Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Momentum
– Hamburger SVSVW –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Hamburger SV | at home | Stat | league | away | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.2 #8 |
| 12.3 #11 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 13.1 #8 |
| 4.6 #10 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.1 #14 |
| 3.7 #18 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 4.6 #13 |
| 11.8 #3 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 9.9 #10 |
| 1.7 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.8 #9 |
| 15.0 #11 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 17.1 #1 |
| 82.8 #18 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 97.6 #9 |
| 34.3 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 45.4 #8 |
| 390.1 #15 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 481.1 #7 |
| 2.1 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| 0.9 #12 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #15 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #17 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #7 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| -0.1 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #13 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #1 |
| 1.2 #16 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 #17 |
| 1.6 #10 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 #6 |
| 0.2 #14 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #9 |
| 9.2 #8 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.8 #2 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #4 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #14 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #8 |
| 3.1 #15 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.9 #3 |
| 8.1 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.2 #12 |
| 4.7 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.1 #8 |
| 4.3 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.9 #4 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #14 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Werder Bremen · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.11 (85th pct) · G+A 10 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 0.97 ppg with (29) · 0.8 without (5)
Rating 6.83 (52th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 0.93 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)
Rating 6.81 (46th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (11% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.0 ppg with (23) · 0.82 without (11)
Absences
Werder Bremen
- injury Salim Musah #11 key player attacker · Fitness · 5 missed · until 2026-01-12
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 13
Venue
- Stadium
- Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 57,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 57,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Merlin Polzin · Horst Steffen
- Position
- 15 · 11
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 9.4° (feels 7.4°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 91%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Hamburger SV
LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 7.31–6.98 · xPts 6.83
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.18–1.29
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
0–1
xG 1.33–1.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
xG 0.57–1.02
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–4
xG 1.05–2.79
GER BI
- L
H
VfL Wolfsburg
0–1
xG 3.17–0.57
GER BI
LWDWLLLDLW 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 11 GA 16 · xG 15.26–15.37 · xPts 13.71
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.18–1.29
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
0–1
xG 1.33–1.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
xG 0.57–1.02
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–4
xG 1.05–2.79
GER BI
- L
H
VfL Wolfsburg
0–1
xG 3.17–0.57
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 1.51–1.23
GER BI
- W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4–0
xG 1.65–0.79
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
0–0
xG 1.36–1.52
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 2.66–2.13
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
0–5
xG 0.77–2.73
GER BI
Werder Bremen
WDWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.65–6.12 · xPts 6.67
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 1.32–1.08
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
0–2
xG 1.03–2.32
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.64–0.66
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 0.58–1.38
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
1–0
xG 1.09–0.67
GER BI
WLLWDWDWLD 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 12 GA 14 · xG 12.47–16.97 · xPts 12.12
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 1.32–1.08
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
0–2
xG 1.03–2.32
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.64–0.66
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 0.58–1.38
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
1–0
xG 1.09–0.67
GER BI
- D
A
FC Heidenheim
2–2
xG 1.2–3.15
GER BI
- W
H
St. Pauli
1–0
xG 1.8–0.97
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
0–4
xG 0.41–3.59
GER BI
- L
H
SC Freiburg
0–3
xG 1.52–1.79
GER BI
- W
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4–0
xG 1.88–1.36
GER BI
All meetings · 30 matches since 2005
Goals 38–43 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 3–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 1–0 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 0–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 2–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 2–2 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 2–1 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W Werder Bremen 1–3 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 1–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 2–0 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV at home · 17 | Werder Bremen all · 34 | Werder Bremen away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.12 | 1.41 | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 11 / 14 | 6 / 6 / 5 | 8 / 8 / 18 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.18 | 1.47 | 1.09 | 1.06 |
| Goals against / match | 1.59 | 1.29 | 1.76 | 1.71 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 12% | 18% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 24% | 38% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 71% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | 1.50 | 1.21 | 1.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.58 | 1.82 |
| xG difference | -0.50 | -0.03 | -0.37 | -0.81 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.03 | -0.12 | 0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.14 | 1.36 | 1.21 | 0.95 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.02 | 0.05 | -0.27 | -0.19 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 35% | 47% | 29% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.58 | 1.88 | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 50% | 25% | 17% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 62% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 19% | 16% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 58% | 41% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 24% | 43% | 40% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 36 | 52 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 40 | 35 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 52% | 70% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 46% | 57% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 45% | 51% | 48% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 13.3 | 13.1 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 70% | 62% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 19% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 10.4 | 12.6 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 41.4 | 47.8 | 35.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 12.1 | 9.9 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 2.68 | 2.47 | 2.47 | 2.35 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Werder Bremen
0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
Werder Bremen · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063
Game state
When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302
Situations
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202
Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 44% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.07 | 1.12 | 1.76 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 2.33 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.65 | 1.78 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| Metric | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV at home · 10 | Werder Bremen all · 10 | Werder Bremen away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 2.60 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.23 | 1.39 | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 2.02 | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | -0.79 | -0.52 | -0.90 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.33 | -0.19 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.15 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | -0.15 | -0.11 | -0.32 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.25 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.14 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 43% | 14% | 25% |
| Leads held | 67% | 40% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 8% | 11% | 18% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 62% | 33% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | 27% | 49% | 48% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 34 | 54 | 57 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 33 | 36 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 42% | 75% | 70% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 53% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 46% | 46% | 49% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 12.6 | 11.6 | 11.9 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 68% | 59% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 27% | 24% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 9% | 25% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 6.9 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.1 | 41.8 | 44.7 | 43.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 80% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12.2 | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
Werder Bremen
0–15'13
16–30'13
31–45'13
46–60'14
61–75'43
76–90'43
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.12 | 2.07 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.04 | 2.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.66 | 1.91 |
| Metric | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV at home · 17 | Werder Bremen all · 34 | Werder Bremen away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.41 | 0.94 | 0.65 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 | 6 / 6 / 5 | 8 / 8 / 18 | 2 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.18 | 1.47 | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.74 | 1.47 | 1.74 | 1.76 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 15% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 24% | 38% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 71% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 50% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | 1.50 | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| xG against / match | 1.84 | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.83 |
| xG difference | -0.51 | -0.12 | -0.42 | -0.87 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.03 | -0.16 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.14 | 1.34 | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.08 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 35% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.58 | 1.88 | 2.10 | 1.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 50% | 25% | 23% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 62% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 19% | 17% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 58% | 42% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 24% | 42% | 44% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 36 | 54 | 58 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 40 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 52% | 74% | 73% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 48% | 58% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 46% | 51% | 49% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 13.5 | 13.1 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 70% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 21% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 26% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | 10.3 | 13.1 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.6 | 40.5 | 48.7 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 12.1 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.56 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 2.29 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Werder Bremen
0–15'27
16–30'38
31–45'410
46–60'39
61–75'913
76–90'1312
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
Werder Bremen · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1034
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1318
Game state
When ahead+0.0113
When level+0.0534
When behind+0.1024
10 min after conceding-0.2029
10 min after scoring+0.4020
Situations
With ten men-0.163
Against ten men+0.085
At home+0.1517
Away-0.0317
3 days rest or fewer+0.582
4+ days rest+0.0332
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0813
v mid-tier opponents+0.3110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.105
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched+0.1616
As underdog-0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0534
Conceded when ahead+0.1013
Conceded late (76+)-0.0930
Congested vs rested +0.55 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 41% | 1.07 | 1.0 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.74 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.75 | 1.4 | 1.81 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.45Home 39% P 40%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.8Away 34% P 33%
Double Chance
1.4Hamburg or Draw 34% P 34%1.3Hamburg or Werder Bremen 36% P 36%1.57Draw or Werder Bremen 30% P 30%
Draw No Bet
1.661 56%2.12 44%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 55%2.0Under 47% P 45%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
4.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40% | 39% | 39% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | -0.0 |
| Away | 33% | 34% | 33% | -0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Sascha Stegemann
- Career
- 194 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.96 | 4.14 | -0.56 | 26 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.32 | -1.22 | 15 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.8 | -0.12 | 41 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 11' | 6 |
| 2025-11-21 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 24' | 11 |
| 2025-10-25 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 19' | 16 |
| 2025-10-04 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6' | 9 |
| 2025-09-24 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 2' | 5 |
| 2025-09-19 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 40' | 7 |
| 2025-08-24 · Hamburger SV | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2025-08-21 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12' | 8 |
| 2025-08-14 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 14' | 8 |
| 2025-05-17 | – | – | 10 | – | – | 6 |