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Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Momentum

B04SVW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
BayArena, Leverkusen
Capacity
30,210
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,210

Teams

Coaches
Kasper Hjulmand · Horst Steffen
Position
6 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Tobias Reichel

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
4.6° (feels 2.8°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 415

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 9.15–7.16 · xPts 8.33

  • L A Olympiacos F.C. 0–2 xG 2.32–0.76 UEFA CL
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 xG 0.94–1.38 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 1–4 xG 2.17–2.54 GER BI
  • W A RB Leipzig 3–1 xG 2.07–2.29 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 2–0 xG 1.65–0.19 GER BI

Werder Bremen

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 4.58–7.49 · xPts 4.96

  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 xG 1.56–0.84 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–3 xG 0.38–1.94 GER BI
  • D A FC Augsburg 0–0 xG 0.65–1.07 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 0–4 xG 0.96–2.17 GER BI
  • L A Hamburger SV 2–3 xG 1.03–1.47 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1316 draws11 Werder Bremen

Goals 66–55 · 3.02 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 45 draws1 Werder Bremen

Goals 19–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 22 draws1 Werder Bremen

Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 17Werder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.820.940.76
W / D / L17 / 8 / 99 / 4 / 48 / 8 / 183 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match2.002.241.091.06
Goals against / match1.381.121.761.71
Clean sheets24%35%18%18%
Failed to score12%0%38%41%
Both teams scored65%65%47%47%
Over 2.559%53%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.912.421.211.01
xG against / match1.401.101.581.82
xG difference0.511.33-0.37-0.81
Finishing vs xG0.09-0.19-0.120.05
xPts / match1.652.101.210.95
Points vs xPts0.08-0.27-0.27-0.19
Game state
Scored first65%71%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.232.172.101.60
PPG when conceding first0.831.000.430.36
Came back from behind40%43%25%17%
Leads held68%69%62%50%
Minutes leading40%42%16%16%
Minutes level39%42%41%44%
Minutes trailing20%16%43%40%
First goal (min)34385250
First goal conceded (min)39483536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half41%50%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%47%57%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.410.24
Late goals against0.260.180.320.35
Style
Possession59%61%51%48%
Shots15.218.613.110.8
On target5.26.54.13.6
Shot conversion13%12%8%10%
Shots inside box64%66%62%61%
Big chances created3.74.31.71.5
Corners5.66.74.64.2
xG from set plays27%28%24%24%
Goals from headers19%24%19%6%
Pressure index16.120.512.68.1
Dominant minutes57.164.847.835.1
Pass accuracy88%88%82%81%
Fouls8.68.69.99.5
Cards2.182.122.472.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.772
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.772
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-131 91%1.842.01.231.971.37
4-2-3-12 6%1.03.03.01.761.64
5-4-11 3%0.00.03.00.581.86

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 61% P 61%4.33Draw 22% P 22%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 41% P 41%1.2Bayer Leverkusen or Werder Bremen 39% P 39%2.37Draw or Werder Bremen 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Tobias Reichel

Career
59 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.93 (3.81 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.064.15-0.3544
Fouls / match24.722.3+2.05
Fouls per card6.15.4+1.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.33-0.0441
Time added7.46.8+0.5182
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.59

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 10 120 90'5
2025-11-08 20 220 12'8
2025-10-17 80 360 36'7
2025-09-27 31 260 43'10
2025-08-31 30 210 29'11
2025-05-17 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 80 272 40'15
2025-04-27 · Werder Bremen 51 250 63'8
2025-03-29 30 261 34'5
2025-03-02 40 280 40'8
2025-02-08 40 190 18'8