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Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Momentum

Hamburger SVBMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Capacity
57,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
57,000

Teams

Coaches
Merlin Polzin · Eugen Polanski
Position
14 · 10
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Schröder

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
2.8° (feels -1.5°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 416

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Hamburger SV

WWLDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 5.57–7.96 · xPts 5.51

  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 0.58–2.49 GER BI
  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 xG 0.96–1.67 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–4 xG 1.39–1.48 GER BI
  • W H Werder Bremen 3–2 xG 1.47–1.03 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 2–1 xG 1.18–1.29 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.75–8.21 · xPts 6.63

  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–5 xG 0.76–3.17 GER BI
  • W H FC Augsburg 4–0 xG 3.21–1.53 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.44–1.23 GER BI
  • L H VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 xG 1.12–1.64 GER BI
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 2.23–0.63 GER BI

All meetings · 26 matches since 2005

Hamburger SV 99 draws8 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 28–29 · 2.19 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hamburger SV 44 draws2 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hamburger SV 22 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Hamburger SV 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Hamburger SV 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Hamburger SV 3–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
MetricHamburger SV all · 34Hamburger SV at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.411.120.82
W / D / L9 / 11 / 146 / 6 / 59 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.181.471.241.06
Goals against / match1.591.291.561.71
Clean sheets18%12%38%29%
Failed to score29%24%35%35%
Both teams scored65%71%41%47%
Over 2.556%53%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.501.351.31
xG against / match1.811.541.511.59
xG difference-0.50-0.03-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.03-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.141.361.271.21
Points vs xPts-0.020.05-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first35%47%41%29%
PPG when scoring first1.581.882.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.831.000.070.10
Came back from behind36%50%18%18%
Leads held56%60%64%60%
Minutes leading16%19%19%14%
Minutes level58%58%52%52%
Minutes trailing26%24%28%35%
First goal (min)43364858
First goal conceded (min)40404040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%52%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%46%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.380.35
Late goals against0.380.240.350.47
Style
Possession45%45%47%48%
Shots12.313.311.611.7
On target4.64.74.13.8
Shot conversion10%11%11%9%
Shots inside box66%70%66%68%
Big chances created1.92.51.91.6
Corners3.73.83.84.2
xG from set plays29%28%34%29%
Goals from headers8%8%20%12%
Pressure index9.110.49.99.3
Dominant minutes38.341.441.940.9
Pass accuracy80%80%82%81%
Fouls11.812.110.811.0
Cards2.682.471.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hamburger SV

0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hamburger SV · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203

Game state

When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453

Situations

Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.163

Behind vs level +0.04

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

Hamburger SV

Current: winless 4 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-317 50%1.291.291.351.321.54
3-4-2-110 29%1.31.31.41.462.13
3-4-1-23 9%0.00.673.00.972.31
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.370.31
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.00.961.67

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
4-3-32 6%0.00.52.01.52.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 39% P 39%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.8Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Hamburg or Draw 33% P 33%1.3Hamburg or Borussia M'gladbach 36% P 36%1.53Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%+0.5
Draw27%28%28%-0.0
Away34%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Robert Schröder

Career
94 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.36 (4.19 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.14-0.4337
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.61
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.32+0.4470
Time added6.46.8-0.5430
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.38

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 30 160 21'8
2025-12-11 70 291 7'6
2025-12-06 50 231 22'16
2025-07-24 50 250 68'6
2025-05-10 10 220 67'13
2025-04-19 71 290 27'9