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Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Momentum

FCUHeidenheim
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Capacity
22,012
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,012

Teams

Coaches
Steffen Baumgart · Frank Schmidt
Position
8 · 18
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Patrick Ittrich

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.7° (feels 4.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
94%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Union Berlin

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 5.2–5.0 · xPts 6.7

  • W A St. Pauli 1–0 xG 0.44–0.73 GER BI
  • D H FC Bayern München 2–2 xG 0.92–1.09 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 0–0 xG 1.27–1.27 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–1 xG 0.67–1.09 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 xG 1.9–0.83 GER BI

Heidenheim

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 15 · xG 5.83–10.24 · xPts 4.75

  • L H Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 xG 0.52–2.28 GER BI
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–6 xG 0.09–3.46 GER BI
  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 xG 0.81–1.13 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 xG 1.25–2.16 GER BI
  • D H Werder Bremen 2–2 xG 3.15–1.2 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

FC Union Berlin 01 draws5 Heidenheim

Goals 4–13 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 6 matches

FC Union Berlin 01 draws5 Heidenheim

Goals 4–13 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Union Berlin 01 draws4 Heidenheim

Goals 4–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Heidenheim 3–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 1–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 0–3 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 2–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 2–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 1–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin at home · 17Heidenheim all · 34Heidenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.290.760.53
W / D / L10 / 9 / 155 / 7 / 56 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.291.531.211.06
Goals against / match1.711.532.122.06
Clean sheets21%24%3%0%
Failed to score24%18%35%35%
Both teams scored62%71%62%65%
Over 2.562%71%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.561.361.27
xG against / match1.481.161.911.89
xG difference-0.110.40-0.55-0.62
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.03-0.16-0.21
xPts / match1.371.641.101.04
Points vs xPts-0.22-0.35-0.33-0.51
Game state
Scored first41%47%24%18%
PPG when scoring first2.212.002.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.330.570.380.29
Came back from behind29%44%23%14%
Leads held71%62%46%33%
Minutes leading18%27%15%12%
Minutes level50%47%48%50%
Minutes trailing31%26%37%39%
First goal (min)53454553
First goal conceded (min)43443941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%62%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%58%54%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.530.320.24
Late goals against0.410.470.440.35
Style
Possession40%41%42%43%
Shots12.513.211.411.3
On target3.94.43.63.3
Shot conversion10%12%11%9%
Shots inside box73%71%69%72%
Big chances created2.22.52.52.4
Corners5.05.24.54.4
xG from set plays48%50%33%27%
Goals from headers21%23%15%17%
Pressure index9.19.87.78.0
Dominant minutes34.737.335.333.2
Pass accuracy72%70%76%76%
Fouls12.312.19.810.3
Cards2.152.591.441.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Union Berlin · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.524
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.504
When behind-0.044
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
Away-0.322
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
Evenly matched-0.052
As underdog-0.322

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.46

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.01.940.21

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 61% P 60%3.9Draw 24% P 25%6.5Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.11Union Berlin or Draw 42% P 42%1.25Union Berlin or Heidenheim 37% P 38%2.3Draw or Heidenheim 20% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 43%1.66No 56% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw25%23%23%+0.7
Away15%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Patrick Ittrich

Career
94 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (4.03 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.714.15-1.127
Fouls / match24.122.3+1.54
Fouls per card6.75.4+1.86 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.33+0.3059
Time added6.76.8-0.2333
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.47

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 50 180 6'10
2025-10-18 · Heidenheim 40 200 11'12