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Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Momentum

FC AugsburgB04
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Capacity
30,660
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,000

Teams

Coaches
Manuel Baum · Kasper Hjulmand
Position
14 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sven Jablonski

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
6.2° (feels 3.2°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
84%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Augsburg

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 5.41–8.5 · xPts 5.17

  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–3 xG 0.87–1.86 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 1–0 xG 1.31–1.33 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 2–3 xG 1.54–2.6 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 0–1 xG 0.96–0.43 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 0–6 xG 0.73–2.27 GER BI

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 3 · xG 6.66–7.12 · xPts 6.06

  • L H Borussia Dortmund 1–2 xG 1.1–0.86 GER BI
  • W A Manchester City 2–0 xG 0.69–2.06 UEFA CL
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 xG 0.77–2.22 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 6–0 xG 3.46–0.09 GER BI
  • W A Benfica 1–0 xG 0.64–1.88 UEFA CL

All meetings · 31 matches since 2011

FC Augsburg 48 draws19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 29–63 · 2.97 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Augsburg 41 draws5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Augsburg 21 draws2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg at home · 17Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.531.741.65
W / D / L12 / 7 / 157 / 5 / 517 / 8 / 98 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.321.472.001.76
Goals against / match1.791.651.381.65
Clean sheets15%29%24%12%
Failed to score26%18%12%24%
Both teams scored62%59%65%65%
Over 2.562%53%59%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.351.911.40
xG against / match1.841.521.401.71
xG difference-0.46-0.170.51-0.30
Finishing vs xG-0.060.120.090.36
xPts / match1.171.311.651.21
Points vs xPts0.100.220.080.44
Game state
Scored first50%59%65%59%
PPG when scoring first1.762.202.232.30
PPG when conceding first0.750.500.830.71
Came back from behind21%17%40%38%
Leads held57%64%68%67%
Minutes leading24%29%40%39%
Minutes level46%48%39%36%
Minutes trailing30%23%20%25%
First goal (min)42453429
First goal conceded (min)41453934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%60%41%30%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%46%45%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.290.350.24
Late goals against0.290.180.260.35
Style
Possession44%45%59%57%
Shots13.213.215.211.7
On target4.65.15.23.8
Shot conversion10%11%13%15%
Shots inside box64%66%64%61%
Big chances created2.22.53.73.1
Corners4.65.25.64.5
xG from set plays31%25%27%26%
Goals from headers16%12%19%14%
Pressure index9.512.116.111.6
Dominant minutes40.546.957.149.4
Pass accuracy78%79%88%87%
Fouls11.011.38.68.5
Cards2.472.652.182.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.113
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-131 91%1.842.01.231.971.37
4-2-3-12 6%1.03.03.01.761.64
5-4-11 3%0.00.03.00.581.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 27%3.6Draw 26% P 28%2.1Away 45% P 45%

Double Chance

1.7Augsburg or Draw 28% P 27%1.28Augsburg or Bayer Leverkusen 37% P 36%1.33Draw or Bayer Leverkusen 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw28%29%32%+2.9
Away45%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Sven Jablonski

Career
115 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.784.14-0.9615
Fouls / match20.622.3-1.67
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.32-1.0818
Time added6.26.8-0.7515
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-25 20 230 69'4
2025-11-22 10 160 40'10
2025-11-05 30 250 70'8
2025-11-01 30 180 38'8
2025-10-19 40 270 43'9
2025-09-24 40 320 24'6
2025-09-21 50 211 63'16
2025-09-13 10 230 7'7
2025-08-30 30 180 24'11
2025-05-10 20 110 49'4