Rating 7.14 (89th pct) · G+A 13 + 9 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Momentum
– St. PauliRB Leipzig –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| St. Pauli | at home | Stat | league | away | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.9 #6 |
| 10.3 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 15.8 #2 |
| 3.4 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 6.0 #3 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| 9.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 9.3 #15 |
| 1.9 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #14 |
| 16.9 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.2 #10 |
| 92.7 #11 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 105.0 #6 |
| 42.1 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 49.9 #6 |
| 427.7 #10 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 502.9 #4 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #15 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.6 #18 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.5 #4 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #13 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #4 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 2.1 #2 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #14 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #14 |
| 0.8 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 #5 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 #15 |
| 0.1 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 9.5 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.1 #9 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #18 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 3.1 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 4.2 #2 |
| 6.1 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 11.3 #2 |
| 3.8 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #3 |
| 4.2 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.5 #6 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
St. Pauli
No ranked players yet.
RB Leipzig · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.43 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.19 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Absences
RB Leipzig
- suspension Kevin Kampl midfielder · Special Leave · 14 missed · until 2026-01-31
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 16
Venue
- Stadium
- Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 29,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,147
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexander Blessin · Ole Werner
- Position
- 17 · 5
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Florian Exner
Weather
- Conditions
- mist
- Temperature
- -0.1° (feels -4.5°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 97%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
St. Pauli
WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.27–8.75 · xPts 3.99
- D
H
Hamburger SV
0–0
xG 0.31–0.37
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 0.89–2.53
GER BI
- L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
xG 1.84–1.91
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–0
xG 0.28–1.58
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 0.95–2.36
GER BI
LLLLDWDLLD 1W 3D 6L · 6 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 17 · xG 7.24–17.09 · xPts 7.52
- D
H
Hamburger SV
0–0
xG 0.31–0.37
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 0.89–2.53
GER BI
- L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
xG 1.84–1.91
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–0
xG 0.28–1.58
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 0.95–2.36
GER BI
- D
A
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.17–1.7
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–3
xG 0.58–2.19
GER BI
- L
H
FC Union Berlin
0–1
xG 0.73–0.44
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 0.55–1.32
GER BI
- L
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–4
xG 0.94–2.7
GER BI
RB Leipzig
LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 9.66–7.9 · xPts 8.15
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
3–0
xG 2.15–0.64
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 2.25–3.88
GER BI
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–0
xG 2.43–0.13
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–3
xG 2.29–2.07
GER BI
- L
A
FC Union Berlin
1–3
xG 0.54–1.17
GER BI
WLWDWLLWLW 5W 1D 4L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 20 GA 15 · xG 20.19–13.38 · xPts 18.13
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
3–0
xG 2.15–0.64
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 2.25–3.88
GER BI
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–0
xG 2.43–0.13
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–3
xG 2.29–2.07
GER BI
- L
A
FC Union Berlin
1–3
xG 0.54–1.17
GER BI
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
xG 3.09–0.99
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.27–0.48
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 2.32–1.03
GER BI
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–3
xG 2.0–1.82
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
xG 1.85–1.15
GER BI
All meetings · 4 matches since 2024
Goals 2–5 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%
Last 10 · 4 matches
Goals 2–5 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%
Last 5 · 4 matches
Goals 2–5 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%
Recent meetings
- L RB Leipzig 2–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- D St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L RB Leipzig 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- D St. Pauli 0–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 34 | St. Pauli at home · 17 | RB Leipzig all · 34 | RB Leipzig away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.76 | 1.00 | 1.91 | 1.59 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 20 / 5 / 9 | 8 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.85 | 1.00 | 1.94 | 1.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.38 | 1.59 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 32% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 9% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 65% | 62% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% | 71% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.99 | 1.13 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | 0.65 | 0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.76 | 1.55 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.11 | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 74% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.70 | 2.00 | 2.28 | 2.30 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 27% | 25% | 14% |
| Leads held | 54% | 67% | 74% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 14% | 37% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 53% | 47% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 16% | 21% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 53 | 38 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 45 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 68% | 64% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 54% | 52% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 10.6 | 15.8 | 14.3 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 61% | 72% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 46% | 22% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 24% | 14% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 8.4 | 10.5 | 16.1 | 12.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 44.4 | 54.5 | 47.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.53 | 1.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713
RB Leipzig
0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli
No pressure profile yet.
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404
Situations
At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.24 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 85% | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.48 | 2.01 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 9% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 2.51 | 1.22 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 10 | St. Pauli at home · 10 | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 7 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.60 | 0.90 | 2.10 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.98 | 1.11 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.72 | 1.32 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | -0.97 | -0.61 | 0.85 | 0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.38 | -0.21 | -0.07 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | 1.04 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 1.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 100% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 16% | 32% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 57% | 36% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 27% | 32% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 60 | 48 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 53 | 38 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 78% | 62% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 56% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 41% | 57% | 53% |
| Shots | 10.0 | 9.8 | 18.1 | 14.0 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.7 | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 9% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 63% | 70% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 49% | 20% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 14% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 38.4 | 60.2 | 51.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 87% | 84% |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 8.9 | 8.5 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'03
16–30'20
31–45'04
46–60'14
61–75'14
76–90'25
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 0.38 | 0.5 | 1.88 | 0.94 | 1.72 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.62 | 3.46 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.65 | 2.23 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 31 | St. Pauli at home · 15 | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 31 | 15 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 7 / 20 | 3 / 4 / 8 | 20 / 5 / 10 | 7 / 3 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | 0.80 | 2.09 | 1.59 |
| Goals against / match | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 13% | 31% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 42% | 40% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 67% | 77% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.02 | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| xG difference | -0.83 | -0.68 | 0.73 | 0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | -0.03 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 0.87 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.13 | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 33% | 71% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.00 | 2.28 | 2.22 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.78 | 0.43 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 11% | 23% | 12% |
| Leads held | 44% | 60% | 74% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 14% | 37% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 53% | 44% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | 33% | 19% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 39 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 48 | 45 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 67% | 53% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 65% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 9.9 | 10.5 | 16.1 | 14.4 |
| On target | 3.0 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 72% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 43% | 23% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 25% | 14% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 10.1 | 16.7 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.3 | 42.4 | 56.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.3 | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.54 | 1.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'22
31–45'612
46–60'414
61–75'58
76–90'413
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli · 31 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1631
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0931
Late push (76+, level)-0.3711
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2819
Game state
When ahead-0.289
When level-0.1431
When behind-0.1522
10 min after conceding-0.3527
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.292
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1916
4+ days rest-0.1530
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3411
v mid-tier opponents-0.1011
v bottom-tier opponents-0.015
Evenly matched-0.1013
As underdog-0.2417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2831
Conceded when ahead+0.479
Conceded late (76+)+0.2328
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.01
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1827
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.1024
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.273
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 58% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 23% | 0.14 | 0.43 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.0Home 19% P 19%3.5Draw 27% P 26%1.75Away 54% P 55%
Double Chance
2.0St Pauli or Draw 23% P 23%1.28St Pauli or RB Leipzig 36% P 37%1.16Draw or RB Leipzig 40% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.51 27%1.282 73%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47% P 48%1.75No 53% P 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19% | 19% | 24% | +5.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 26% | -1.3 |
| Away | 55% | 54% | 50% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Florian Exner
- Career
- 26 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.85 (4.58 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 4.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.39
- Cards to home side
- 52%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 26 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.04 | 4.14 | +1.82 | 96 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.3 | 5.4 | -1.83 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.39 | 0.32 | +0.63 | 78 |
| Time added | 9.9 | 6.8 | +3.13 | 100 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 52% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 73' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 13' | 9 |
| 2025-11-08 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15' | 14 |
| 2025-10-18 | 8 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 30' | 15 |
| 2025-09-27 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 90' | 13 |
| 2025-09-20 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 22' | 11 |
| 2025-08-30 | 7 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 31' | 20 |
| 2025-05-03 · St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 16' | 10 |
| 2025-04-11 · RB Leipzig | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 34' | 6 |
| 2025-03-15 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 53' | 6 |