Rating 7.09 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Momentum
– TSGHamburger SV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| TSG Hoffenheim | at home | Stat | league | away | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.2 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.4 #12 |
| 14.1 #5 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #11 |
| 5.2 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 5.8 #2 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 13.9 #1 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.8 #3 |
| 1.7 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 15.5 #7 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 108.2 #4 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 82.8 #18 |
| 53.1 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 34.3 #18 |
| 472.5 #8 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 390.1 #15 |
| 2.2 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #4 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.4 #6 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #12 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.7 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #16 |
| – #11 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.9 #6 | 2.1 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 #16 |
| 1.5 #13 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 #10 |
| 0.3 #8 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 8.3 #16 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.4 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #15 |
| 9.7 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.1 #13 |
| 5.6 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 4.4 #7 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
TSG Hoffenheim · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.12 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 7.18 (93th pct) · G+A 14 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.08 ppg with (26) · 0.88 without (8)
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
TSG Hoffenheim
- injury Dennis Geiger midfielder · Ill · 53 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 14
Venue
- Stadium
- PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
- Capacity
- 30,150
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,150
Teams
- Coaches
- Christian Ilzer · Merlin Polzin
- Position
- 5 · 13
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 3-4-3
Referee
Martin Petersen
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 5.6° (feels 5.6°)
- Wind
- 0.9
- Humidity
- 92%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
TSG Hoffenheim
WWDWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.13–6.93 · xPts 7.85
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 1.49–0.94
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
3–0
xG 1.86–0.87
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 1.51–2.27
GER BI
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 1.82–2.0
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
xG 1.46–0.85
GER BI
LDLWWWWDWL 5W 2D 3L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 18 GA 13 · xG 16.74–13.84 · xPts 16.05
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 1.49–0.94
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
3–0
xG 1.86–0.87
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 1.51–2.27
GER BI
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 1.82–2.0
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
xG 1.46–0.85
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
3–1
xG 2.16–1.25
GER BI
- W
A
St. Pauli
3–0
xG 1.85–0.77
GER BI
- L
H
FC Köln
0–1
xG 1.36–0.98
GER BI
- D
A
SC Freiburg
1–1
xG 2.42–1.23
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–4
xG 0.82–2.68
GER BI
Hamburger SV
LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.61–7.43 · xPts 5.81
- W
H
Werder Bremen
3–2
xG 1.47–1.03
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.18–1.29
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
0–1
xG 1.33–1.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
xG 0.57–1.02
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–4
xG 1.05–2.79
GER BI
WDWLLLDLWW 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 13 · xG 15.96–13.68 · xPts 15.02
- W
H
Werder Bremen
3–2
xG 1.47–1.03
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.18–1.29
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
0–1
xG 1.33–1.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
xG 0.57–1.02
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–4
xG 1.05–2.79
GER BI
- L
H
VfL Wolfsburg
0–1
xG 3.17–0.57
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 1.51–1.23
GER BI
- W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4–0
xG 1.65–0.79
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
0–0
xG 1.36–1.52
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 2.66–2.13
GER BI
All meetings · 22 matches since 2008
Goals 40–25 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 64%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Hamburger SV 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 2–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 3–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 2–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- D TSG Hoffenheim 2–2 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | TSG Hoffenheim all · 34 | TSG Hoffenheim at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 | 10 / 2 / 5 | 9 / 11 / 14 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.91 | 2.06 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.53 | 1.24 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 24% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 12% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 65% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 56% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | 1.21 | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| xG difference | 0.25 | 0.65 | -0.50 | -0.96 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.20 | 0.20 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.78 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.21 | 0.10 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 59% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.75 | 2.80 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.94 | 0.57 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 29% | 36% | 25% |
| Leads held | 86% | 91% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 46% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 35% | 58% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 19% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 36 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 47 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 45% | 40% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 62% | 54% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 57% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 14.1 | 16.2 | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| On target | 5.2 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 68% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 36% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 22% | 21% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 14.5 | 16.6 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.9 | 63.4 | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.4 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.26 | 1.82 | 2.68 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073
Game state
When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013
Situations
At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154
Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.56 | 2.05 | 1.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 15% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.36 | 1.13 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Metric | TSG Hoffenheim all · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim at home · 10 | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.84 | 1.99 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.44 | 1.24 | 2.02 | 2.37 |
| xG difference | 0.40 | 0.75 | -0.79 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.19 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.64 | 1.84 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | -0.14 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.86 | 2.29 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 25% | 25% | 38% |
| Leads held | 57% | 71% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 40% | 8% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 50% | 43% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 10% | 48% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 36 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 51 | 28 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 31% | 50% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 77% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 16.3 | 17.9 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| On target | 5.3 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 62% | 60% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 40% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 15.2 | 15.5 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 58.9 | 65.5 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 80% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 15.1 | 11.6 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'23
16–30'43
31–45'51
46–60'22
61–75'24
76–90'17
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 2.04 | 1.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.54 | 1.8 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.22 | 1.99 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Metric | TSG Hoffenheim all · 35 | TSG Hoffenheim at home · 18 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.66 | 1.94 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 7 / 11 | 11 / 2 / 5 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.83 | 2.11 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.57 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 22% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 11% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 67% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 72% | 59% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.74 | 1.88 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.45 | 1.29 | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| xG difference | 0.29 | 0.59 | -0.51 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.09 | 0.23 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.05 | 0.20 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 67% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.44 | 2.58 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.81 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 39% | 29% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 77% | 85% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 49% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 38% | 56% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 14% | 28% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 31 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 50 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 44% | 40% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 73% | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 14.8 | 16.5 | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| On target | 5.2 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 13% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 67% | 65% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 35% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 22% | 19% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 15.1 | 16.4 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.6 | 62.6 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 14.1 | 13.4 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 2.29 | 1.89 | 2.56 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'68
16–30'129
31–45'187
46–60'135
61–75'711
76–90'815
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2135
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2935
Late push (76+, level)-0.1611
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0110
Game state
When ahead+0.1322
When level+0.2135
When behind+0.3318
10 min after conceding-0.1026
10 min after scoring+0.5528
Situations
With ten men+0.203
Against ten men-0.013
At home+0.0418
Away+0.3917
3 days rest or fewer+0.182
4+ days rest+0.2133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0713
v mid-tier opponents+0.4310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.325
As favourite+0.3318
Evenly matched+0.1112
As underdog-0.025
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2035
Conceded when ahead-0.1422
Conceded late (76+)-0.1530
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.11
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.14 |
| 4-4-2 | 7 20% | 1.29 | 2.14 | 2.43 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 11% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 1.43 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.36 | 1.13 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.7Home 55% P 56%4.2Draw 22% P 23%4.2Away 22% P 21%
Double Chance
1.2TSG Hoffenheim or Draw 39% P 40%1.2TSG Hoffenheim or Hamburg 39% P 38%2.15Draw or Hamburg 22% P 22%
Draw No Bet
1.31 72%3.42 28%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59% P 59%2.25No 41% P 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 56% | 56% | 60% | +4.1 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 21% | -1.7 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 18% | -2.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Martin Petersen
- Career
- 91 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.23 (4.05 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.25
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 53 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.55 | 4.14 | +0.74 | 78 |
| Fouls / match | 23.8 | 22.3 | +1.24 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.34 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.10 | 37 |
| Time added | 7.8 | 6.8 | +0.93 | 89 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 19' | 9 |
| 2025-10-25 · Hamburger SV | 6 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 24' | 12 |
| 2025-09-27 | 8 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 21' | 18 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 72' | 12 |
| 2025-04-12 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 30' | 2 |
| 2025-03-15 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 30' | 6 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 6' | 10 |
| 2025-01-31 | 11 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 10' | 12 |
| 2025-01-14 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 42' | 10 |