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Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Momentum

BMGRB Leipzig
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity
54,057
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,029

Teams

Coaches
Eugen Polanski · Ole Werner
Position
11 · 2
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Timo Gerach

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.8° (feels 7.3°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
97%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 9.14–8.59 · xPts 7.37

  • W A FC Heidenheim 3–0 xG 2.28–0.52 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 3–1 xG 2.54–2.44 GER BI
  • W A St. Pauli 4–0 xG 2.7–0.94 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.79–2.78 GER BI
  • L A FC Union Berlin 1–3 xG 0.83–1.9 GER BI

RB Leipzig

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 9.67–6.25 · xPts 9.03

  • W H Werder Bremen 2–0 xG 2.32–1.03 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 xG 2.0–1.82 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 3–1 xG 1.85–1.15 GER BI
  • W A FC Augsburg 6–0 xG 2.27–0.73 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 2–1 xG 1.23–1.51 GER BI

All meetings · 21 matches since 2016

Borussia Mönchengladbach 45 draws12 RB Leipzig

Goals 19–33 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 32 draws5 RB Leipzig

Goals 7–11 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 10% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 12 draws2 RB Leipzig

Goals 1–4 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • D RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 17RB Leipzig all · 34RB Leipzig away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.411.911.59
W / D / L9 / 11 / 146 / 6 / 520 / 5 / 98 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.241.411.941.53
Goals against / match1.561.411.381.59
Clean sheets38%47%32%29%
Failed to score35%35%9%18%
Both teams scored41%35%62%59%
Over 2.553%53%71%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.392.071.70
xG against / match1.511.431.421.40
xG difference-0.16-0.040.650.30
Finishing vs xG-0.120.02-0.13-0.17
xPts / match1.271.341.761.55
Points vs xPts-0.150.070.160.04
Game state
Scored first41%53%74%59%
PPG when scoring first2.292.332.282.30
PPG when conceding first0.070.000.870.50
Came back from behind18%17%25%14%
Leads held64%67%74%73%
Minutes leading19%25%37%32%
Minutes level52%53%47%47%
Minutes trailing28%22%16%21%
First goal (min)48373834
First goal conceded (min)40424843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%54%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%46%64%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.290.12
Late goals against0.350.240.440.41
Style
Possession47%46%54%52%
Shots11.611.515.814.3
On target4.14.56.04.7
Shot conversion11%12%12%11%
Shots inside box66%64%72%65%
Big chances created1.92.23.62.6
Corners3.83.35.34.7
xG from set plays34%39%22%20%
Goals from headers20%26%14%8%
Pressure index9.910.516.112.2
Dominant minutes41.942.854.547.1
Pass accuracy82%82%84%83%
Fouls10.810.69.310.4
Cards1.852.001.531.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

RB Leipzig

0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252

Game state

When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404

Situations

At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672

Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-5-22 6%0.51.01.50.961.29

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-329 85%1.831.931.482.011.42
4-2-3-13 9%3.02.00.332.511.22
4-1-4-11 3%3.03.01.02.531.26
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.922.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 33% P 33%3.75Draw 25% P 25%2.25Away 42% P 41%

Double Chance

1.66Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 28% P 29%1.25Borussia M'gladbach or RB Leipzig 38% P 37%1.4Draw or RB Leipzig 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.4Yes 66% P 66%2.75No 34% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 64%2.75Under 34% P 36%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw25%26%30%+4.7
Away41%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Timo Gerach

Career
30 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.43 (4.13 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 29 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.14+0.6774
Fouls / match20.922.3-1.39
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.32+1.7596
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
36' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 40 261 7'8
2025-09-20 70 202 35'10
2025-08-30 50 240 45'9
2025-05-11 21 160 12'9
2025-04-13 20 130 30'2
2025-03-15 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 172 6'9
2025-02-22 50 230 7'6
2025-01-15 20 181 61'7
2024-12-08 70 250 21'7