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Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

Momentum

BMGFC Augsburg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity
54,057
Surface
grass
Attendance
51,050

Teams

Coaches
Eugen Polanski · Manuel Baum
Position
12 · 15
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Harm Osmers

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
-1.4° (feels -4.1°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
87%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.55–5.3 · xPts 7.3

  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.44–1.23 GER BI
  • L H VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 xG 1.12–1.64 GER BI
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 2.23–0.63 GER BI
  • D H RB Leipzig 0–0 xG 0.48–1.27 GER BI
  • W A FC Heidenheim 3–0 xG 2.28–0.52 GER BI

FC Augsburg

WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 5.52–6.88 · xPts 5.99

  • D H Werder Bremen 0–0 xG 1.07–0.65 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 xG 0.99–1.13 GER BI
  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 xG 1.28–1.9 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–3 xG 0.87–1.86 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 1–0 xG 1.31–1.33 GER BI

All meetings · 30 matches since 2011

Borussia Mönchengladbach 99 draws12 FC Augsburg

Goals 47–45 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 draws6 FC Augsburg

Goals 16–18 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 10 draws4 FC Augsburg

Goals 7–10 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 4–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 17FC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.411.261.00
W / D / L9 / 11 / 146 / 6 / 512 / 7 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.241.411.321.18
Goals against / match1.561.411.791.94
Clean sheets38%47%15%0%
Failed to score35%35%26%35%
Both teams scored41%35%62%65%
Over 2.553%53%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.391.391.42
xG against / match1.511.431.842.17
xG difference-0.16-0.04-0.46-0.75
Finishing vs xG-0.120.02-0.06-0.24
xPts / match1.271.341.171.02
Points vs xPts-0.150.070.10-0.02
Game state
Scored first41%53%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.292.331.761.14
PPG when conceding first0.070.000.750.90
Came back from behind18%17%21%23%
Leads held64%67%57%50%
Minutes leading19%25%24%18%
Minutes level52%53%46%44%
Minutes trailing28%22%30%38%
First goal (min)48374240
First goal conceded (min)40424138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%54%53%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%46%49%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.290.29
Late goals against0.350.240.290.41
Style
Possession47%46%44%43%
Shots11.611.513.213.2
On target4.14.54.64.2
Shot conversion11%12%10%9%
Shots inside box66%64%64%62%
Big chances created1.92.22.21.9
Corners3.83.34.64.0
xG from set plays34%39%31%36%
Goals from headers20%26%16%20%
Pressure index9.910.59.56.9
Dominant minutes41.942.840.534.2
Pass accuracy82%82%78%78%
Fouls10.810.611.010.8
Cards1.852.002.472.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.113
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-1-4-22 6%0.50.01.51.261.39

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 51%3.7Draw 26% P 26%3.75Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 38% P 38%1.28Borussia M'gladbach or Augsburg 37% P 37%1.83Draw or Augsburg 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw26%25%23%-2.6
Away24%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Harm Osmers

Career
165 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.11 (3.93 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.154.14-0.1448
Fouls / match21.422.3-0.93
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.32+0.1452
Time added6.76.8-0.2233
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 30 140 5'5
2025-11-30 50 161 56'6
2025-11-27 50 240 33'6
2025-11-09 · FC Augsburg 50 231 17'12
2025-10-26 31 170 15'9
2025-10-23 60 270 13'7
2025-10-02 50 191 7'10
2025-09-14 · FC Augsburg 50 221 36'9
2025-08-23 40 180 12'8
2025-08-07 40 250 10'6