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Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Momentum

WOBFCU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Capacity
30,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,045

Teams

Coaches
Daniel Bauer · Steffen Baumgart
Position
15 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Robert Schröder

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.8° (feels 5.2°)
Wind
2.3
Humidity
88%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfL Wolfsburg

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.77–8.92 · xPts 5.24

  • D A Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 xG 1.46–1.88 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 2.22–0.77 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 1–2 xG 0.66–1.64 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 xG 0.85–1.46 GER BI
  • W A Hamburger SV 1–0 xG 0.57–3.17 GER BI

FC Union Berlin

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 4.38–5.0 · xPts 6.14

  • L H FC Heidenheim 1–2 xG 1.08–0.83 GER BI
  • W A St. Pauli 1–0 xG 0.44–0.73 GER BI
  • D H FC Bayern München 2–2 xG 0.92–1.09 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 0–0 xG 1.27–1.27 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–1 xG 0.67–1.09 GER BI

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

VfL Wolfsburg 73 draws4 FC Union Berlin

Goals 18–14 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 51 draws4 FC Union Berlin

Goals 10–10 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 30 draws2 FC Union Berlin

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 FC Union Berlin neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg at home · 17FC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.850.591.151.00
W / D / L7 / 8 / 192 / 4 / 1110 / 9 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.321.241.291.06
Goals against / match2.031.881.711.88
Clean sheets6%6%21%18%
Failed to score24%29%24%29%
Both teams scored74%71%62%53%
Over 2.565%65%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.581.371.17
xG against / match1.891.691.481.79
xG difference-0.50-0.11-0.11-0.62
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.35-0.07-0.11
xPts / match1.141.341.371.09
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.75-0.22-0.09
Game state
Scored first53%35%41%35%
PPG when scoring first1.441.172.212.50
PPG when conceding first0.130.200.330.18
Came back from behind10%15%29%17%
Leads held35%25%71%83%
Minutes leading27%18%18%10%
Minutes level43%48%50%54%
Minutes trailing30%34%31%36%
First goal (min)35385363
First goal conceded (min)43384343
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%57%66%72%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%53%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.240.500.47
Late goals against0.560.470.410.35
Style
Possession45%48%40%39%
Shots11.913.612.511.7
On target4.24.73.93.5
Shot conversion11%9%10%9%
Shots inside box64%66%73%74%
Big chances created2.63.02.21.9
Corners4.45.45.04.8
xG from set plays32%32%48%46%
Goals from headers25%33%21%18%
Pressure index9.112.79.18.5
Dominant minutes38.146.334.732.1
Pass accuracy78%80%72%72%
Fouls11.512.112.312.5
Cards2.152.292.151.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.01.940.21

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 48% P 47%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.75Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.33Wolfsburg or Draw 35% P 38%1.3Wolfsburg or Union Berlin 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Union Berlin 28% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 54%2.0No 47% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%48%+1.4
Draw28%30%28%-1.5
Away25%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Robert Schröder

Career
94 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.36 (4.19 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.14-0.4337
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.61
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.32+0.4470
Time added6.46.8-0.5430
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.38

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-07-24 50 250 68'6
2025-05-10 10 220 67'13
2025-04-19 71 290 27'9