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Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

Momentum

FC KölnSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Capacity
50,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,000

Teams

Coaches
Lukas Kwasniok · Dino Toppmöller
Position
9 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Florian Badstübner

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
0.3° (feels -3.2°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
63%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Köln

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.42–7.97 · xPts 6.25

  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 xG 2.44–2.54 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 4–1 xG 2.79–1.05 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–1 xG 0.59–1.89 GER BI
  • D H FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 0.63–1.12 GER BI
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 xG 0.98–1.36 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.9–5.93 · xPts 6.81

  • W H FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 1.11–0.11 GER BI
  • D A Napoli 0–0 xG 0.44–2.14 UEFA CL
  • D A FC Heidenheim 1–1 xG 1.13–0.81 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 1.79–0.4 GER BI
  • L H Liverpool 1–5 xG 0.43–2.48 UEFA CL

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

FC Köln 1010 draws8 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 46–44 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Köln 35 draws2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 15–12 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Köln 22 draws1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 3–4 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Köln all · 34FC Köln at home · 17Eintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.121.291.12
W / D / L7 / 11 / 165 / 4 / 811 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.441.761.791.88
Goals against / match1.851.761.912.24
Clean sheets9%6%21%6%
Failed to score12%6%9%12%
Both teams scored79%88%74%88%
Over 2.565%76%68%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.591.351.21
xG against / match1.661.441.501.76
xG difference-0.180.14-0.15-0.55
Finishing vs xG-0.050.180.450.67
xPts / match1.271.441.311.06
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.32-0.020.05
Game state
Scored first41%53%50%41%
PPG when scoring first1.571.561.941.57
PPG when conceding first0.500.630.630.78
Came back from behind38%33%43%50%
Leads held44%46%55%44%
Minutes leading19%27%25%28%
Minutes level51%47%46%42%
Minutes trailing30%26%29%30%
First goal (min)42364133
First goal conceded (min)44463536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%63%56%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%58%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.560.650.380.35
Late goals against0.350.290.560.82
Style
Possession47%49%55%56%
Shots13.415.212.010.9
On target4.75.64.63.9
Shot conversion11%12%15%17%
Shots inside box70%69%67%66%
Big chances created2.52.92.52.4
Corners4.64.84.73.9
xG from set plays27%25%28%22%
Goals from headers16%17%12%12%
Pressure index11.013.312.812.3
Dominant minutes42.849.948.544.5
Pass accuracy80%80%83%83%
Fouls8.38.510.410.6
Cards2.002.062.062.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 34%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.35Away 40% P 39%

Double Chance

1.53Cologne or Draw 31% P 30%1.28Cologne or Eintracht Frankfurt 37% P 37%1.44Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 65%2.5No 38% P 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%31%-2.8
Draw27%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes65%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Florian Badstübner

Career
85 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.39 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.14-1.147
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.34
Fouls per card6.15.4+1.06 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.1933
Time added6.06.8-0.9611
First card
39' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 40 300 45'6
2025-10-18 20 200 6'8
2025-10-02 40 370 25'7
2025-08-22 50 260 34'11
2025-07-17 51 310 59'5
2025-05-10 20 210 25'4
2025-04-20 · Eintracht Frankfurt 30 140 71'4
2025-03-29 30 170 13'7
2025-03-01 10 330 53'2
2025-02-09 41 200 1'5