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Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Momentum

FSV Mainz 05BMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Mewa Arena, Mainz
Capacity
34,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,500

Teams

Coaches
Benjamin Hoffmann · Eugen Polanski
Position
18 · 12
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Benjamin Brand

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
4.1° (feels 1.8°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
97%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FSV Mainz 05

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 4.34–9.66 · xPts 4.01

  • L A SC Freiburg 0–4 xG 0.09–3.72 GER BI
  • L A Universitatea Craiova 0–1 xG 0.41–1.13 UEFA ECL
  • D H TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 xG 2.27–1.51 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 xG 0.11–1.11 GER BI
  • W H Fiorentina 2–1 xG 1.46–2.19 UEFA ECL

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 8.8–7.96 · xPts 7.41

  • D H RB Leipzig 0–0 xG 0.48–1.27 GER BI
  • W A FC Heidenheim 3–0 xG 2.28–0.52 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 3–1 xG 2.54–2.44 GER BI
  • W A St. Pauli 4–0 xG 2.7–0.94 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.79–2.78 GER BI

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

FSV Mainz 05 1112 draws15 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 44–51 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FSV Mainz 05 36 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 15–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FSV Mainz 05 13 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 6–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FSV Mainz 05 4–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFSV Mainz 05 all · 34FSV Mainz 05 at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.181.001.120.82
W / D / L10 / 10 / 144 / 5 / 89 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.291.241.241.06
Goals against / match1.561.471.561.71
Clean sheets12%12%38%29%
Failed to score29%35%35%35%
Both teams scored62%59%41%47%
Over 2.553%41%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.741.351.31
xG against / match1.651.401.511.59
xG difference-0.070.34-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.50-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.391.601.271.21
Points vs xPts-0.22-0.60-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first47%41%41%29%
PPG when scoring first1.811.712.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.590.440.070.10
Came back from behind33%27%18%18%
Leads held53%50%64%60%
Minutes leading28%23%19%14%
Minutes level43%49%52%52%
Minutes trailing29%28%28%35%
First goal (min)37364858
First goal conceded (min)44454040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%52%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%60%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.350.380.35
Late goals against0.590.530.350.47
Style
Possession44%46%47%48%
Shots12.113.611.611.7
On target4.24.24.13.8
Shot conversion11%9%11%9%
Shots inside box76%77%66%68%
Big chances created3.23.41.91.6
Corners5.16.23.84.2
xG from set plays39%38%34%29%
Goals from headers18%14%20%12%
Pressure index10.912.99.99.3
Dominant minutes44.050.341.940.9
Pass accuracy75%76%82%81%
Fouls11.011.810.811.0
Cards2.241.941.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FSV Mainz 05

0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223

Game state

When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242

Situations

At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-217 50%1.821.711.411.871.7
3-4-2-111 32%0.450.912.01.261.72
3-1-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.561.4
5-3-22 6%0.50.00.51.160.45
5-4-11 3%1.02.02.00.543.86

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
4-3-32 6%0.00.52.01.52.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Mainz or Draw 32% P 32%1.3Mainz or Borussia M'gladbach 37% P 36%1.5Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 32% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 60%2.37No 39% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 44%1.8Under 51% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%34%+0.6
Draw28%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Benjamin Brand

Career
102 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.01 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 59 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.15+0.3163
Fouls / match22.622.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.33+1.0593
Time added7.36.8+0.4078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-22 20 221 24'9
2025-11-09 40 200 81'8
2025-10-25 40 180 44'11
2025-10-04 30 160 6'8
2025-09-20 20 180 45'8
2025-08-23 50 241 5'7
2025-05-17 60 290 42'16
2025-04-26 60 261 41'18
2025-04-12 70 260 37'3
2025-03-15 · FSV Mainz 05 31 140 2'7