Rating 7.41 (96th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Momentum
– FSV Mainz 05TSG –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| FSV Mainz 05 | at home | Stat | league | away | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 55.2 #4 |
| 12.1 #13 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 14.1 #5 |
| 4.2 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #4 |
| 5.1 #7 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 11.0 #7 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 13.9 #1 |
| 2.3 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 15.3 #9 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.5 #7 |
| 100.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 108.2 #4 |
| 49.7 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 53.1 #4 |
| 370.8 #16 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 472.5 #8 |
| 2.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| 0.8 #17 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.4 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #14 |
| 1.6 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #6 |
| -0.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #11 |
| 1.3 #12 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 #6 |
| 1.6 #11 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 #13 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #8 |
| 10.5 #1 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.3 #16 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 3.4 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #10 |
| 9.2 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.7 #5 |
| 4.6 #15 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #3 |
| 2.9 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.4 #7 |
| – #10 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
TSG Hoffenheim · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.09 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Rating 7.12 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 7.18 (93th pct) · G+A 14 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.08 ppg with (26) · 0.88 without (8)
Absences
TSG Hoffenheim
- injury Dennis Geiger midfielder · Ill · 53 missed
- injury Ozan Kabak #8 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 59 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 11
Venue
- Stadium
- Mewa Arena, Mainz
- Capacity
- 34,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,400
Teams
- Coaches
- Bo Henriksen · Christian Ilzer
- Position
- 17 · 7
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-1-2
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- -1.9° (feels -6.0°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 88%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 8.22–5.66 · xPts 7.71
- L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–1
xG 0.11–1.11
GER BI
- W
H
Fiorentina
2–1
xG 1.46–2.19
UEFA ECL - D
H
Werder Bremen
1–1
xG 1.38–0.58
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–2
xG 1.72–1.68
GER BI
- W
H
Zrinjski
1–0
xG 3.55–0.1
UEFA ECL
WLWLLWLDWL 4W 1D 5L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 13 GA 16 · xG 15.33–13.91 · xPts 14.13
- L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–1
xG 0.11–1.11
GER BI
- W
H
Fiorentina
2–1
xG 1.46–2.19
UEFA ECL
- D
H
Werder Bremen
1–1
xG 1.38–0.58
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–2
xG 1.72–1.68
GER BI
- W
H
Zrinjski
1–0
xG 3.55–0.1
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–4
xG 1.82–3.65
GER BI
- L
A
Hamburger SV
0–4
xG 0.79–1.65
GER BI
- W
A
Omonia Nicosia
1–0
xG 1.93–0.49
UEFA ECL - L
H
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 0.59–1.26
GER BI
- W
A
FC Augsburg
4–1
xG 1.98–1.2
GER BI
TSG Hoffenheim
LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 8.64–5.85 · xPts 8.79
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 1.82–2.0
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
xG 1.46–0.85
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
3–1
xG 2.16–1.25
GER BI
- W
A
St. Pauli
3–0
xG 1.85–0.77
GER BI
- L
H
FC Köln
0–1
xG 1.36–0.98
GER BI
WLWLDLWWWW 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 21 GA 16 · xG 16.72–15.06 · xPts 15.13
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 1.82–2.0
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
xG 1.46–0.85
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
3–1
xG 2.16–1.25
GER BI
- W
A
St. Pauli
3–0
xG 1.85–0.77
GER BI
- L
H
FC Köln
0–1
xG 1.36–0.98
GER BI
- D
A
SC Freiburg
1–1
xG 2.42–1.23
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–4
xG 0.82–2.68
GER BI
- W
A
FC Union Berlin
4–2
xG 2.9–3.32
GER BI
- L
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
xG 1.32–0.98
GER BI
- W
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
xG 0.62–1.0
GER BI
All meetings · 34 matches since 2009
Goals 61–51 · 3.29 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W TSG Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- L TSG Hoffenheim 2–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 4–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- L TSG Hoffenheim 4–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 17 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 34 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.79 | 1.71 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 18 / 7 / 9 | 8 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.53 | 1.82 |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 35% | 18% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 59% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 41% | 71% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 1.74 | 1.71 | 1.56 |
| xG against / match | 1.65 | 1.40 | 1.46 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.34 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.28 | -0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | -0.60 | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 41% | 47% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.81 | 1.71 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.59 | 0.44 | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 27% | 47% | 60% |
| Leads held | 53% | 50% | 86% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 23% | 37% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 49% | 40% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 28% | 22% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 36 | 34 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 45 | 37 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 52% | 45% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 60% | 50% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 12.1 | 13.6 | 14.1 | 12.0 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 14% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 76% | 77% | 69% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 38% | 35% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 14% | 22% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.9 | 14.5 | 12.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.0 | 50.3 | 56.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 76% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 11.8 | 13.9 | 14.5 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 1.94 | 2.26 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073
Game state
When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013
Situations
At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154
Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 3-3-1-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 | 0.64 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.56 | 2.05 | 1.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 15% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.36 | 1.13 |
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.55 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.93 |
| xG difference | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.40 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.41 | -0.43 | -0.24 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.70 | 1.64 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.50 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 70% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 1.83 | 1.86 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 20% | 20% | 29% |
| Leads held | 75% | 50% | 57% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 29% | 40% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 34% | 54% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 17% | 20% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 27 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 44 | 40 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 40% | 43% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 73% | 65% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 44% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 16.5 | 16.3 | 13.8 |
| On target | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 8% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 72% | 60% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 29% | 35% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 21% | 12% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 13.8 | 15.2 | 13.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | 53.6 | 58.9 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 78% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 12.0 | 15.1 | 15.0 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.50 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'23
16–30'43
31–45'51
46–60'22
61–75'24
76–90'17
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 2.04 | 1.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.54 | 1.8 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.22 | 1.99 |
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 22 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 35 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 44 | 22 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 15 | 9 / 6 / 7 | 17 / 7 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.83 | 1.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.36 | 1.23 | 1.57 | 1.94 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 32% | 20% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 23% | 20% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% | 63% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% | 69% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.60 | 1.85 | 1.74 | 1.59 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.31 | 1.45 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.54 | 0.29 | -0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.44 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.71 | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | -0.21 | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 52% | 50% | 51% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.09 | 2.18 | 2.44 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.78 | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 36% | 39% | 46% |
| Leads held | 63% | 69% | 77% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 37% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 44% | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 26% | 21% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 40 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 40 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 55% | 44% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 56% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 56% | 55% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 14.4 | 14.8 | 13.0 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 67% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 38% | 40% | 33% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 16% | 22% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 12.1 | 14.2 | 15.1 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.3 | 51.5 | 57.6 | 52.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 12.4 | 14.1 | 14.9 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.86 | 2.29 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'68
16–30'129
31–45'187
46–60'135
61–75'711
76–90'815
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2412
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2135
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2935
Late push (76+, level)-0.1611
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0110
Game state
When ahead+0.1322
When level+0.2135
When behind+0.3318
10 min after conceding-0.1026
10 min after scoring+0.5528
Situations
With ten men+0.203
Against ten men-0.013
At home+0.0418
Away+0.3917
3 days rest or fewer+0.182
4+ days rest+0.2133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0713
v mid-tier opponents+0.4310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.325
As favourite+0.3318
Evenly matched+0.1112
As underdog-0.025
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2035
Conceded when ahead-0.1422
Conceded late (76+)-0.1530
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.11
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.14 |
| 4-4-2 | 7 20% | 1.29 | 2.14 | 2.43 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 11% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.97 | 1.24 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.61 | 1.21 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.45Home 38% P 38%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.7Away 35% P 34%
Double Chance
1.44Mainz or Draw 33% P 33%1.28Mainz or TSG Hoffenheim 37% P 36%1.53Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 31% P 31%
Draw No Bet
1.81 51%1.92 49%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 38% | 39% | 39% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 28% | +0.1 |
| Away | 34% | 34% | 33% | -0.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Sascha Stegemann
- Career
- 194 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.96 | 4.15 | -0.57 | 26 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.33 | -1.23 | 15 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.8 | -0.23 | 33 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 19' | 16 |
| 2025-10-04 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6' | 9 |
| 2025-09-24 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 2' | 5 |
| 2025-09-19 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 40' | 7 |
| 2025-08-24 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2025-08-21 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12' | 8 |
| 2025-08-14 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 14' | 8 |
| 2025-05-17 | – | – | 10 | – | – | 6 |
| 2025-05-02 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 45' | 18 |
| 2025-04-19 · TSG Hoffenheim | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 39' | 7 |