Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Momentum
– St. PauliHamburger SV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| St. Pauli | at home | Stat | league | away | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.4 #12 |
| 10.3 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #11 |
| 3.4 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 9.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.8 #3 |
| 1.9 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 16.9 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 92.7 #11 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 82.8 #18 |
| 42.1 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 34.3 #18 |
| 427.7 #10 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 390.1 #15 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #4 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.6 #18 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #12 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #13 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 0.8 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 #16 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 #10 |
| 0.1 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 9.5 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.1 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #15 |
| 6.1 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.1 #13 |
| 3.8 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 4.2 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
St. Pauli
No ranked players yet.
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
Hamburger SV
- injury Aboubaka Soumahoro defender · Knock · 6 missed · until 2026-02-16
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 19
Venue
- Stadium
- Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 29,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,546
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexander Blessin · Merlin Polzin
- Position
- 18 · 14
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Tobias Welz
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- -5.1° (feels -12.0°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 81%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
St. Pauli
DWDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 4.12–10.08 · xPts 3.14
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 0.89–2.53
GER BI
- L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
xG 1.84–1.91
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–0
xG 0.28–1.58
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 0.95–2.36
GER BI
- D
A
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.17–1.7
GER BI
LLLLLDWDLL 1W 2D 7L · 5 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 19 · xG 7.33–18.51 · xPts 6.81
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 0.89–2.53
GER BI
- L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
xG 1.84–1.91
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–0
xG 0.28–1.58
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 0.95–2.36
GER BI
- D
A
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.17–1.7
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–3
xG 0.58–2.19
GER BI
- L
H
FC Union Berlin
0–1
xG 0.73–0.44
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 0.55–1.32
GER BI
- L
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–4
xG 0.94–2.7
GER BI
- L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–2
xG 0.4–1.79
GER BI
Hamburger SV
WLDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.68–7.21 · xPts 6.16
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.29–0.54
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 0.58–2.49
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–1
xG 0.96–1.67
GER BI
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–4
xG 1.39–1.48
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
3–2
xG 1.47–1.03
GER BI
LLDLWWLDLD 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 10 GA 17 · xG 12.99–14.19 · xPts 12.99
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.29–0.54
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 0.58–2.49
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–1
xG 0.96–1.67
GER BI
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–4
xG 1.39–1.48
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
3–2
xG 1.47–1.03
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.18–1.29
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
0–1
xG 1.33–1.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
xG 0.57–1.02
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–4
xG 1.05–2.79
GER BI
- L
H
VfL Wolfsburg
0–1
xG 3.17–0.57
GER BI
All meetings · 4 matches since 2010
Goals 4–1 · 1.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 4 matches
Goals 4–1 · 1.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 4 matches
Goals 4–1 · 1.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D St. Pauli 0–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 0–2 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 0–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- D St. Pauli 1–1 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 34 | St. Pauli at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.76 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 9 / 11 / 14 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 0.85 | 1.00 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 65% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% | 56% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.99 | 1.13 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | -0.50 | -0.96 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.13 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.11 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 27% | 36% | 25% |
| Leads held | 54% | 67% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 14% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 53% | 58% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 53 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 45 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 68% | 54% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 10.6 | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 61% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 46% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 24% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 8.4 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 44.4 | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.82 | 2.68 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli
No pressure profile yet.
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.24 | 1.61 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 10 | St. Pauli at home · 10 | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 7 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.98 | 1.11 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.72 | 2.02 | 2.37 |
| xG difference | -0.97 | -0.61 | -0.79 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.38 | -0.21 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | 1.04 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.04 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 25% | 38% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 16% | 8% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 57% | 43% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 27% | 48% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 60 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 53 | 28 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 78% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 41% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 10.0 | 9.8 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 63% | 60% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 49% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 9.0 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 38.4 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 8.9 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'03
16–30'20
31–45'04
46–60'14
61–75'14
76–90'25
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 0.38 | 0.5 | 1.88 | 0.94 | 1.72 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.62 | 3.46 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.65 | 2.23 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 31 | St. Pauli at home · 15 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 31 | 15 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 7 / 20 | 3 / 4 / 8 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | 0.80 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 13% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 42% | 40% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 67% | 59% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.02 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| xG difference | -0.83 | -0.68 | -0.51 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 0.87 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.13 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 33% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.00 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 11% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 44% | 60% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 14% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 53% | 56% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | 33% | 28% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 48 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 67% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 9.9 | 10.5 | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| On target | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 65% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 43% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 25% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 10.1 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.3 | 42.4 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.3 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 1.65 | 1.87 | 2.56 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'22
31–45'612
46–60'414
61–75'58
76–90'413
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli · 31 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1631
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0931
Late push (76+, level)-0.3711
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2819
Game state
When ahead-0.289
When level-0.1431
When behind-0.1522
10 min after conceding-0.3527
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.292
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1916
4+ days rest-0.1530
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3411
v mid-tier opponents-0.1011
v bottom-tier opponents-0.015
Evenly matched-0.1013
As underdog-0.2417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2831
Conceded when ahead+0.479
Conceded late (76+)+0.2328
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.01
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 58% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 23% | 0.14 | 0.43 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.8Home 34% P 33%2.9Draw 33% P 33%2.8Away 34% P 34%
Double Chance
1.44St Pauli or Draw 32% P 33%1.4St Pauli or Hamburg 33% P 34%1.36Draw or Hamburg 34% P 33%
Draw No Bet
2.01 46%1.722 54%
Both Teams To Score
2.05Yes 45% P 46%1.7No 55% P 54%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.62Over 36% P 37%1.5Under 64% P 63%
Total Corners
6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
5.51.83Over 50% P 45%1.83Under 50% P 55%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 34% | 36% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 33% | 32% | 29% | -3.3 |
| Away | 34% | 34% | 35% | +1.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%
Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | 46% | 47% | +0.3 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 36% | 41% | +4.2 |
Tobias Welz
- Career
- 167 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.16 (3.96 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.7 · 4.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 50 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.56 | 4.14 | +0.76 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 23.3 | 22.3 | +0.77 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.37 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.32 | -0.56 | 22 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.8 | -0.01 | 44 |
- First card
- 26' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 45' | 10 |
| 2025-11-29 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 · Hamburger SV | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 18' | 10 |
| 2025-09-27 | 7 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 4' | 12 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 57' | 12 |
| 2025-05-17 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 39' | 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 21' | 9 |
| 2025-04-12 | – | – | 13 | – | – | 3 |
| 2025-03-08 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 18' | 9 |