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Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Momentum

FCUBVB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Capacity
22,012
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,012

Teams

Coaches
Steffen Baumgart · Niko Kovač
Position
9 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Hartmann

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
-2.2° (feels -7.5°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
84%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Union Berlin

WWDDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 9.07–4.74 · xPts 9.76

  • D A VfB Stuttgart 1–1 xG 1.72–1.75 GER BI
  • D A FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 1.75–0.74 GER BI
  • D H FSV Mainz 05 2–2 xG 2.77–1.09 GER BI
  • W A FC Köln 1–0 xG 1.65–0.62 GER BI
  • W H RB Leipzig 3–1 xG 1.17–0.54 GER BI

Borussia Dortmund

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 8.28–5.42 · xPts 8.86

  • L A Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 xG 0.41–2.13 UEFA CL
  • W H St. Pauli 3–2 xG 2.53–0.89 GER BI
  • W H Werder Bremen 3–0 xG 1.94–0.38 GER BI
  • D A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 xG 2.17–1.59 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 xG 1.23–0.44 GER BI

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

FC Union Berlin 40 draws10 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 14–37 · 3.64 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 79%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Union Berlin 20 draws8 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 9–28 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Union Berlin 10 draws4 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 2–15 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 3–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 6–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 4–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 2–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–0 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 4–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin at home · 17Borussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.292.151.88
W / D / L10 / 9 / 155 / 7 / 522 / 7 / 59 / 5 / 3
Goals for / match1.291.532.061.76
Goals against / match1.711.531.001.06
Clean sheets21%24%44%35%
Failed to score24%18%6%6%
Both teams scored62%71%50%59%
Over 2.562%71%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.561.831.40
xG against / match1.481.161.251.42
xG difference-0.110.400.58-0.02
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.030.230.36
xPts / match1.371.641.691.37
Points vs xPts-0.22-0.350.460.51
Game state
Scored first41%47%76%76%
PPG when scoring first2.212.002.502.38
PPG when conceding first0.330.571.000.25
Came back from behind29%44%54%40%
Leads held71%62%79%69%
Minutes leading18%27%42%36%
Minutes level50%47%46%52%
Minutes trailing31%26%12%12%
First goal (min)53453944
First goal conceded (min)43444858
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%62%54%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%58%68%72%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.530.590.53
Late goals against0.410.470.350.53
Style
Possession40%41%53%51%
Shots12.513.213.111.4
On target3.94.44.84.2
Shot conversion10%12%16%16%
Shots inside box73%71%74%77%
Big chances created2.22.53.22.5
Corners5.05.25.33.4
xG from set plays48%50%36%34%
Goals from headers21%23%23%27%
Pressure index9.19.816.812.0
Dominant minutes34.737.355.446.4
Pass accuracy72%70%83%82%
Fouls12.312.111.611.6
Cards2.152.591.912.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Union Berlin · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.524
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.504
When behind-0.044
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
Away-0.322
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
Evenly matched-0.052
As underdog-0.322

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.46

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
4-2-2-21 3%3.01.00.00.641.39

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 29%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.3Away 41% P 42%

Double Chance

1.57Union Berlin or Draw 30% P 29%1.33Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund 35% P 36%1.36Draw or Borussia Dortmund 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%31%+2.1
Draw29%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Robert Hartmann

Career
180 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.63 (3.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.974.15-0.5530
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.40
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.33+0.4167
Time added7.06.8+0.0952
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.37

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-14 40 280 14'8
2025-12-14 21 170 11'10
2025-11-22 30 190 34'7
2025-11-01 40 190 18'8
2025-10-05 50 270 17'10
2025-09-20 30 262 9'14
2025-08-23 · FC Union Berlin 80 340 26'14
2025-04-26 30 240 37'12
2025-04-05 31 220 4'6
2025-03-08 10 241 46'7