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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Momentum

BMGFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity
54,057
Surface
grass
Attendance
54,042

Teams

Coaches
Eugen Polanski · Lukas Kwasniok
Position
16 · 8
Formation
5-3-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Deniz Aytekin

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
13.0° (feels 12.3°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
74%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 6.75–8.88 · xPts 5.72

  • W A St. Pauli 4–0 xG 2.7–0.94 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.79–2.78 GER BI
  • L A FC Union Berlin 1–3 xG 0.83–1.9 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 0–0 xG 0.91–0.86 GER BI
  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 4–6 xG 1.52–2.4 GER BI

FC Köln

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.74–7.44 · xPts 5.49

  • W H Hamburger SV 4–1 xG 2.79–1.05 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–1 xG 0.59–1.89 GER BI
  • D H FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 0.63–1.12 GER BI
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 xG 0.98–1.36 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 1–2 xG 0.76–2.02 GER BI

All meetings · 30 matches since 2005

Borussia Mönchengladbach 156 draws9 FC Köln

Goals 56–38 · 3.13 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 draws4 FC Köln

Goals 21–22 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 draws1 FC Köln

Goals 10–10 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 5–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 4–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 1–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 17FC Köln all · 34FC Köln away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.410.940.76
W / D / L9 / 11 / 146 / 6 / 57 / 11 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.241.411.441.12
Goals against / match1.561.411.851.94
Clean sheets38%47%9%12%
Failed to score35%35%12%18%
Both teams scored41%35%79%71%
Over 2.553%53%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.391.491.39
xG against / match1.511.431.661.88
xG difference-0.16-0.04-0.18-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.120.02-0.05-0.27
xPts / match1.271.341.271.10
Points vs xPts-0.150.07-0.33-0.34
Game state
Scored first41%53%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.292.331.571.60
PPG when conceding first0.070.000.500.42
Came back from behind18%17%38%43%
Leads held64%67%44%40%
Minutes leading19%25%19%11%
Minutes level52%53%51%55%
Minutes trailing28%22%30%34%
First goal (min)48374248
First goal conceded (min)40424442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%54%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%46%56%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.560.47
Late goals against0.350.240.350.41
Style
Possession47%46%47%46%
Shots11.611.513.411.7
On target4.14.54.73.8
Shot conversion11%12%11%10%
Shots inside box66%64%70%71%
Big chances created1.92.22.52.1
Corners3.83.34.64.4
xG from set plays34%39%27%29%
Goals from headers20%26%16%16%
Pressure index9.910.511.08.6
Dominant minutes41.942.842.835.8
Pass accuracy82%82%80%80%
Fouls10.810.68.38.1
Cards1.852.002.001.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.502
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-5-22 6%0.51.01.50.961.29

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 47% P 47%3.75Draw 25% P 26%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.36Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 35% P 36%1.28Borussia M'gladbach or Cologne 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Cologne 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw26%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Deniz Aytekin

Career
307 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.87 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
19.4 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.014.15-0.4633
Fouls / match21.922.3-0.51
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.33+0.6582
Time added6.96.8-0.0244
First card
34' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.3

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 20 140 65'6
2025-10-19 50 210 33'11
2025-09-28 41 351 38'12
2025-09-12 82 191 19'12
2025-05-11 20 150 23'9
2025-04-27 50 201 20'12
2025-04-12 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 10 150 79'4
2025-03-29 41 150 19'8
2025-03-08 50 180 57'11