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Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Momentum

HeidenheimRB Leipzig
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion, Heidenheim an der Brenz
Capacity
15,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,000

Teams

Coaches
Frank Schmidt · Ole Werner
Position
17 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Tobias Stieler

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
-2.4° (feels -4.2°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
93%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Heidenheim

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 7.25–9.57 · xPts 5.97

  • D A VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 xG 1.11–1.13 GER BI
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 1–2 xG 1.02–1.27 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 2–2 xG 1.76–2.65 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–4 xG 1.0–3.57 GER BI
  • L A St. Pauli 1–2 xG 2.36–0.95 GER BI

RB Leipzig

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 11 · xG 10.59–8.25 · xPts 8.29

  • L H FC Bayern München 1–5 xG 2.25–3.88 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 2–0 xG 2.43–0.13 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 2.29–2.07 GER BI
  • L A FC Union Berlin 1–3 xG 0.54–1.17 GER BI
  • W H Eintracht Frankfurt 6–0 xG 3.09–0.99 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Heidenheim 01 draws5 RB Leipzig

Goals 4–12 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Heidenheim 01 draws5 RB Leipzig

Goals 4–12 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Heidenheim 01 draws4 RB Leipzig

Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Heidenheim 0–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 2–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D RB Leipzig 2–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 0–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 1–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricHeidenheim all · 34Heidenheim at home · 17RB Leipzig all · 34RB Leipzig away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.761.001.911.59
W / D / L6 / 8 / 204 / 5 / 820 / 5 / 98 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.211.351.941.53
Goals against / match2.122.181.381.59
Clean sheets3%6%32%29%
Failed to score35%35%9%18%
Both teams scored62%59%62%59%
Over 2.568%71%71%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.462.071.70
xG against / match1.911.931.421.40
xG difference-0.55-0.470.650.30
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.11-0.13-0.17
xPts / match1.101.151.761.55
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.150.160.04
Game state
Scored first24%29%74%59%
PPG when scoring first2.002.202.282.30
PPG when conceding first0.380.500.870.50
Came back from behind23%33%25%14%
Leads held46%57%74%73%
Minutes leading15%18%37%32%
Minutes level48%46%47%47%
Minutes trailing37%36%16%21%
First goal (min)45363834
First goal conceded (min)39384843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%61%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%54%64%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.410.290.12
Late goals against0.440.530.440.41
Style
Possession42%42%54%52%
Shots11.411.515.814.3
On target3.63.96.04.7
Shot conversion11%12%12%11%
Shots inside box69%66%72%65%
Big chances created2.52.73.62.6
Corners4.54.65.34.7
xG from set plays33%38%22%20%
Goals from headers15%13%14%8%
Pressure index7.77.416.112.2
Dominant minutes35.337.554.547.1
Pass accuracy76%76%84%83%
Fouls9.89.49.310.4
Cards1.441.181.531.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

RB Leipzig

0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.002
As favourite+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.672

Congested vs rested -0.56 · Ahead vs level +0.72 · Behind vs level +1.07

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-329 85%1.831.931.482.011.42
4-2-3-13 9%3.02.00.332.511.22
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.922.0
4-1-4-11 3%3.03.01.02.531.26

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 20%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.65Away 57% P 58%

Double Chance

2.2Heidenheim or Draw 21% P 21%1.18Heidenheim or RB Leipzig 39% P 39%1.18Draw or RB Leipzig 39% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 63%2.5No 38% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 55–60% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%21%19%-1.8
Draw22%23%24%+1.5
Away58%56%57%+0.3

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Tobias Stieler

Career
284 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.83 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.594.15-1.384
Fouls / match21.222.3-1.05
Fouls per card6.05.4+0.86 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.33+0.3563
Time added7.06.8+0.0952
First card
33' on average
Card timing
24% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-20 20 11
2025-12-06 61 171 2'12
2025-11-26 50 220 11'7
2025-11-23 20 180 38'8
2025-10-31 50 300 49'9
2025-10-23 51 281 15'10
2025-10-05 · Heidenheim 20 230 55'6
2025-10-02 30 240 13'8
2025-09-13 40 251 1'9
2025-08-24 21 160 27'10