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Bundesliga · Matchweek 17

Momentum

BVBSVW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Capacity
81,365
Surface
grass
Attendance
81,365

Teams

Coaches
Niko Kovač · Horst Steffen
Position
2 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Daniel Siebert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.8° (feels 5.6°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 427

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Dortmund

WDDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 7.93–6.18 · xPts 7.97

  • D A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 xG 2.17–1.59 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 xG 1.23–0.44 GER BI
  • D A SC Freiburg 1–1 xG 1.04–1.82 GER BI
  • D H Bodø / Glimt 2–2 xG 2.54–0.85 UEFA CL
  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 2–0 xG 0.94–1.49 GER BI

Werder Bremen

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 5.0–8.11 · xPts 4.89

  • D A FC Augsburg 0–0 xG 0.65–1.07 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 0–4 xG 0.96–2.17 GER BI
  • L A Hamburger SV 2–3 xG 1.03–1.47 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 1–1 xG 1.32–1.08 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 0–2 xG 1.03–2.32 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Borussia Dortmund 257 draws8 Werder Bremen

Goals 79–45 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund 72 draws1 Werder Bremen

Goals 20–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund 32 draws0 Werder Bremen

Goals 9–3 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 4–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund at home · 17Werder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.152.410.940.76
W / D / L22 / 7 / 513 / 2 / 28 / 8 / 183 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match2.062.351.091.06
Goals against / match1.000.941.761.71
Clean sheets44%53%18%18%
Failed to score6%6%38%41%
Both teams scored50%41%47%47%
Over 2.556%59%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.251.211.01
xG against / match1.251.081.581.82
xG difference0.581.18-0.37-0.81
Finishing vs xG0.230.10-0.120.05
xPts / match1.692.011.210.95
Points vs xPts0.460.40-0.27-0.19
Game state
Scored first76%76%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.502.622.101.60
PPG when conceding first1.001.750.430.36
Came back from behind54%67%25%17%
Leads held79%87%62%50%
Minutes leading42%48%16%16%
Minutes level46%40%41%44%
Minutes trailing12%13%43%40%
First goal (min)39345250
First goal conceded (min)48353536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%50%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%62%57%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.590.650.410.24
Late goals against0.350.180.320.35
Style
Possession53%56%51%48%
Shots13.114.813.110.8
On target4.85.44.13.6
Shot conversion16%16%8%10%
Shots inside box74%72%62%61%
Big chances created3.23.91.71.5
Corners5.37.24.64.2
xG from set plays36%38%24%24%
Goals from headers23%20%19%6%
Pressure index16.821.512.68.1
Dominant minutes55.464.547.835.1
Pass accuracy83%85%82%81%
Fouls11.611.59.99.5
Cards1.911.592.472.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 67% P 68%5.0Draw 19% P 19%6.5Away 15% P 13%

Double Chance

1.1Borussia Dortmund or Draw 43% P 44%1.16Borussia Dortmund or Werder Bremen 40% P 41%2.75Draw or Werder Bremen 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%68%68%-0.1
Draw19%18%18%-0.3
Away13%13%14%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Daniel Siebert

Career
74 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.61 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.15+0.0959
Fouls / match22.322.3-0.14
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.33-0.5422
Time added7.76.8+0.8385
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-20 50 270 32'4
2025-12-10 40 250 27'4
2025-12-06 30 261 53'9
2025-11-04 50 290 24'6
2025-10-25 40 190 24'10
2025-10-21 51 200 27'7
2025-10-04 30 220 14'7
2025-09-30 91 270 34'8
2025-09-21 · Borussia Dortmund 10 190 5'8
2025-09-13 11 211 90'11