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Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Momentum

SGEB04
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,000

Teams

Coaches
Dennis Schmitt · Kasper Hjulmand
Position
8 · 6
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Schröder

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
3.8° (feels 0.3°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
88%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 14 · xG 4.27–9.6 · xPts 3.58

  • L H Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 xG 0.47–1.5 UEFA CL
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 xG 0.79–1.33 GER BI
  • L A Qarabağ 2–3 xG 1.29–2.38 UEFA CL
  • D A Werder Bremen 3–3 xG 0.84–1.56 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 2–3 xG 0.88–2.82 GER BI

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 9.45–5.97 · xPts 9.08

  • W H Villarreal 3–0 xG 2.31–0.25 UEFA CL
  • W H Werder Bremen 1–0 xG 1.71–1.04 GER BI
  • L A Olympiacos F.C. 0–2 xG 2.32–0.76 UEFA CL
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 xG 0.94–1.38 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 1–4 xG 2.17–2.54 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Eintracht Frankfurt 133 draws24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 52–90 · 3.55 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 80%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 20 draws8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 16–28 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 00 draws5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 5–17 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 5–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 5–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.741.65
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 617 / 8 / 98 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.791.712.001.76
Goals against / match1.911.591.381.65
Clean sheets21%35%24%12%
Failed to score9%6%12%24%
Both teams scored74%59%65%65%
Over 2.568%65%59%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.911.40
xG against / match1.501.241.401.71
xG difference-0.150.240.51-0.30
Finishing vs xG0.450.230.090.36
xPts / match1.311.561.651.21
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.080.080.44
Game state
Scored first50%59%65%59%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.232.30
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.830.71
Came back from behind43%33%40%38%
Leads held55%64%68%67%
Minutes leading25%22%40%39%
Minutes level46%49%39%36%
Minutes trailing29%29%20%25%
First goal (min)41493429
First goal conceded (min)35343934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%41%30%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%45%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.350.24
Late goals against0.560.290.260.35
Style
Possession55%54%59%57%
Shots12.013.215.211.7
On target4.65.35.23.8
Shot conversion15%13%13%15%
Shots inside box67%68%64%61%
Big chances created2.52.73.73.1
Corners4.75.45.64.5
xG from set plays28%32%27%26%
Goals from headers12%10%19%14%
Pressure index12.813.416.111.6
Dominant minutes48.552.457.149.4
Pass accuracy83%84%88%87%
Fouls10.410.18.68.5
Cards2.062.122.182.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-131 91%1.842.01.231.971.37
4-2-3-12 6%1.03.03.01.761.64
5-4-11 3%0.00.03.00.581.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 27%3.75Draw 25% P 26%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.66Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 28% P 27%1.25Eintracht Frankfurt or Bayer Leverkusen 37% P 37%1.36Draw or Bayer Leverkusen 34% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%26%-0.3
Draw26%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Robert Schröder

Career
94 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.36 (4.19 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.15-0.4437
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.60
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.33+0.4270
Time added6.46.8-0.5530
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.38

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 30 340 42'10
2026-01-10 30 160 21'8
2025-12-11 70 291 7'6
2025-12-06 50 231 22'16
2025-07-24 50 250 68'6
2025-05-10 10 220 67'13
2025-04-19 71 290 27'9