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Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

Momentum

WOBB04
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Capacity
30,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,036

Teams

Coaches
Daniel Bauer · Kasper Hjulmand
Position
15 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Hartmann

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
0.3° (feels -2.9°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
86%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfL Wolfsburg

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 3.87–9.59 · xPts 3.5

  • L A Werder Bremen 1–2 xG 0.66–1.64 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 xG 0.85–1.46 GER BI
  • W A Hamburger SV 1–0 xG 0.57–3.17 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 0–3 xG 0.46–1.63 GER BI
  • L A FC Augsburg 1–3 xG 1.32–1.69 GER BI

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 8.32–6.9 · xPts 7.25

  • W H FC Heidenheim 6–0 xG 3.46–0.09 GER BI
  • W A Benfica 1–0 xG 0.64–1.88 UEFA CL
  • L A FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.58–1.86 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 2–0 xG 1.82–0.7 GER BI
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 2–7 xG 1.82–2.37 UEFA CL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

VfL Wolfsburg 139 draws20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 66–83 · 3.55 per match · BTTS 69% · over 2.5 74%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 13 draws6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 12–21 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 01 draws4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 7–15 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6–3 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–3 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg at home · 17Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.850.591.741.65
W / D / L7 / 8 / 192 / 4 / 1117 / 8 / 98 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.321.242.001.76
Goals against / match2.031.881.381.65
Clean sheets6%6%24%12%
Failed to score24%29%12%24%
Both teams scored74%71%65%65%
Over 2.565%65%59%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.581.911.40
xG against / match1.891.691.401.71
xG difference-0.50-0.110.51-0.30
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.350.090.36
xPts / match1.141.341.651.21
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.750.080.44
Game state
Scored first53%35%65%59%
PPG when scoring first1.441.172.232.30
PPG when conceding first0.130.200.830.71
Came back from behind10%15%40%38%
Leads held35%25%68%67%
Minutes leading27%18%40%39%
Minutes level43%48%39%36%
Minutes trailing30%34%20%25%
First goal (min)35383429
First goal conceded (min)43383934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%57%41%30%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%45%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.240.350.24
Late goals against0.560.470.260.35
Style
Possession45%48%59%57%
Shots11.913.615.211.7
On target4.24.75.23.8
Shot conversion11%9%13%15%
Shots inside box64%66%64%61%
Big chances created2.63.03.73.1
Corners4.45.45.64.5
xG from set plays32%32%27%26%
Goals from headers25%33%19%14%
Pressure index9.112.716.111.6
Dominant minutes38.146.357.149.4
Pass accuracy78%80%88%87%
Fouls11.512.18.68.5
Cards2.152.292.182.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-131 91%1.842.01.231.971.37
4-2-3-12 6%1.03.03.01.761.64
5-4-11 3%0.00.03.00.581.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 28%3.8Draw 25% P 25%2.0Away 47% P 48%

Double Chance

1.8Wolfsburg or Draw 26% P 26%1.25Wolfsburg or Bayer Leverkusen 38% P 38%1.3Draw or Bayer Leverkusen 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 66%2.62No 35% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 64%2.5Under 38% P 36%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 45–50% · 1,022 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%27%27%+0.5
Draw25%26%27%+0.4
Away48%47%46%-1.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Robert Hartmann

Career
180 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.63 (3.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.974.14-0.5430
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.41
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.32+0.4367
Time added7.06.8+0.0956
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.37

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 40 190 18'8
2025-10-05 50 270 17'10
2025-09-20 30 262 9'14
2025-08-23 80 340 26'14
2025-04-26 30 240 37'12
2025-04-05 31 220 4'6
2025-03-08 · VfL Wolfsburg 10 241 46'7
2025-02-16 20 261 62'9
2025-02-01 40 220 42'7
2025-01-18 40 211 9'7