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Bundesliga · Matchweek 17

Momentum

VFBSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Capacity
60,449
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,500

Teams

Coaches
Sebastian Hoeneß · Dino Toppmöller
Position
3 · 7
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Matthias Jöllenbeck

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
5.5° (feels 4.2°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 125

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfB Stuttgart

LWWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 9.77–7.9 · xPts 8.75

  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 xG 2.54–2.17 GER BI
  • D H TSG Hoffenheim 0–0 xG 1.25–0.19 GER BI
  • W A Werder Bremen 4–0 xG 2.17–0.96 GER BI
  • W H Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–1 xG 2.51–0.76 UEFA EL
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–5 xG 1.31–3.81 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 6.16–8.67 · xPts 5.64

  • D H Borussia Dortmund 3–3 xG 1.59–2.17 GER BI
  • D A Hamburger SV 1–1 xG 1.67–0.96 GER BI
  • W H FC Augsburg 1–0 xG 1.13–0.99 GER BI
  • L A FC Barcelona 1–2 xG 0.78–1.47 UEFA CL
  • L A RB Leipzig 0–6 xG 0.99–3.09 GER BI

All meetings · 36 matches since 2005

VfB Stuttgart 169 draws11 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 67–55 · 3.39 per match · BTTS 72% · over 2.5 69%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfB Stuttgart 33 draws4 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 17–17 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfB Stuttgart 21 draws2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 10–8 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart at home · 17Eintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.822.291.291.12
W / D / L18 / 8 / 812 / 3 / 211 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match2.091.761.791.88
Goals against / match1.440.941.912.24
Clean sheets32%47%21%6%
Failed to score9%18%9%12%
Both teams scored62%41%74%88%
Over 2.574%47%68%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.802.001.351.21
xG against / match1.541.201.501.76
xG difference0.260.80-0.15-0.55
Finishing vs xG0.28-0.230.450.67
xPts / match1.581.861.311.06
Points vs xPts0.240.43-0.020.05
Game state
Scored first53%53%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.332.781.941.57
PPG when conceding first1.271.860.630.78
Came back from behind56%71%43%50%
Leads held75%92%55%44%
Minutes leading32%30%25%28%
Minutes level47%58%46%42%
Minutes trailing21%11%29%30%
First goal (min)40434133
First goal conceded (min)38373536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%53%56%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%56%58%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.530.380.35
Late goals against0.500.470.560.82
Style
Possession58%58%55%56%
Shots15.216.612.010.9
On target6.16.24.63.9
Shot conversion14%11%15%17%
Shots inside box66%65%67%66%
Big chances created3.33.72.52.4
Corners5.75.94.73.9
xG from set plays24%22%28%22%
Goals from headers9%10%12%12%
Pressure index19.217.512.812.3
Dominant minutes61.563.448.544.5
Pass accuracy84%84%83%83%
Fouls9.69.310.410.6
Cards1.911.942.062.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 57%4.33Draw 22% P 22%4.33Away 22% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18VfB Stuttgart or Draw 40% P 40%1.2VfB Stuttgart or Eintracht Frankfurt 39% P 39%2.2Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 21% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%60%+4.1
Draw22%23%21%-1.7
Away20%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Matthias Jöllenbeck

Career
72 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.15 (4.01 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.14-0.4337
Fouls / match22.122.3-0.25
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.8785
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
37' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-21 20 140 32'6
2025-11-09 · Eintracht Frankfurt 50 220 45'6
2025-10-25 20 270 57'10
2025-09-28 · VfB Stuttgart 40 241 67'10
2025-09-14 10 211 38'7
2025-08-23 51 252 22'13
2025-07-15 61 311 15'9
2025-05-09 20 210 43'7
2025-04-26 · Eintracht Frankfurt 31 230 48'7
2025-04-04 41 160 32'7