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Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Momentum

SC FreiburgBVB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
Capacity
34,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
34,700

Teams

Coaches
Julian Schuster · Niko Kovač
Position
10 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
4.1° (feels 4.1°)
Wind
0.8
Humidity
97%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

SC Freiburg

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 9.44–6.5 · xPts 8.02

  • W H Salzburg 1–0 xG 2.77–0.53 UEFA EL
  • L A FC Heidenheim 1–2 xG 1.18–1.79 GER BI
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 4–0 xG 3.72–0.09 GER BI
  • D A Viktoria Plzeň 0–0 xG 1.05–1.42 UEFA EL
  • L A FC Bayern München 2–6 xG 0.71–2.67 GER BI

Borussia Dortmund

DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 13 GA 6 · xG 11.72–6.5 · xPts 9.28

  • D H Bodø / Glimt 2–2 xG 2.54–0.85 UEFA CL
  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 2–0 xG 0.94–1.49 GER BI
  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 xG 0.86–1.1 GER BI
  • W H Villarreal 4–0 xG 4.11–1.15 UEFA CL
  • D H VfB Stuttgart 3–3 xG 3.26–1.92 GER BI

All meetings · 32 matches since 2009

SC Freiburg 34 draws25 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 23–90 · 3.53 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 78%

Last 10 · 10 matches

SC Freiburg 11 draws8 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 9–34 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

SC Freiburg 01 draws4 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 2–16 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D SC Freiburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 2–4 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 5–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 1–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 5–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricSC Freiburg all · 34SC Freiburg at home · 17Borussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.381.882.151.88
W / D / L13 / 8 / 139 / 5 / 322 / 7 / 59 / 5 / 3
Goals for / match1.501.942.061.76
Goals against / match1.681.291.001.06
Clean sheets18%12%44%35%
Failed to score26%6%6%6%
Both teams scored62%82%50%59%
Over 2.565%71%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.511.881.831.40
xG against / match1.521.311.251.42
xG difference-0.010.580.58-0.02
Finishing vs xG-0.010.060.230.36
xPts / match1.361.711.691.37
Points vs xPts0.020.170.460.51
Game state
Scored first44%59%76%76%
PPG when scoring first2.002.102.502.38
PPG when conceding first0.881.571.000.25
Came back from behind44%70%54%40%
Leads held68%69%79%69%
Minutes leading22%32%42%36%
Minutes level54%50%46%52%
Minutes trailing23%18%12%12%
First goal (min)38373944
First goal conceded (min)42454858
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%54%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%46%68%72%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.590.53
Late goals against0.380.290.350.53
Style
Possession48%51%53%51%
Shots12.314.213.111.4
On target4.25.14.84.2
Shot conversion12%14%16%16%
Shots inside box69%69%74%77%
Big chances created2.32.83.22.5
Corners4.14.55.33.4
xG from set plays42%41%36%34%
Goals from headers14%9%23%27%
Pressure index14.318.316.812.0
Dominant minutes51.058.155.446.4
Pass accuracy80%80%83%82%
Fouls9.48.911.611.6
Cards1.621.651.912.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SC Freiburg

0–15'76
16–30'65
31–45'711
46–60'1017
61–75'95
76–90'1213

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SC Freiburg · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185

Game state

When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875

Situations

Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level +2.14

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

SC Freiburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-131 91%1.321.391.611.451.52
4-4-22 6%1.52.03.51.392.28
4-4-1-11 3%3.04.00.03.720.09

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 25%3.6Draw 26% P 27%1.95Away 49% P 48%

Double Chance

1.8SC Freiburg or Draw 26% P 26%1.28SC Freiburg or Borussia Dortmund 37% P 36%1.25Draw or Borussia Dortmund 37% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 57%2.0No 47% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 52%1.8Under 53% P 48%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%22%-2.1
Draw27%27%28%+1.0
Away48%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.224.14+0.0152
Fouls / match21.822.3-0.57
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.2030
Time added6.96.8-0.0144
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-09 50 251 13'13
2025-11-29 20 130 39'8
2025-11-26 11 261 45'7
2025-11-07 20 210 61'7
2025-10-26 70 231 45'11
2025-10-22 31 213 17'10
2025-10-03 40 210 10'13
2025-09-21 100 270 8'8
2025-09-18 11 70 21'6
2025-09-13 · Borussia Dortmund 51 140 21'13