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Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Momentum

BVBHeidenheim
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Capacity
81,365
Surface
grass
Attendance
81,365

Teams

Coaches
Niko Kovač · Frank Schmidt
Position
2 · 18
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Matthias Jöllenbeck

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
5.1° (feels 2.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 426

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  • Spain DAZN
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  • Zambia New World Sport1 · New World Sport2 · New World Sport4 · StarTimes App
  • Zimbabwe New World Sport1 · New World Sport2 · New World Sport4

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Dortmund

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 7.44–5.89 · xPts 7.81

  • L H Inter 0–2 xG 0.62–1.28 UEFA CL
  • W A FC Union Berlin 3–0 xG 1.94–1.22 GER BI
  • L A Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 xG 0.41–2.13 UEFA CL
  • W H St. Pauli 3–2 xG 2.53–0.89 GER BI
  • W H Werder Bremen 3–0 xG 1.94–0.38 GER BI

Heidenheim

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 5.52–10.77 · xPts 4.2

  • L H RB Leipzig 0–3 xG 0.64–2.15 GER BI
  • D A VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 xG 1.11–1.13 GER BI
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 1–2 xG 1.02–1.27 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 2–2 xG 1.76–2.65 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–4 xG 1.0–3.57 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Borussia Dortmund 42 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 13–7 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Borussia Dortmund 42 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 13–7 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund 41 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 11–5 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Borussia Dortmund 3–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 1–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 4–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Heidenheim 0–0 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Dortmund 2–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund at home · 17Heidenheim all · 34Heidenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.152.410.760.53
W / D / L22 / 7 / 513 / 2 / 26 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match2.062.351.211.06
Goals against / match1.000.942.122.06
Clean sheets44%53%3%0%
Failed to score6%6%35%35%
Both teams scored50%41%62%65%
Over 2.556%59%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.251.361.27
xG against / match1.251.081.911.89
xG difference0.581.18-0.55-0.62
Finishing vs xG0.230.10-0.16-0.21
xPts / match1.692.011.101.04
Points vs xPts0.460.40-0.33-0.51
Game state
Scored first76%76%24%18%
PPG when scoring first2.502.622.001.67
PPG when conceding first1.001.750.380.29
Came back from behind54%67%23%14%
Leads held79%87%46%33%
Minutes leading42%48%15%12%
Minutes level46%40%48%50%
Minutes trailing12%13%37%39%
First goal (min)39344553
First goal conceded (min)48353941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%50%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%62%54%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.590.650.320.24
Late goals against0.350.180.440.35
Style
Possession53%56%42%43%
Shots13.114.811.411.3
On target4.85.43.63.3
Shot conversion16%16%11%9%
Shots inside box74%72%69%72%
Big chances created3.23.92.52.4
Corners5.37.24.54.4
xG from set plays36%38%33%27%
Goals from headers23%20%15%17%
Pressure index16.821.57.78.0
Dominant minutes55.464.535.333.2
Pass accuracy83%85%76%76%
Fouls11.611.59.810.3
Cards1.911.591.441.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 74% P 76%6.5Draw 15% P 15%8.5Away 11% P 9%

Double Chance

1.08Borussia Dortmund or Draw 44% P 46%1.11Borussia Dortmund or Heidenheim 43% P 43%3.75Draw or Heidenheim 13% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 67%2.75Under 34% P 33%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
3.52.0Over 46% P 39%1.72Under 54% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home76%76%77%+0.9
Draw15%15%15%-0.5
Away9%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Matthias Jöllenbeck

Career
72 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.15 (4.01 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.14-0.4337
Fouls / match22.122.3-0.25
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.8785
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
37' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-13 40 230 9'10
2025-12-21 20 140 32'6
2025-11-09 50 220 45'6
2025-10-25 · Heidenheim 20 270 57'10
2025-09-28 40 241 67'10
2025-09-14 10 211 38'7
2025-08-23 · Borussia Dortmund 51 252 22'13
2025-07-15 61 311 15'9
2025-05-09 20 210 43'7
2025-04-26 31 230 48'7