Rating 7.87 (100th pct) · G+A 36 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.64 ppg with (25) · 2.56 without (9)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Momentum
– FCBFSV Mainz 05 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| FC Bayern München | at home | Stat | league | away | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.4 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.9 #16 |
| 19.2 #1 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.1 #13 |
| 8.5 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #13 |
| 6.3 #1 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.1 #7 |
| 8.8 #16 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.0 #7 |
| 2.4 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #2 |
| 12.9 #18 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.3 #9 |
| 136.3 #1 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 100.0 #7 |
| 70.8 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 49.7 #7 |
| 700.9 #1 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 370.8 #16 |
| 1.7 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 2.8 #1 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #17 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #5 |
| 2.7 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| 0.9 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.3 #18 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 3.6 #1 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.1 #17 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 #11 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| – #18 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 7.1 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 4.9 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #11 |
| 13.0 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| 5.8 #2 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.6 #15 |
| 6.2 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 2.9 #18 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Bayern München · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 19 (28% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.52 ppg with (23) · 2.82 without (11)
Rating 7.45 (98th pct) · G+A 16 + 14 (25% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 2.74 ppg with (27) · 2.14 without (7)
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.41 (96th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 14
Venue
- Stadium
- Allianz Arena, Munich
- Capacity
- 75,024
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 75,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Vincent Kompany · Urs Fischer
- Position
- 1 · 18
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Referee
Robin Braun
Weather
- Conditions
- mist
- Temperature
- 0.8° (feels -1.6°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 97%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Bayern München
WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 18 GA 7 · xG 11.58–5.42 · xPts 10.44
- W
H
Sporting CP
3–1
xG 2.21–0.33
UEFA CL - W
A
VfB Stuttgart
5–0
xG 3.81–1.31
GER BI
- W
H
St. Pauli
3–1
xG 2.19–0.58
GER BI
- L
A
Arsenal
1–3
xG 0.7–2.49
UEFA CL - W
H
SC Freiburg
6–2
xG 2.67–0.71
GER BI
WWWWDWLWWW 8W 1D 1L · 25 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 32 GA 10 · xG 22.29–9.74 · xPts 20.58
- W
H
Sporting CP
3–1
xG 2.21–0.33
UEFA CL
- W
A
VfB Stuttgart
5–0
xG 3.81–1.31
GER BI
- W
H
St. Pauli
3–1
xG 2.19–0.58
GER BI
- L
A
Arsenal
1–3
xG 0.7–2.49
UEFA CL
- W
H
SC Freiburg
6–2
xG 2.67–0.71
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
2–2
xG 1.09–0.92
GER BI
- W
A
Paris Saint Germain
2–1
xG 1.2–1.76
UEFA CL - W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–0
xG 1.86–0.58
GER BI
- W
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
xG 2.78–0.79
GER BI
- W
H
Club Brugge
4–0
xG 3.78–0.28
UEFA CL
FSV Mainz 05
DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 5.14–11.39 · xPts 3.9
- D
A
Lech Poznań
1–1
xG 1.73–2.8
UEFA ECL - L
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–1
xG 0.63–2.23
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
0–4
xG 0.09–3.72
GER BI
- L
A
Universitatea Craiova
0–1
xG 0.41–1.13
UEFA ECL - D
H
TSG Hoffenheim
1–1
xG 2.27–1.51
GER BI
WLDWLDLLLD 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 7 GA 13 · xG 13.36–17.04 · xPts 11.61
- D
A
Lech Poznań
1–1
xG 1.73–2.8
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–1
xG 0.63–2.23
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
0–4
xG 0.09–3.72
GER BI
- L
A
Universitatea Craiova
0–1
xG 0.41–1.13
UEFA ECL
- D
H
TSG Hoffenheim
1–1
xG 2.27–1.51
GER BI
- L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–1
xG 0.11–1.11
GER BI
- W
H
Fiorentina
2–1
xG 1.46–2.19
UEFA ECL - D
H
Werder Bremen
1–1
xG 1.38–0.58
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–2
xG 1.72–1.68
GER BI
- W
H
Zrinjski
1–0
xG 3.55–0.1
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 38 matches since 2005
Goals 108–46 · 4.05 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 90%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 31–18 · 4.9 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 18–8 · 5.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 8–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 6–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 2–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 34 | FC Bayern München at home · 17 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.62 | 2.59 | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 | 14 / 2 / 1 | 10 / 10 / 14 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 3.59 | 4.00 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.56 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 29% | 12% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 29% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 71% | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 53% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.70 | 2.94 | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| xG against / match | 1.22 | 0.99 | 1.65 | 1.89 |
| xG difference | 1.48 | 1.94 | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.89 | 1.06 | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 2.15 | 2.35 | 1.39 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.47 | 0.24 | -0.22 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.77 | 2.62 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.33 | 2.50 | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 93% | 83% | 33% | 40% |
| Leads held | 90% | 88% | 53% | 54% |
| Minutes leading | 50% | 59% | 28% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 31% | 43% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 10% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 25 | 37 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 41 | 44 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 47% | 48% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 47% | 57% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.03 | 0.82 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 67% | 68% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 19.2 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| On target | 8.5 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 19% | 19% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 76% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 4.9 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.6 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 24% | 39% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 9% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 27.5 | 30.1 | 10.9 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 74.2 | 79.8 | 44.0 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 91% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.5 | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.79 | 1.35 | 2.24 | 2.53 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044
Game state
When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774
Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 97% | 2.67 | 3.61 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 3-3-1-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 | 0.64 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 10 | FC Bayern München at home · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 3.00 | 3.90 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 90% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.30 | 2.82 | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.44 | 1.27 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 1.54 | 0.36 | 0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.70 | 1.08 | -0.41 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 2.17 | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.43 | -0.53 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 40% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.67 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 100% | 17% | 33% |
| Leads held | 86% | 100% | 75% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 46% | 34% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 31% | 34% | 34% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 23% | 32% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 35 | 39 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 36 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 73% | 62% | 40% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 38% | 65% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 69% | 68% | 48% | 44% |
| Shots | 18.6 | 22.9 | 15.9 | 11.6 |
| On target | 7.5 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 17% | 9% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 62% | 69% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 4.5 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.9 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 31% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 8% | 7% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 22.0 | 22.1 | 14.4 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 68.1 | 71.9 | 51.0 | 44.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 7.7 | 7.4 | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'22
16–30'44
31–45'24
46–60'63
61–75'61
76–90'101
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.22 | 3.0 | 1.33 | 2.32 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 48 | FC Bayern München at home · 23 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 23 | 44 | 22 |
| Points per game | 2.52 | 2.61 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 38 / 7 / 3 | 19 / 3 / 1 | 17 / 12 / 15 | 8 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 3.33 | 3.70 | 1.36 | 1.32 |
| Goals against / match | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 26% | 27% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 2% | 0% | 27% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 74% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 91% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.64 | 2.91 | 1.60 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | 1.37 | 1.86 | 0.04 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.69 | 0.79 | -0.24 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 2.10 | 2.31 | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.42 | 0.29 | -0.01 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 70% | 52% | 54% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.74 | 2.69 | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.19 | 2.43 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 84% | 89% | 32% | 27% |
| Leads held | 90% | 90% | 63% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 51% | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 33% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 15% | 25% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 41 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 58% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 55% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 66% | 67% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 19.2 | 21.7 | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| On target | 8.3 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 17% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 74% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 4.8 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 38% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 12% | 17% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 25.8 | 28.8 | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 70.2 | 76.8 | 46.3 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 8.6 | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 1.69 | 1.30 | 2.20 | 2.55 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'137
16–30'2111
31–45'2810
46–60'266
61–75'277
76–90'4514
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 48 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.69) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.06
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6948
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6048
Late push (76+, level)+0.9014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5010
Game state
When ahead+0.7542
When level+0.7248
When behind+0.5019
10 min after conceding+0.2930
10 min after scoring+1.0647
Situations
With ten men+0.363
Against ten men+0.455
At home+0.7723
Away+0.6325
3 days rest or fewer+0.8314
4+ days rest+0.6334
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4521
v mid-tier opponents+0.8212
v bottom-tier opponents+0.686
As favourite+0.7744
Evenly matched+0.123
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2548
Conceded when ahead-0.3542
Conceded late (76+)-0.5035
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.22
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2412
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 47 98% | 2.55 | 3.34 | 1.11 | 2.65 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.09Home 87% P 87%12.0Draw 8% P 8%19.0Away 5% P 5%
Double Chance
1.02Bayern Munich or Draw 48% P 47%1.05Bayern Munich or Mainz 46% P 47%8.0Draw or Mainz 6% P 6%
Draw No Bet
1.021 94%17.02 6%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 50% P 49%1.9No 50% P 51%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.22Over 78%4.33Under 22%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.52.2Over 42% P 40%1.61Under 58% P 60%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 85–87.5% · away 2.5–5% · 296 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 87% | 86% | 88% | +1.6 |
| Draw | 8% | 10% | 9% | -0.8 |
| Away | 5% | 4% | 3% | -0.8 |
In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 72%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Robin Braun
- Career
- 13 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.23 (4.0 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.5 · 5.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.54
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 13 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.62 | 4.14 | +0.89 | 85 |
| Fouls / match | 21.5 | 22.3 | -0.86 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.7 | 5.4 | -1.25 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.54 | 0.32 | +2.37 | 100 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 6.8 | +1.66 | 96 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 53% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 34' | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 37' | 4 |
| 2025-09-27 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 24' | 8 |
| 2025-08-30 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 37' | 14 |
| 2025-02-02 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 34' | 9 |