Rating 7.14 (89th pct) · G+A 13 + 9 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Momentum
– RB LeipzigFCB –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| RB Leipzig | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.9 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 67.4 #1 |
| 15.8 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 19.2 #1 |
| 6.0 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 8.5 #1 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 6.3 #1 |
| 9.3 #15 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 8.8 #16 |
| 1.4 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.4 #1 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 12.9 #18 |
| 105.0 #6 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 136.3 #1 |
| 49.9 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 70.8 #1 |
| 502.9 #4 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 700.9 #1 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #13 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #11 |
| 1.5 #4 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.8 #1 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #3 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #17 |
| 2.1 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 2.7 #1 |
| -0.1 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.9 #1 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| 1.9 #5 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 3.2 | 3.6 #1 |
| 1.4 #15 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 #17 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #1 |
| 9.1 #9 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.6 #13 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #18 |
| 0.0 #18 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #1 |
| 4.2 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 4.9 #1 |
| 11.3 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 13.0 #1 |
| 5.6 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 6.2 #1 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
RB Leipzig · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.43 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.19 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
FC Bayern München · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.87 (100th pct) · G+A 36 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.64 ppg with (25) · 2.56 without (9)
Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 19 (28% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.52 ppg with (23) · 2.82 without (11)
Rating 7.45 (98th pct) · G+A 16 + 14 (25% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 2.74 ppg with (27) · 2.14 without (7)
Absences
RB Leipzig
- injury Assan Ouédraogo #8 key player midfielder · Knee Problems · 12 missed · until 2026-03-31
- injury Viggo Gebel midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 31 missed · until 2026-06-30
- suspension Kevin Kampl midfielder · Special Leave · 14 missed · until 2026-01-31
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 18
Venue
- Stadium
- Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
- Capacity
- 47,069
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 47,800
Teams
- Coaches
- Ole Werner · Vincent Kompany
- Position
- 3 · 1
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Weather
- Conditions
- mist
- Temperature
- -2.0° (feels -5.5°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 100%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
RB Leipzig
DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 9.62–4.85 · xPts 9.57
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–0
xG 2.43–0.13
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–3
xG 2.29–2.07
GER BI
- L
A
FC Union Berlin
1–3
xG 0.54–1.17
GER BI
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
xG 3.09–0.99
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.27–0.48
GER BI
WWWLWDWLLW 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 24 GA 11 · xG 19.29–11.1 · xPts 18.6
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–0
xG 2.43–0.13
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–3
xG 2.29–2.07
GER BI
- L
A
FC Union Berlin
1–3
xG 0.54–1.17
GER BI
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
xG 3.09–0.99
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.27–0.48
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 2.32–1.03
GER BI
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–3
xG 2.0–1.82
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
xG 1.85–1.15
GER BI
- W
A
FC Augsburg
6–0
xG 2.27–0.73
GER BI
- W
H
Hamburger SV
2–1
xG 1.23–1.51
GER BI
FC Bayern München
WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 20 GA 5 · xG 13.46–3.39 · xPts 12.32
- W
A
FC Köln
3–1
xG 1.5–0.6
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
8–1
xG 2.33–0.92
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
4–0
xG 3.57–1.0
GER BI
- D
H
FSV Mainz 05
2–2
xG 3.86–0.54
GER BI
- W
H
Sporting CP
3–1
xG 2.21–0.33
UEFA CL
DWLWWWDWWW 7W 2D 1L · 23 pts (2.3 ppg) · GF 37 GA 13 · xG 23.92–9.39 · xPts 21.66
- W
A
FC Köln
3–1
xG 1.5–0.6
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
8–1
xG 2.33–0.92
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
4–0
xG 3.57–1.0
GER BI
- D
H
FSV Mainz 05
2–2
xG 3.86–0.54
GER BI
- W
H
Sporting CP
3–1
xG 2.21–0.33
UEFA CL
- W
A
VfB Stuttgart
5–0
xG 3.81–1.31
GER BI
- W
H
St. Pauli
3–1
xG 2.19–0.58
GER BI
- L
A
Arsenal
1–3
xG 0.7–2.49
UEFA CL - W
H
SC Freiburg
6–2
xG 2.67–0.71
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
2–2
xG 1.09–0.92
GER BI
All meetings · 20 matches since 2016
Goals 25–49 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 65%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–32 · 4.7 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 90%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–21 · 5.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- D RB Leipzig 3–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- D RB Leipzig 2–2 FC Bayern München neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 1–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- D RB Leipzig 1–1 FC Bayern München neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Bayern München 3–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L RB Leipzig 1–4 FC Bayern München neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 34 | RB Leipzig at home · 17 | FC Bayern München all · 34 | FC Bayern München away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.91 | 2.24 | 2.62 | 2.65 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 | 12 / 2 / 3 | 28 / 5 / 1 | 14 / 3 / 0 |
| Goals for / match | 1.94 | 2.35 | 3.59 | 3.18 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 35% | 35% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 65% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 76% | 94% | 88% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.07 | 2.44 | 2.70 | 2.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.22 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.65 | 1.01 | 1.48 | 1.01 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.09 | 0.89 | 0.71 |
| xPts / match | 1.76 | 1.96 | 2.15 | 1.95 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.47 | 0.70 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 88% | 65% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.27 | 2.77 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.87 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 40% | 93% | 100% |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | 90% | 93% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 42% | 50% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 36% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 11% | 14% | 17% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 41 | 32 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 38 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 59% | 74% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 75% | 47% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.47 | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 56% | 67% | 67% |
| Shots | 15.8 | 17.3 | 19.2 | 16.8 |
| On target | 6.0 | 7.3 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 19% | 19% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 77% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 24% | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 18% | 11% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 16.1 | 20.1 | 27.5 | 25.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.5 | 61.8 | 74.2 | 68.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 90% | 89% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 1.53 | 1.35 | 1.79 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015
FC Bayern München
0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404
Situations
At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06
FC Bayern München · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044
Game state
When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774
Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 85% | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.48 | 2.01 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 9% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 2.51 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 97% | 2.67 | 3.61 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig at home · 10 | FC Bayern München all · 10 | FC Bayern München away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 2.30 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 4 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 70% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.17 | 2.57 | 2.30 | 2.49 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.44 | 1.82 |
| xG difference | 0.85 | 1.27 | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | 0.03 | 0.70 | 0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.85 | 2.08 | 1.91 | 1.78 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.38 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 67% | 75% | 75% |
| Leads held | 100% | 78% | 86% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 45% | 32% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 40% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 12% | 28% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 41 | 40 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 58 | 28 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 73% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 78% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 60% | 69% | 67% |
| Shots | 18.1 | 18.0 | 18.6 | 17.7 |
| On target | 7.1 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 76% | 59% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.3 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 22% | 24% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 12% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 18.0 | 18.7 | 22.0 | 18.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 66.2 | 68.1 | 63.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 89% | 90% |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
FC Bayern München
0–15'22
16–30'44
31–45'24
46–60'63
61–75'61
76–90'101
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.22 | 3.0 | 1.33 | 2.32 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig at home · 18 | FC Bayern München all · 48 | FC Bayern München away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 48 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.28 | 2.52 | 2.44 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 10 | 13 / 2 / 3 | 38 / 7 / 3 | 19 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.09 | 2.56 | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.11 | 1.15 | 1.16 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 0% | 2% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 61% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 83% | 90% | 88% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.12 | 2.48 | 2.64 | 2.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | 0.73 | 1.08 | 1.37 | 0.92 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.07 | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| xPts / match | 1.80 | 1.99 | 2.10 | 1.90 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 89% | 65% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.31 | 2.74 | 2.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.78 | 2.00 | 2.19 | 2.00 |
| Came back from behind | 23% | 40% | 84% | 80% |
| Leads held | 74% | 76% | 90% | 90% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 46% | 46% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 44% | 38% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 11% | 15% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 38 | 33 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 52 | 43 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 52% | 61% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 49% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Late goals against | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 66% | 65% |
| Shots | 16.1 | 17.7 | 19.2 | 17.0 |
| On target | 6.3 | 7.6 | 8.3 | 7.9 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 17% | 18% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 76% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 11% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 16.7 | 19.4 | 25.8 | 23.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 59.8 | 70.2 | 64.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 90% | 89% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| Cards | 1.54 | 1.28 | 1.69 | 2.04 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
FC Bayern München
0–15'137
16–30'2111
31–45'2810
46–60'266
61–75'277
76–90'4514
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1827
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.1024
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.273
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
FC Bayern München · 48 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.69) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.06
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6948
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6048
Late push (76+, level)+0.9014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5010
Game state
When ahead+0.7542
When level+0.7248
When behind+0.5019
10 min after conceding+0.2930
10 min after scoring+1.0647
Situations
With ten men+0.363
Against ten men+0.455
At home+0.7723
Away+0.6325
3 days rest or fewer+0.8314
4+ days rest+0.6334
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4521
v mid-tier opponents+0.8212
v bottom-tier opponents+0.686
As favourite+0.7744
Evenly matched+0.123
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2548
Conceded when ahead-0.3542
Conceded late (76+)-0.5035
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.22
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 47 98% | 2.55 | 3.34 | 1.11 | 2.65 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.1Home 23% P 23%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.7Away 55% P 56%
Double Chance
2.25RB Leipzig or Draw 21% P 22%1.18RB Leipzig or Bayern Munich 40% P 39%1.18Draw or Bayern Munich 40% P 39%
Draw No Bet
3.51 27%1.282 73%
Both Teams To Score
1.4Yes 66% P 68%2.75No 34% P 32%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.2Under 30% P 30%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 56%2.0Under 46% P 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–25% · away 55–60% · 275 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23% | 21% | 19% | -1.8 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 24% | +1.5 |
| Away | 56% | 56% | 57% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 63%
Both teams to score · yes 67.5–70% · 136 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68% | 69% | 68% | -0.9 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Sascha Stegemann
- Career
- 194 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.96 | 4.14 | -0.56 | 26 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.32 | -1.22 | 15 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.8 | -0.12 | 41 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 82' | 11 |
| 2025-12-07 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 32' | 8 |
| 2025-11-27 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 11' | 6 |
| 2025-11-21 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 24' | 11 |
| 2025-10-25 · FC Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 19' | 16 |
| 2025-10-04 · RB Leipzig | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6' | 9 |
| 2025-09-24 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 2' | 5 |
| 2025-09-19 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 40' | 7 |
| 2025-08-24 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2025-08-21 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12' | 8 |