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Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Momentum

SVWBMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity
42,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,800

Teams

Coaches
Horst Steffen · Eugen Polanski
Position
15 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
-0.1° (feels -5.6°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
80%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Werder Bremen

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 5.52–6.35 · xPts 6.29

  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 0–2 xG 1.89–0.79 GER BI
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 xG 1.04–1.71 GER BI
  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 xG 1.56–0.84 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–3 xG 0.38–1.94 GER BI
  • D A FC Augsburg 0–0 xG 0.65–1.07 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.19–8.89 · xPts 5.08

  • L H VfB Stuttgart 0–3 xG 1.24–1.67 GER BI
  • D A Hamburger SV 0–0 xG 0.54–1.29 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–5 xG 0.76–3.17 GER BI
  • W H FC Augsburg 4–0 xG 3.21–1.53 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.44–1.23 GER BI

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Werder Bremen 813 draws17 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 62–76 · 3.63 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Werder Bremen 24 draws4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 21–21 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 12 draws2 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 10–11 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Werder Bremen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–4 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 2–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 2–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 5–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 2–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
MetricWerder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.121.120.82
W / D / L8 / 8 / 185 / 4 / 89 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.091.121.241.06
Goals against / match1.761.821.561.71
Clean sheets18%18%38%29%
Failed to score38%35%35%35%
Both teams scored47%47%41%47%
Over 2.553%53%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.421.351.31
xG against / match1.581.351.511.59
xG difference-0.370.07-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.30-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.211.471.271.21
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.35-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first29%29%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.102.602.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.430.500.070.10
Came back from behind25%33%18%18%
Leads held62%71%64%60%
Minutes leading16%17%19%14%
Minutes level41%38%52%52%
Minutes trailing43%46%28%35%
First goal (min)52544858
First goal conceded (min)35334040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%74%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%52%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.380.35
Late goals against0.320.290.350.47
Style
Possession51%54%47%48%
Shots13.115.411.611.7
On target4.14.74.13.8
Shot conversion8%7%11%9%
Shots inside box62%63%66%68%
Big chances created1.71.91.91.6
Corners4.64.93.84.2
xG from set plays24%23%34%29%
Goals from headers19%32%20%12%
Pressure index12.617.09.99.3
Dominant minutes47.860.441.940.9
Pass accuracy82%82%82%81%
Fouls9.910.310.811.0
Cards2.472.591.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
4-3-32 6%0.00.52.01.52.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 44%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.25Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Werder Bremen or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Werder Bremen or Borussia M'gladbach 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.224.15+0.0052
Fouls / match21.822.3-0.57
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.33-0.2130
Time added6.96.8-0.0244
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-28 90 300 29'8
2026-01-17 80 160 18'6
2026-01-10 60 242 38'6
2025-12-14 51 210 11'8
2025-12-09 50 251 13'13
2025-11-29 20 130 39'8
2025-11-26 11 261 45'7
2025-11-07 · Werder Bremen 20 210 61'7
2025-10-26 70 231 45'11
2025-10-22 31 213 17'10