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Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Momentum

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now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Capacity
81,365
Surface
grass
Attendance
81,365

Teams

Coaches
Niko Kovač · Eugen Polanski
Position
3 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sven Jablonski

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.5° (feels 5.1°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 448

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Dortmund

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 9.5–6.4 · xPts 8.08

  • D A SC Freiburg 1–1 xG 1.04–1.82 GER BI
  • D H Bodø / Glimt 2–2 xG 2.54–0.85 UEFA CL
  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 2–0 xG 0.94–1.49 GER BI
  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 xG 0.86–1.1 GER BI
  • W H Villarreal 4–0 xG 4.11–1.15 UEFA CL

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WWDWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 8.66–6.51 · xPts 8.06

  • L H VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 xG 1.12–1.64 GER BI
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 2.23–0.63 GER BI
  • D H RB Leipzig 0–0 xG 0.48–1.27 GER BI
  • W A FC Heidenheim 3–0 xG 2.28–0.52 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 3–1 xG 2.54–2.44 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Borussia Dortmund 264 draws10 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 85–42 · 3.18 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund 61 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 25–14 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund 31 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 5–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 6–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.152.411.120.82
W / D / L22 / 7 / 513 / 2 / 29 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match2.062.351.241.06
Goals against / match1.000.941.561.71
Clean sheets44%53%38%29%
Failed to score6%6%35%35%
Both teams scored50%41%41%47%
Over 2.556%59%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.251.351.31
xG against / match1.251.081.511.59
xG difference0.581.18-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG0.230.10-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.692.011.271.21
Points vs xPts0.460.40-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first76%76%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.502.622.292.20
PPG when conceding first1.001.750.070.10
Came back from behind54%67%18%18%
Leads held79%87%64%60%
Minutes leading42%48%19%14%
Minutes level46%40%52%52%
Minutes trailing12%13%28%35%
First goal (min)39344858
First goal conceded (min)48354040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%50%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%62%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.590.650.380.35
Late goals against0.350.180.350.47
Style
Possession53%56%47%48%
Shots13.114.811.611.7
On target4.85.44.13.8
Shot conversion16%16%11%9%
Shots inside box74%72%66%68%
Big chances created3.23.91.91.6
Corners5.37.23.84.2
xG from set plays36%38%34%29%
Goals from headers23%20%20%12%
Pressure index16.821.59.99.3
Dominant minutes55.464.541.940.9
Pass accuracy83%85%82%81%
Fouls11.611.510.811.0
Cards1.911.591.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-1-4-22 6%0.50.01.51.261.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 64%4.75Draw 20% P 20%5.75Away 17% P 15%

Double Chance

1.14Borussia Dortmund or Draw 41% P 42%1.18Borussia Dortmund or Borussia M'gladbach 40% P 40%2.5Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 19% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 47%1.8Under 51% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%63%64%+0.7
Draw20%21%19%-2.0
Away15%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Sven Jablonski

Career
115 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.784.14-0.9615
Fouls / match20.622.3-1.67
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.32-1.0818
Time added6.26.8-0.7515
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-10 20 190 65'7
2025-12-06 70 180 10'9
2025-11-25 20 230 69'4
2025-11-22 10 160 40'10
2025-11-05 30 250 70'8
2025-11-01 30 180 38'8
2025-10-19 40 270 43'9
2025-09-24 40 320 24'6
2025-09-21 50 211 63'16
2025-09-13 10 230 7'7