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Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

Momentum

BVBVFB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Capacity
81,365
Surface
grass
Attendance
81,365

Teams

Coaches
Niko Kovač · Sebastian Hoeneß
Position
3 · 4
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Benjamin Brand

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
1.6° (feels -1.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
66%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Dortmund

WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.35–4.65 · xPts 7.92

  • D A Hamburger SV 1–1 xG 1.02–0.57 GER BI
  • L A Manchester City 1–4 xG 1.33–1.59 UEFA CL
  • W A FC Augsburg 1–0 xG 0.43–0.96 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 1–0 xG 1.89–0.59 GER BI
  • W A FC København 4–2 xG 1.67–0.94 UEFA CL

VfB Stuttgart

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 7.9–7.96 · xPts 6.88

  • W H FC Augsburg 3–2 xG 2.6–1.54 GER BI
  • W H Feyenoord 2–0 xG 1.48–0.84 UEFA EL
  • L A RB Leipzig 1–3 xG 1.15–1.85 GER BI
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 2–1 xG 1.68–1.72 GER BI
  • L A Fenerbahçe 0–1 xG 0.99–2.02 UEFA EL

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Borussia Dortmund 1910 draws9 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 81–55 · 3.58 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 74%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund 42 draws4 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 20–17 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund 11 draws3 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 1–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 5–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 0–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfB Stuttgart 3–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 5–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 2–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund at home · 17VfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.152.411.821.35
W / D / L22 / 7 / 513 / 2 / 218 / 8 / 86 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match2.062.352.092.41
Goals against / match1.000.941.441.94
Clean sheets44%53%32%18%
Failed to score6%6%9%0%
Both teams scored50%41%62%82%
Over 2.556%59%74%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.251.801.61
xG against / match1.251.081.541.89
xG difference0.581.180.26-0.28
Finishing vs xG0.230.100.280.80
xPts / match1.692.011.581.30
Points vs xPts0.460.400.240.05
Game state
Scored first76%76%53%53%
PPG when scoring first2.502.622.331.89
PPG when conceding first1.001.751.270.75
Came back from behind54%67%56%46%
Leads held79%87%75%54%
Minutes leading42%48%32%34%
Minutes level46%40%47%36%
Minutes trailing12%13%21%30%
First goal (min)39344038
First goal conceded (min)48353838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%50%54%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%62%53%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.590.650.650.76
Late goals against0.350.180.500.53
Style
Possession53%56%58%57%
Shots13.114.815.213.8
On target4.85.46.16.0
Shot conversion16%16%14%18%
Shots inside box74%72%66%66%
Big chances created3.23.93.32.9
Corners5.37.25.75.5
xG from set plays36%38%24%26%
Goals from headers23%20%9%8%
Pressure index16.821.519.220.8
Dominant minutes55.464.561.559.6
Pass accuracy83%85%84%84%
Fouls11.611.59.69.9
Cards1.911.591.911.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 53%3.9Draw 24% P 25%4.2Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Borussia Dortmund or Draw 39% P 39%1.25Borussia Dortmund or VfB Stuttgart 38% P 38%2.0Draw or VfB Stuttgart 24% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 61%2.25No 41% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw25%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Benjamin Brand

Career
102 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.01 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 59 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.344.14+0.2763
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.39
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.28 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.8889
Time added7.36.8+0.4078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-09 40 200 81'8
2025-10-25 · Borussia Dortmund 40 180 44'11
2025-10-04 30 160 6'8
2025-09-20 20 180 45'8
2025-08-23 50 241 5'7
2025-05-17 60 290 42'16
2025-04-26 · Borussia Dortmund 60 261 41'18
2025-04-12 70 260 37'3
2025-03-15 31 140 2'7
2025-02-28 · VfB Stuttgart 80 250 39'3