Rating 7.14 (88th pct) · G+A 13 + 9 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Momentum
– RB LeipzigFSV Mainz 05 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| RB Leipzig | at home | Stat | league | away | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.9 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.9 #16 |
| 15.8 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.1 #13 |
| 6.0 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #13 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.1 #7 |
| 9.3 #15 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.0 #7 |
| 1.4 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #2 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.3 #9 |
| 105.0 #6 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 100.0 #7 |
| 49.9 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 49.7 #7 |
| 502.9 #4 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 370.8 #16 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 1.5 #4 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #17 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #5 |
| 2.1 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| -0.1 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.3 #18 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.9 #5 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.4 #15 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 #11 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 9.1 #9 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.0 #18 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 4.2 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #11 |
| 11.3 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| 5.6 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.6 #15 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 2.9 #18 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
RB Leipzig · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.19 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.41 (95th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Rating 6.97 (75th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (60th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
Absences
RB Leipzig
- injury Kevin Kampl midfielder · Ill · 52 missed
- injury Suleiman Sani attacker · Ankle Injury · 6 missed · until 2026-03-02
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 20
Venue
- Stadium
- Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
- Capacity
- 47,069
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 35,487
Teams
- Coaches
- Ole Werner · Urs Fischer
- Position
- 4 · 16
- Formation
- 4-4-1-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Daniel Schlager
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 2.0° (feels -1.2°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 80%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
RB Leipzig
LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 10.57–7.96 · xPts 8.85
- D
A
St. Pauli
1–1
xG 1.45–1.23
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
3–0
xG 2.15–0.64
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 2.25–3.88
GER BI
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–0
xG 2.43–0.13
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–3
xG 2.29–2.07
GER BI
LWDWLLWLWD 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 18 GA 15 · xG 19.79–13.46 · xPts 17.81
- D
A
St. Pauli
1–1
xG 1.45–1.23
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
3–0
xG 2.15–0.64
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 2.25–3.88
GER BI
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–0
xG 2.43–0.13
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–3
xG 2.29–2.07
GER BI
- L
A
FC Union Berlin
1–3
xG 0.54–1.17
GER BI
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
xG 3.09–0.99
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.27–0.48
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 2.32–1.03
GER BI
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–3
xG 2.0–1.82
GER BI
FSV Mainz 05
DDWLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.28–7.18 · xPts 7.62
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3–1
xG 3.51–1.08
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–2
xG 0.83–2.03
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 1.27–1.02
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
2–2
xG 1.09–2.77
GER BI
- D
H
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 1.58–0.28
GER BI
LLDDWDDWLW 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 13 GA 14 · xG 13.28–20.56 · xPts 11.26
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3–1
xG 3.51–1.08
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–2
xG 0.83–2.03
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 1.27–1.02
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
2–2
xG 1.09–2.77
GER BI
- D
H
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 1.58–0.28
GER BI
- W
H
Samsunspor
2–0
xG 2.0–0.77
UEFA ECL - D
A
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 0.54–3.86
GER BI
- D
A
Lech Poznań
1–1
xG 1.73–2.8
UEFA ECL - L
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–1
xG 0.63–2.23
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
0–4
xG 0.09–3.72
GER BI
All meetings · 20 matches since 2016
Goals 43–28 · 3.55 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 70%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–12 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L RB Leipzig 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L RB Leipzig 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- D RB Leipzig 0–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L RB Leipzig 0–3 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 4–1 FSV Mainz 05 neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 1–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 34 | RB Leipzig at home · 17 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.91 | 2.24 | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 | 12 / 2 / 3 | 10 / 10 / 14 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.94 | 2.35 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.56 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 35% | 12% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 0% | 29% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 65% | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 76% | 53% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.07 | 2.44 | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.65 | 1.89 |
| xG difference | 0.65 | 1.01 | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.09 | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.76 | 1.96 | 1.39 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | 0.27 | -0.22 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 88% | 47% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.27 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.87 | 2.00 | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | 53% | 54% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 42% | 28% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 43% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 11% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 41 | 37 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 44 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 48% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 75% | 57% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 56% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 15.8 | 17.3 | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| On target | 6.0 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 77% | 76% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 24% | 39% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 18% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 16.1 | 20.1 | 10.9 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.5 | 61.8 | 44.0 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.53 | 1.35 | 2.24 | 2.53 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.222
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.394
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.56 · Ahead vs level +0.72 · Behind vs level +1.07
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 85% | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.48 | 2.01 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 9% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 2.51 | 1.22 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.54 | 3.86 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig at home · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 4 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.17 | 2.57 | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | 0.85 | 1.27 | 0.36 | 0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | 0.03 | -0.41 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.85 | 2.08 | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.22 | -0.53 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.38 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 67% | 17% | 33% |
| Leads held | 100% | 78% | 75% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 45% | 34% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 34% | 34% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 12% | 32% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 41 | 39 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 58 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 40% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 78% | 65% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 60% | 48% | 44% |
| Shots | 18.1 | 18.0 | 15.9 | 11.6 |
| On target | 7.1 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 9% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 76% | 69% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 22% | 31% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 12% | 7% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 18.0 | 18.7 | 14.4 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 66.2 | 51.0 | 44.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig at home · 18 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 44 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.28 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 10 | 13 / 2 / 3 | 17 / 12 / 15 | 8 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 2.09 | 2.56 | 1.36 | 1.32 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.11 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 39% | 27% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 0% | 27% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 61% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 83% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.12 | 2.48 | 1.60 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | 0.73 | 1.08 | 0.04 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.07 | -0.24 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.80 | 1.99 | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.29 | -0.01 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 89% | 52% | 54% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.31 | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.78 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 23% | 40% | 32% | 27% |
| Leads held | 74% | 76% | 63% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 46% | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 44% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 11% | 25% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 38 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 52 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 52% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 55% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 16.1 | 17.7 | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| On target | 6.3 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 76% | 74% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 38% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 16.7 | 19.4 | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 59.8 | 46.3 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 8.4 | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 1.54 | 1.28 | 2.20 | 2.55 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1727
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.0924
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.263
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2512
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.55Home 62% P 62%4.75Draw 20% P 21%5.5Away 18% P 17%
Double Chance
1.14RB Leipzig or Draw 41% P 42%1.18RB Leipzig or Mainz 39% P 40%2.37Draw or Mainz 20% P 19%
Draw No Bet
1.21 78%4.332 22%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 62%2.2No 42% P 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.5Over 64% P 66%2.62Under 36% P 34%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | 23% | +0.7 |
| Away | 17% | 16% | 15% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Daniel Schlager
- Career
- 120 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.56 (4.36 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.0 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 71 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.62 | 4.15 | +0.88 | 85 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 22.3 | -0.38 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.4 | -0.86 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.38 | 0.33 | +0.56 | 74 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.8 | +0.30 | 67 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.18
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 48' | 11 |
| 2026-01-09 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 29' | 7 |
| 2025-12-12 · RB Leipzig | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 37' | 5 |
| 2025-11-30 · FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 28' | 7 |
| 2025-11-06 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 23' | 6 |
| 2025-11-02 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 10' | 15 |
| 2025-10-24 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 23' | 9 |
| 2025-10-05 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 54' | 4 |
| 2025-10-02 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 2' | 10 |
| 2025-09-20 · FSV Mainz 05 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 16' | 13 |