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Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Momentum

SVWFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity
42,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,800

Teams

Coaches
Horst Steffen · Lukas Kwasniok
Position
9 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Bastian Dankert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.0° (feels 5.0°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
84%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Werder Bremen

DWDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.54–8.19 · xPts 5.6

  • L A RB Leipzig 0–2 xG 1.03–2.32 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 xG 1.64–0.66 GER BI
  • D A FSV Mainz 05 1–1 xG 0.58–1.38 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 1–0 xG 1.09–0.67 GER BI
  • D A FC Heidenheim 2–2 xG 1.2–3.15 GER BI

FC Köln

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 7.95–8.59 · xPts 6.27

  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 3–4 xG 1.51–1.98 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 xG 2.44–2.54 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 4–1 xG 2.79–1.05 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–1 xG 0.59–1.89 GER BI
  • D H FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 0.63–1.12 GER BI

All meetings · 29 matches since 2005

Werder Bremen 1012 draws7 FC Köln

Goals 47–38 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Werder Bremen 35 draws2 FC Köln

Goals 16–17 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 22 draws1 FC Köln

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 2–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 7–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 6–1 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricWerder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen at home · 17FC Köln all · 34FC Köln away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.120.940.76
W / D / L8 / 8 / 185 / 4 / 87 / 11 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.091.121.441.12
Goals against / match1.761.821.851.94
Clean sheets18%18%9%12%
Failed to score38%35%12%18%
Both teams scored47%47%79%71%
Over 2.553%53%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.421.491.39
xG against / match1.581.351.661.88
xG difference-0.370.07-0.18-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.30-0.05-0.27
xPts / match1.211.471.271.10
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.35-0.33-0.34
Game state
Scored first29%29%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.102.601.571.60
PPG when conceding first0.430.500.500.42
Came back from behind25%33%38%43%
Leads held62%71%44%40%
Minutes leading16%17%19%11%
Minutes level41%38%51%55%
Minutes trailing43%46%30%34%
First goal (min)52544248
First goal conceded (min)35334442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%74%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%52%56%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.560.47
Late goals against0.320.290.350.41
Style
Possession51%54%47%46%
Shots13.115.413.411.7
On target4.14.74.73.8
Shot conversion8%7%11%10%
Shots inside box62%63%70%71%
Big chances created1.71.92.52.1
Corners4.64.94.64.4
xG from set plays24%23%27%29%
Goals from headers19%32%16%16%
Pressure index12.617.011.08.6
Dominant minutes47.860.442.835.8
Pass accuracy82%82%80%80%
Fouls9.910.38.38.1
Cards2.472.592.001.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 44%3.8Draw 25% P 25%3.0Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.4Werder Bremen or Draw 33% P 35%1.25Werder Bremen or Cologne 37% P 37%1.61Draw or Cologne 29% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 66%2.62No 35% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 62%2.37Under 40% P 38%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%43%45%+1.8
Draw25%26%25%-0.8
Away31%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Bastian Dankert

Career
206 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.14-0.7222
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.47
Fouls per card6.25.4+1.25 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.32-1.647
Time added6.26.8-0.7515
First card
38' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 10 120 36'5
2025-10-18 40 290 20'6
2025-09-28 30 240 45'10
2025-09-13 · FC Köln 50 260 68'30
2025-05-10 · Werder Bremen 40 190 2'7
2025-04-26 40 300 36'6
2025-04-12 30 230 84'4
2025-03-29 60 181 32'12
2025-03-08 31 170 8'5
2025-02-22 40 210 17'1