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Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Momentum

SVWVFB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity
42,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
42,100

Teams

Coaches
Horst Steffen · Sebastian Hoeneß
Position
12 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Hartmann

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.0° (feels 4.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
83%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Werder Bremen

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.59–6.91 · xPts 6.05

  • L A Hamburger SV 2–3 xG 1.03–1.47 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 1–1 xG 1.32–1.08 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 0–2 xG 1.03–2.32 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 xG 1.64–0.66 GER BI
  • D A FSV Mainz 05 1–1 xG 0.58–1.38 GER BI

VfB Stuttgart

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 11 · xG 9.25–9.32 · xPts 7.58

  • W H Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–1 xG 2.51–0.76 UEFA EL
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–5 xG 1.31–3.81 GER BI
  • L A Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 1.29–1.18 GER BI
  • W A Go Ahead Eagles 4–0 xG 2.22–0.31 UEFA EL
  • D A Borussia Dortmund 3–3 xG 1.92–3.26 GER BI

All meetings · 36 matches since 2005

Werder Bremen 1112 draws13 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 58–64 · 3.39 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Werder Bremen 33 draws4 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 12–16 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 22 draws1 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 1–2 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricWerder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen at home · 17VfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.121.821.35
W / D / L8 / 8 / 185 / 4 / 818 / 8 / 86 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.091.122.092.41
Goals against / match1.761.821.441.94
Clean sheets18%18%32%18%
Failed to score38%35%9%0%
Both teams scored47%47%62%82%
Over 2.553%53%74%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.421.801.61
xG against / match1.581.351.541.89
xG difference-0.370.070.26-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.300.280.80
xPts / match1.211.471.581.30
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.350.240.05
Game state
Scored first29%29%53%53%
PPG when scoring first2.102.602.331.89
PPG when conceding first0.430.501.270.75
Came back from behind25%33%56%46%
Leads held62%71%75%54%
Minutes leading16%17%32%34%
Minutes level41%38%47%36%
Minutes trailing43%46%21%30%
First goal (min)52544038
First goal conceded (min)35333838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%74%54%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%52%53%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.650.76
Late goals against0.320.290.500.53
Style
Possession51%54%58%57%
Shots13.115.415.213.8
On target4.14.76.16.0
Shot conversion8%7%14%18%
Shots inside box62%63%66%66%
Big chances created1.71.93.32.9
Corners4.64.95.75.5
xG from set plays24%23%24%26%
Goals from headers19%32%9%8%
Pressure index12.617.019.220.8
Dominant minutes47.860.461.559.6
Pass accuracy82%82%84%84%
Fouls9.910.39.69.9
Cards2.472.591.911.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.24

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 33%3.8Draw 25% P 26%2.35Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.57Werder Bremen or Draw 30% P 30%1.25Werder Bremen or VfB Stuttgart 37% P 37%1.4Draw or VfB Stuttgart 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw26%26%30%+4.7
Away41%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.6

Robert Hartmann

Career
180 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.63 (3.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.974.15-0.5530
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.40
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.33+0.4167
Time added7.06.8+0.0952
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.37

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-22 30 190 34'7
2025-11-01 40 190 18'8
2025-10-05 50 270 17'10
2025-09-20 30 262 9'14
2025-08-23 · VfB Stuttgart 80 340 26'14
2025-04-26 30 240 37'12
2025-04-05 31 220 4'6
2025-03-08 10 241 46'7
2025-02-16 20 261 62'9
2025-02-01 · VfB Stuttgart 40 220 42'7