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Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Momentum

SGETSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
58,500

Teams

Coaches
Dennis Schmitt · Christian Ilzer
Position
7 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sven Jablonski

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
1.4° (feels -1.4°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
70%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 13 · xG 6.27–9.9 · xPts 4.96

  • L A Qarabağ 2–3 xG 1.29–2.38 UEFA CL
  • D A Werder Bremen 3–3 xG 0.84–1.56 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 2–3 xG 0.88–2.82 GER BI
  • D H Borussia Dortmund 3–3 xG 1.59–2.17 GER BI
  • D A Hamburger SV 1–1 xG 1.67–0.96 GER BI

TSG Hoffenheim

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 7.7–5.27 · xPts 7.96

  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 xG 1.38–0.94 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 5–1 xG 3.17–0.76 GER BI
  • D A VfB Stuttgart 0–0 xG 0.19–1.25 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 4–1 xG 1.48–1.39 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 1.49–0.94 GER BI

All meetings · 34 matches since 2008

Eintracht Frankfurt 149 draws11 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 55–48 · 3.03 per match · BTTS 74% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 52 draws3 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 24–19 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 31 draws1 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 12–8 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D TSG Hoffenheim 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 4–2 TSG Hoffenheim neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17TSG Hoffenheim all · 34TSG Hoffenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.791.71
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 618 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.791.711.911.76
Goals against / match1.911.591.531.82
Clean sheets21%35%21%18%
Failed to score9%6%18%24%
Both teams scored74%59%65%65%
Over 2.568%65%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.711.56
xG against / match1.501.241.461.70
xG difference-0.150.240.25-0.14
Finishing vs xG0.450.230.200.20
xPts / match1.311.561.581.38
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.080.210.33
Game state
Scored first50%59%47%35%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.752.67
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.941.20
Came back from behind43%33%47%60%
Leads held55%64%86%80%
Minutes leading25%22%37%28%
Minutes level46%49%40%46%
Minutes trailing29%29%22%26%
First goal (min)41493433
First goal conceded (min)35343727
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%45%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%50%42%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.290.18
Late goals against0.560.290.350.35
Style
Possession55%54%55%54%
Shots12.013.214.112.0
On target4.65.35.24.4
Shot conversion15%13%14%15%
Shots inside box67%68%69%70%
Big chances created2.52.72.82.5
Corners4.75.45.85.2
xG from set plays28%32%35%33%
Goals from headers12%10%22%23%
Pressure index12.813.414.512.4
Dominant minutes48.552.456.950.5
Pass accuracy83%84%80%79%
Fouls10.410.113.914.5
Cards2.062.122.262.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 26%1.891.781.562.051.33
4-4-25 15%1.82.22.21.461.69
4-3-1-24 12%1.752.251.02.011.21
4-3-34 12%2.252.251.251.471.11
3-5-1-12 6%3.03.01.51.641.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 31%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.2Away 43% P 43%

Double Chance

1.66Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 28% P 29%1.28Eintracht Frankfurt or TSG Hoffenheim 37% P 37%1.36Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.1
Draw27%26%26%+0.2
Away43%43%43%-0.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Sven Jablonski

Career
115 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.784.14-0.9615
Fouls / match20.622.3-1.67
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.32-1.0818
Time added6.26.8-0.7515
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-20 31 150 61'5
2026-01-13 40 210 45'9
2025-12-19 30 280 53'8
2025-12-10 20 190 65'7
2025-12-06 70 180 10'9
2025-11-25 20 230 69'4
2025-11-22 10 160 40'10
2025-11-05 30 250 70'8
2025-11-01 30 180 38'8
2025-10-19 · TSG Hoffenheim 40 270 43'9