Rating 6.95 (69th pct) · G+A 5 + 10 (34% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (24) · 1.0 without (10)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Momentum
– FCUFSV Mainz 05 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| FC Union Berlin | at home | Stat | league | away | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.2 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.9 #16 |
| 12.5 #10 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.1 #13 |
| 3.9 #16 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #13 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.1 #7 |
| 12.3 #2 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.0 #7 |
| 1.6 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #2 |
| 14.7 #12 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.3 #9 |
| 90.8 #14 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 100.0 #7 |
| 44.2 #10 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 49.7 #7 |
| 334.3 #18 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 370.8 #16 |
| 2.1 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 0.9 #11 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #17 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #6 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #5 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| -0.1 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.3 #18 |
| – #9 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.3 #12 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.7 #8 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 #11 |
| 0.4 #3 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 8.9 #11 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| – #6 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.1 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.1 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #11 |
| 9.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| 5.4 #5 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.6 #15 |
| 3.4 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 2.9 #18 |
| – #10 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Union Berlin · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.94 (73th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.7 (27th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.41 (96th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
Absences
FC Union Berlin
- injury Dmytro Bogdanov attacker · Knock · 10 missed · until 2026-01-21
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 16
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
- Capacity
- 22,012
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 22,012
Teams
- Coaches
- Steffen Baumgart · Urs Fischer
- Position
- 9 · 18
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Bastian Dankert
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- -4.7° (feels -9.7°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 62%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Union Berlin
WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.52–3.6 · xPts 8.73
- W
A
FC Köln
1–0
xG 1.65–0.62
GER BI
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 1.17–0.54
GER BI
- L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
xG 2.18–0.88
GER BI
- L
H
FC Heidenheim
1–2
xG 1.08–0.83
GER BI
- W
A
St. Pauli
1–0
xG 0.44–0.73
GER BI
LWLDDWLLWW 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 12 · xG 12.41–10.19 · xPts 15.12
- W
A
FC Köln
1–0
xG 1.65–0.62
GER BI
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 1.17–0.54
GER BI
- L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
xG 2.18–0.88
GER BI
- L
H
FC Heidenheim
1–2
xG 1.08–0.83
GER BI
- W
A
St. Pauli
1–0
xG 0.44–0.73
GER BI
- D
H
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 0.92–1.09
GER BI
- D
H
SC Freiburg
0–0
xG 1.27–1.27
GER BI
- L
A
Werder Bremen
0–1
xG 0.67–1.09
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–1
xG 1.9–0.83
GER BI
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
xG 1.13–2.32
GER BI
FSV Mainz 05
LDDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.5–9.94 · xPts 5.95
- D
H
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 1.58–0.28
GER BI
- W
H
Samsunspor
2–0
xG 2.0–0.77
UEFA ECL - D
A
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 0.54–3.86
GER BI
- D
A
Lech Poznań
1–1
xG 1.73–2.8
UEFA ECL - L
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–1
xG 0.63–2.23
GER BI
WLDLLLDDWD 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 12 · xG 10.84–19.6 · xPts 9.96
- D
H
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 1.58–0.28
GER BI
- W
H
Samsunspor
2–0
xG 2.0–0.77
UEFA ECL
- D
A
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 0.54–3.86
GER BI
- D
A
Lech Poznań
1–1
xG 1.73–2.8
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–1
xG 0.63–2.23
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
0–4
xG 0.09–3.72
GER BI
- L
A
Universitatea Craiova
0–1
xG 0.41–1.13
UEFA ECL - D
H
TSG Hoffenheim
1–1
xG 2.27–1.51
GER BI
- L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–1
xG 0.11–1.11
GER BI
- W
H
Fiorentina
2–1
xG 1.46–2.19
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 14 matches since 2019
Goals 28–14 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 79% · over 2.5 64%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 20–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Union Berlin 2–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Union Berlin 4–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Union Berlin 2–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Union Berlin 3–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 1–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Union Berlin all · 34 | FC Union Berlin at home · 17 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.15 | 1.29 | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 | 5 / 7 / 5 | 10 / 10 / 14 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.53 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.71 | 1.53 | 1.56 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 24% | 12% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 18% | 29% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 71% | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 71% | 53% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| xG against / match | 1.48 | 1.16 | 1.65 | 1.89 |
| xG difference | -0.11 | 0.40 | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | -0.03 | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.64 | 1.39 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | -0.35 | -0.22 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 41% | 47% | 47% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.21 | 2.00 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 44% | 33% | 40% |
| Leads held | 71% | 62% | 53% | 54% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 27% | 28% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 47% | 43% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 26% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 53 | 45 | 37 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 66% | 62% | 48% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 58% | 57% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 40% | 41% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 12.5 | 13.2 | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 71% | 76% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 48% | 50% | 39% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 23% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 34.7 | 37.3 | 44.0 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 70% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.15 | 2.59 | 2.24 | 2.53 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Union Berlin
0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Union Berlin · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182
Game state
When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202
Situations
At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073
Opposition
Evenly matched-0.052
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362
Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 19 56% | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.67 | 0.93 | 2.24 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 15% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.16 | 1.45 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.94 | 0.21 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 3-3-1-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 | 0.64 |
| Metric | FC Union Berlin all · 10 | FC Union Berlin at home · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.20 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 70% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.59 | 1.64 | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.69 | 1.16 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.09 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.11 | -0.14 | -0.41 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.72 | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.57 | -0.72 | -0.53 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 50% | 75% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 18% | 34% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 29% | 33% | 34% | 34% |
| Minutes trailing | 60% | 49% | 32% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 56 | 50 | 39 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 20 | 28 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 76% | 67% | 40% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 53% | 65% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 48% | 48% | 44% |
| Shots | 14.7 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 11.6 |
| On target | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 9% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 72% | 69% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 45% | 49% | 31% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 35% | 27% | 7% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | 13.7 | 14.4 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.6 | 51.4 | 51.0 | 44.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 72% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.7 | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Union Berlin
0–15'25
16–30'05
31–45'22
46–60'24
61–75'24
76–90'92
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.94 | 0.21 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.13 | 1.19 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| Metric | FC Union Berlin all · 34 | FC Union Berlin at home · 17 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 44 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.18 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 | 4 / 8 / 5 | 17 / 12 / 15 | 8 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.53 | 1.36 | 1.32 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.59 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 24% | 27% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 18% | 27% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 71% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 71% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.59 | 1.60 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.49 | 1.09 | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | -0.11 | 0.50 | 0.04 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.24 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.71 | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.30 | -0.53 | -0.01 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 41% | 47% | 52% | 54% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 1.75 | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 0.57 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 50% | 32% | 27% |
| Leads held | 64% | 50% | 63% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 22% | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 45% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 36% | 33% | 25% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 54 | 47 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 37 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 68% | 65% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 56% | 55% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.59 | 0.71 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 44% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 12.6 | 13.9 | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 74% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 48% | 49% | 38% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 31% | 17% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 10.2 | 11.5 | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.6 | 42.2 | 46.3 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 71% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.4 | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.21 | 2.59 | 2.20 | 2.55 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Union Berlin
0–15'47
16–30'57
31–45'515
46–60'511
61–75'58
76–90'2012
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Union Berlin · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0834
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1234
Late push (76+, level)-0.1715
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0918
Game state
When ahead-0.1814
When level-0.1834
When behind+0.1121
10 min after conceding-0.2527
10 min after scoring+0.2126
Situations
With ten men+0.013
Against ten men+0.274
At home-0.1017
Away-0.0617
4+ days rest-0.0833
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3911
v mid-tier opponents-0.0612
v bottom-tier opponents-0.265
As favourite+0.096
Evenly matched-0.1317
As underdog-0.1211
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2234
Conceded when ahead+0.4514
Conceded late (76+)+0.2431
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level +0.29
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2412
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 1.28 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.67 | 0.93 | 2.24 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.05Home 47% P 46%3.3Draw 29% P 30%3.9Away 24% P 24%
Double Chance
1.28Union Berlin or Draw 37% P 38%1.36Union Berlin or Mainz 35% P 35%1.66Draw or Mainz 28% P 27%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.25Over 42% P 43%1.61Under 58% P 57%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
4.51.9Over 49% P 45%1.8Under 51% P 55%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 48% | +1.4 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 28% | -1.5 |
| Away | 24% | 24% | 24% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Bastian Dankert
- Career
- 206 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.89 | 4.14 | -0.72 | 22 |
| Fouls / match | 22.9 | 22.3 | +0.47 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 5.4 | +1.25 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.18 | 0.32 | -1.64 | 7 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.8 | -0.75 | 15 |
- First card
- 38' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 39' | 8 |
| 2025-11-08 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 36' | 5 |
| 2025-10-18 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 20' | 6 |
| 2025-09-28 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 45' | 10 |
| 2025-09-13 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 68' | 30 |
| 2025-05-10 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 2' | 7 |
| 2025-04-26 · FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 36' | 6 |
| 2025-04-12 · FC Union Berlin | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 84' | 4 |
| 2025-03-29 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 32' | 12 |
| 2025-03-08 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 8' | 5 |