940.9
Pass accuracy77%77%82%81%
Fouls9.69.510.811.0
Cards1.681.821.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

St. Pauli

0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

St. Pauli

No pressure profile yet.

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

St. Pauli

Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-118 53%0.890.831.891.011.79
3-4-1-210 29%0.81.01.71.241.61
5-4-12 6%0.51.02.00.371.94
3-4-32 6%0.50.51.00.430.85
3-5-22 6%0.00.51.50.691.33

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-1-4-22 6%0.50.01.51.261.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.0Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.4St Pauli or Draw 33% P 35%1.28St Pauli or Borussia M'gladbach 37% P 36%1.57Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Robert Hartmann

Career
180 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.63 (3.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.974.14-0.5430
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.41
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.32+0.4367
Time added7.06.8+0.0956
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.37

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 50 270 17'10
2025-09-20 30 262 9'14
2025-08-23 80 340 26'14
2025-04-26 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 30 240 37'12
2025-04-05 31 220 4'6
2025-03-08 · St. Pauli 10 241 46'7
2025-02-16 20 261 62'9
2025-02-01 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 40 220 42'7
2025-01-18 40 211 9'7
2025-01-11 11 180 37'7