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Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Momentum

SGEWOB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
58,000

Teams

Coaches
Dino Toppmöller · Daniel Bauer
Position
7 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Harm Osmers

Weather

Conditions
shower rain
Temperature
7.1° (feels 4.6°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
94%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.67–7.47 · xPts 6.3

  • L H Atalanta 0–3 xG 1.02–2.91 UEFA CL
  • W A FC Köln 4–3 xG 1.98–1.51 GER BI
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 1.11–0.11 GER BI
  • D A Napoli 0–0 xG 0.44–2.14 UEFA CL
  • D A FC Heidenheim 1–1 xG 1.13–0.81 GER BI

VfL Wolfsburg

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 4.77–8.67 · xPts 4.65

  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 2.22–0.77 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 1–2 xG 0.66–1.64 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 xG 0.85–1.46 GER BI
  • W A Hamburger SV 1–0 xG 0.57–3.17 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 0–3 xG 0.46–1.63 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Eintracht Frankfurt 816 draws16 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 52–63 · 2.88 per match · BTTS 72% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 25 draws3 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 23 draws0 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17VfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.470.851.12
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 67 / 8 / 195 / 4 / 8
Goals for / match1.791.711.321.41
Goals against / match1.911.592.032.18
Clean sheets21%35%6%6%
Failed to score9%6%24%18%
Both teams scored74%59%74%76%
Over 2.568%65%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.391.20
xG against / match1.501.241.892.10
xG difference-0.150.24-0.50-0.89
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.070.21
xPts / match1.311.561.140.93
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.08-0.280.19
Game state
Scored first50%59%53%71%
PPG when scoring first1.942.201.441.58
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.130.00
Came back from behind43%33%10%0%
Leads held55%64%35%42%
Minutes leading25%22%27%36%
Minutes level46%49%43%38%
Minutes trailing29%29%30%26%
First goal (min)41493532
First goal conceded (min)35344348
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%51%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.210.18
Late goals against0.560.290.560.65
Style
Possession55%54%45%42%
Shots12.013.211.910.2
On target4.65.34.23.7
Shot conversion15%13%11%14%
Shots inside box67%68%64%60%
Big chances created2.52.72.62.2
Corners4.75.44.43.5
xG from set plays28%32%32%32%
Goals from headers12%10%25%17%
Pressure index12.813.49.15.6
Dominant minutes48.552.438.129.8
Pass accuracy83%84%78%76%
Fouls10.410.111.511.0
Cards2.062.122.152.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 49%3.9Draw 24% P 25%3.5Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 37% P 37%1.22Eintracht Frankfurt or Wolfsburg 39% P 38%1.9Draw or Wolfsburg 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 66%2.5No 38% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away26%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Harm Osmers

Career
165 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.11 (3.93 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.154.14-0.1448
Fouls / match21.422.3-0.93
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.32+0.1452
Time added6.76.8-0.2233
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 50 240 33'6
2025-11-09 50 231 17'12
2025-10-26 31 170 15'9
2025-10-23 60 270 13'7
2025-10-02 50 191 7'10
2025-09-14 50 221 36'9
2025-08-23 · Eintracht Frankfurt 40 180 12'8
2025-08-07 40 250 10'6
2025-05-17 41 181 9'5
2025-05-04 20 241 85'8