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Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Momentum

RB LeipzigSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Capacity
47,069
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,012

Teams

Coaches
Ole Werner · Dino Toppmöller
Position
2 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Daniel Siebert

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
5.5° (feels 1.3°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
80%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

RB Leipzig

WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 9.71–5.22 · xPts 9.83

  • D A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 xG 1.27–0.48 GER BI
  • W H Werder Bremen 2–0 xG 2.32–1.03 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 xG 2.0–1.82 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 3–1 xG 1.85–1.15 GER BI
  • W A FC Augsburg 6–0 xG 2.27–0.73 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

DWWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 6.42–8.12 · xPts 6.35

  • D H VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 xG 1.88–1.46 GER BI
  • L H Atalanta 0–3 xG 1.02–2.91 UEFA CL
  • W A FC Köln 4–3 xG 1.98–1.51 GER BI
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 1.11–0.11 GER BI
  • D A Napoli 0–0 xG 0.44–2.14 UEFA CL

All meetings · 20 matches since 2017

RB Leipzig 78 draws5 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 29–26 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

RB Leipzig 43 draws3 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 16–15 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

RB Leipzig 31 draws1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 13–8 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • W RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • W RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • D RB Leipzig 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
MetricRB Leipzig all · 34RB Leipzig at home · 17Eintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.912.241.291.12
W / D / L20 / 5 / 912 / 2 / 311 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.942.351.791.88
Goals against / match1.381.181.912.24
Clean sheets32%35%21%6%
Failed to score9%0%9%12%
Both teams scored62%65%74%88%
Over 2.571%76%68%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.072.441.351.21
xG against / match1.421.431.501.76
xG difference0.651.01-0.15-0.55
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.090.450.67
xPts / match1.761.961.311.06
Points vs xPts0.160.27-0.020.05
Game state
Scored first74%88%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.282.271.941.57
PPG when conceding first0.872.000.630.78
Came back from behind25%40%43%50%
Leads held74%75%55%44%
Minutes leading37%42%25%28%
Minutes level47%47%46%42%
Minutes trailing16%11%29%30%
First goal (min)38414133
First goal conceded (min)48523536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%52%56%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%75%58%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.470.380.35
Late goals against0.440.470.560.82
Style
Possession54%56%55%56%
Shots15.817.312.010.9
On target6.07.34.63.9
Shot conversion12%14%15%17%
Shots inside box72%77%67%66%
Big chances created3.64.72.52.4
Corners5.35.94.73.9
xG from set plays22%24%28%22%
Goals from headers14%18%12%12%
Pressure index16.120.112.812.3
Dominant minutes54.561.848.544.5
Pass accuracy84%85%83%83%
Fouls9.38.110.410.6
Cards1.531.352.062.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

RB Leipzig

0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252

Game state

When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404

Situations

At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672

Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-329 85%1.831.931.482.011.42
4-2-3-13 9%3.02.00.332.511.22
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.922.0
4-1-4-11 3%3.03.01.02.531.26

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 55%4.0Draw 24% P 23%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.2RB Leipzig or Draw 39% P 39%1.22RB Leipzig or Eintracht Frankfurt 38% P 39%2.05Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 23% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 62%2.25No 41% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 62%2.37Under 40% P 38%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%54%56%+2.6
Draw23%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Daniel Siebert

Career
74 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.61 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.14+0.1059
Fouls / match22.322.3-0.14
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.32-0.5326
Time added7.76.8+0.8285
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-04 50 290 24'6
2025-10-25 · RB Leipzig 40 190 24'10
2025-10-21 51 200 27'7
2025-10-04 · Eintracht Frankfurt 30 220 14'7
2025-09-30 91 270 34'8
2025-09-21 10 190 5'8
2025-09-13 11 211 90'11
2025-08-23 40 260 37'14
2025-08-20 81 340 22'5
2025-08-14 101 330 28'6