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Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Momentum

FC AugsburgSt. Pauli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Capacity
30,660
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,660

Teams

Coaches
Manuel Baum · Alexander Blessin
Position
13 · 17
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sascha Stegemann

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
0.3° (feels -2.8°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
96%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Augsburg

DLDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 5.84–9.13 · xPts 5.09

  • W A FC Bayern München 2–1 xG 1.33–2.0 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 2–2 xG 1.17–1.51 GER BI
  • D H FC Union Berlin 1–1 xG 0.74–1.75 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–4 xG 1.53–3.21 GER BI
  • D H Werder Bremen 0–0 xG 1.07–0.65 GER BI

St. Pauli

DLLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.55–7.84 · xPts 4.63

  • D H RB Leipzig 1–1 xG 1.23–1.45 GER BI
  • D H Hamburger SV 0–0 xG 0.31–0.37 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 2–3 xG 0.89–2.53 GER BI
  • L A VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 xG 1.84–1.91 GER BI
  • D A FSV Mainz 05 0–0 xG 0.28–1.58 GER BI

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

FC Augsburg 21 draws1 St. Pauli

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

FC Augsburg 21 draws1 St. Pauli

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

FC Augsburg 21 draws1 St. Pauli

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Augsburg 2–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • L St. Pauli 2–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D St. Pauli 1–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 3–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg at home · 17St. Pauli all · 34St. Pauli away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.530.760.53
W / D / L12 / 7 / 157 / 5 / 56 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.321.470.850.71
Goals against / match1.791.651.761.71
Clean sheets15%29%15%18%
Failed to score26%18%38%41%
Both teams scored62%59%56%47%
Over 2.562%53%56%41%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.350.990.85
xG against / match1.841.521.671.70
xG difference-0.46-0.17-0.68-0.86
Finishing vs xG-0.060.12-0.14-0.14
xPts / match1.171.310.970.83
Points vs xPts0.100.22-0.21-0.31
Game state
Scored first50%59%29%29%
PPG when scoring first1.762.201.701.40
PPG when conceding first0.750.500.290.09
Came back from behind21%17%17%8%
Leads held57%64%54%40%
Minutes leading24%29%13%12%
Minutes level46%48%50%47%
Minutes trailing30%23%37%40%
First goal (min)42455047
First goal conceded (min)41454034
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%60%62%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%46%62%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.290.210.12
Late goals against0.290.180.380.35
Style
Possession44%45%44%44%
Shots13.213.210.39.9
On target4.65.13.42.5
Shot conversion10%11%8%7%
Shots inside box64%66%59%57%
Big chances created2.22.51.71.5
Corners4.65.24.73.6
xG from set plays31%25%34%19%
Goals from headers16%12%24%25%
Pressure index9.512.18.46.2
Dominant minutes40.546.938.232.0
Pass accuracy78%79%77%77%
Fouls11.011.39.69.7
Cards2.472.651.681.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

St. Pauli

0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.103
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

St. Pauli

No pressure profile yet.

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

St. Pauli

Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-118 53%0.890.831.891.011.79
3-4-1-210 29%0.81.01.71.241.61
3-4-32 6%0.50.51.00.430.85
3-5-22 6%0.00.51.50.691.33
5-4-12 6%0.51.02.00.371.94

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.2Draw 30% P 31%3.75Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Augsburg or Draw 39% P 38%1.36Augsburg or St Pauli 35% P 34%1.8Draw or St Pauli 26% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 48%1.61No 58% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 40%1.5Under 64% P 60%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 22.5–25% · 143 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%48%+3.5
Draw31%32%30%-1.7
Away24%24%22%-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.1 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 36%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

Sascha Stegemann

Career
194 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.15-0.5726
Fouls / match21.622.3-0.75
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.33-1.2315
Time added6.76.8-0.2333
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-22 30 250 55'4
2026-01-17 10 130 29'9
2025-12-20 20 241 82'11
2025-12-07 80 210 32'8
2025-11-27 30 211 11'6
2025-11-21 51 260 24'11
2025-10-25 31 151 19'16
2025-10-04 40 270 6'9
2025-09-24 50 320 2'5
2025-09-19 · St. Pauli 20 281 40'7