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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Momentum

SGEFSV Mainz 05
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,000

Teams

Coaches
Dino Toppmöller · Bo Henriksen
Position
8 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Matthias Jöllenbeck

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
11.1° (feels 10.5°)
Wind
1.9
Humidity
86%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

DLWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 4.79–7.31 · xPts 5.61

  • D A Napoli 0–0 xG 0.44–2.14 UEFA CL
  • D A FC Heidenheim 1–1 xG 1.13–0.81 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 1.79–0.4 GER BI
  • L H Liverpool 1–5 xG 0.43–2.48 UEFA CL
  • D A SC Freiburg 2–2 xG 1.01–1.48 GER BI

FSV Mainz 05

LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 9.93–8.19 · xPts 7.86

  • W H Fiorentina 2–1 xG 1.46–2.19 UEFA ECL
  • D H Werder Bremen 1–1 xG 1.38–0.58 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 1–2 xG 1.72–1.68 GER BI
  • W H Zrinjski 1–0 xG 3.55–0.1 UEFA ECL
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–4 xG 1.82–3.65 GER BI

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Eintracht Frankfurt 1214 draws11 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 50–47 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 44 draws2 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 15–11 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 21 draws2 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17FSV Mainz 05 all · 34FSV Mainz 05 away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.181.35
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 610 / 10 / 146 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.791.711.291.35
Goals against / match1.911.591.561.65
Clean sheets21%35%12%12%
Failed to score9%6%29%24%
Both teams scored74%59%62%65%
Over 2.568%65%53%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.581.41
xG against / match1.501.241.651.89
xG difference-0.150.24-0.07-0.48
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.28-0.06
xPts / match1.311.561.391.18
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.08-0.220.17
Game state
Scored first50%59%47%53%
PPG when scoring first1.942.201.811.89
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.590.75
Came back from behind43%33%33%40%
Leads held55%64%53%54%
Minutes leading25%22%28%34%
Minutes level46%49%43%36%
Minutes trailing29%29%29%30%
First goal (min)41493737
First goal conceded (min)35344444
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%48%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%57%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.260.18
Late goals against0.560.290.590.65
Style
Possession55%54%44%42%
Shots12.013.212.110.5
On target4.65.34.24.2
Shot conversion15%13%11%13%
Shots inside box67%68%76%75%
Big chances created2.52.73.23.0
Corners4.75.45.13.9
xG from set plays28%32%39%40%
Goals from headers12%10%18%22%
Pressure index12.813.410.98.9
Dominant minutes48.552.444.037.8
Pass accuracy83%84%75%74%
Fouls10.410.111.010.1
Cards2.062.122.242.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

FSV Mainz 05

0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223

Game state

When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242

Situations

At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-217 50%1.821.711.411.871.7
3-4-2-111 32%0.450.912.01.261.72
5-3-22 6%0.50.00.51.160.45
3-1-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.561.4
3-3-1-31 3%1.01.01.01.940.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 52% P 52%4.0Draw 24% P 25%3.9Away 24% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 37% P 38%1.22Eintracht Frankfurt or Mainz 38% P 38%1.9Draw or Mainz 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 45%1.8Under 51% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%53%+2.3
Draw25%25%23%-2.6
Away24%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Matthias Jöllenbeck

Career
72 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.15 (4.01 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.14-0.4337
Fouls / match22.122.3-0.25
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.8785
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
37' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 20 270 57'10
2025-09-28 40 241 67'10
2025-09-14 10 211 38'7
2025-08-23 51 252 22'13
2025-07-15 61 311 15'9
2025-05-09 20 210 43'7
2025-04-26 · Eintracht Frankfurt 31 230 48'7
2025-04-04 41 160 32'7
2025-03-15 60 240 10'7
2025-01-25 40 211 26'5