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Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Momentum

TSGFC Augsburg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Capacity
30,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,218

Teams

Coaches
Christian Ilzer · Sandro Wagner
Position
7 · 13
Formation
4-3-1-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Christian Dingert

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.3° (feels 8.3°)
Wind
1.2
Humidity
89%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

TSG Hoffenheim

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 8.79–7.14 · xPts 8.11

  • D A FSV Mainz 05 1–1 xG 1.51–2.27 GER BI
  • W H RB Leipzig 3–1 xG 1.82–2.0 GER BI
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 xG 1.46–0.85 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 3–1 xG 2.16–1.25 GER BI
  • W A St. Pauli 3–0 xG 1.85–0.77 GER BI

FC Augsburg

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 5.66–7.26 · xPts 6.18

  • W H Hamburger SV 1–0 xG 1.31–1.33 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 2–3 xG 1.54–2.6 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 0–1 xG 0.96–0.43 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 0–6 xG 0.73–2.27 GER BI
  • D A FC Köln 1–1 xG 1.12–0.63 GER BI

All meetings · 30 matches since 2011

TSG Hoffenheim 168 draws6 FC Augsburg

Goals 54–29 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 54 draws1 FC Augsburg

Goals 18–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 23 draws0 FC Augsburg

Goals 9–4 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Augsburg 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 0–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 0–4 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricTSG Hoffenheim all · 34TSG Hoffenheim at home · 17FC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.881.261.00
W / D / L18 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 512 / 7 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.912.061.321.18
Goals against / match1.531.241.791.94
Clean sheets21%24%15%0%
Failed to score18%12%26%35%
Both teams scored65%65%62%65%
Over 2.571%71%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.861.391.42
xG against / match1.461.211.842.17
xG difference0.250.65-0.46-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.200.20-0.06-0.24
xPts / match1.581.781.171.02
Points vs xPts0.210.100.10-0.02
Game state
Scored first47%59%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.752.801.761.14
PPG when conceding first0.940.570.750.90
Came back from behind47%29%21%23%
Leads held86%91%57%50%
Minutes leading37%46%24%18%
Minutes level40%35%46%44%
Minutes trailing22%19%30%38%
First goal (min)34364240
First goal conceded (min)37474138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%40%53%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%62%49%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.410.290.29
Late goals against0.350.350.290.41
Style
Possession55%57%44%43%
Shots14.116.213.213.2
On target5.25.94.64.2
Shot conversion14%13%10%9%
Shots inside box69%68%64%62%
Big chances created2.83.12.21.9
Corners5.86.44.64.0
xG from set plays35%36%31%36%
Goals from headers22%21%16%20%
Pressure index14.516.69.56.9
Dominant minutes56.963.440.534.2
Pass accuracy80%82%78%78%
Fouls13.913.411.010.8
Cards2.261.822.472.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.103
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 26%1.891.781.562.051.33
4-4-25 15%1.82.22.21.461.69
4-3-34 12%2.252.251.251.471.11
4-3-1-24 12%1.752.251.02.011.21
3-4-2-12 6%3.02.51.01.611.21

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 55%4.2Draw 23% P 23%4.2Away 23% P 21%

Double Chance

1.22TSG Hoffenheim or Draw 38% P 39%1.22TSG Hoffenheim or Augsburg 38% P 38%2.0Draw or Augsburg 23% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 61%2.5Under 38% P 39%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 299 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%60%+4.2
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Christian Dingert

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.29 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.434.15+0.4767
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.59
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.33+0.0248
Time added7.16.8+0.1963
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 20 180 29'14
2025-10-04 40 240 45'7
2025-08-29 61 320 7'11
2025-05-11 40 230 78'9
2025-04-26 · FC Augsburg 10 200 83'6
2025-04-06 20 190 47'4
2025-03-08 61 211 21'8
2025-02-23 · TSG Hoffenheim 18 4
2025-02-08 60 190 33'7
2025-01-25 51 260 10'9