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Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Momentum

TSGFCU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Capacity
30,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,341

Teams

Coaches
Christian Ilzer · Steffen Baumgart
Position
3 · 9
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robin Braun

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
3.0° (feels 0.3°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 417

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

TSG Hoffenheim

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 6.85–5.62 · xPts 7.2

  • W A Werder Bremen 2–0 xG 0.79–1.89 GER BI
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 xG 1.33–0.79 GER BI
  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 xG 1.38–0.94 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 5–1 xG 3.17–0.76 GER BI
  • D A VfB Stuttgart 0–0 xG 0.19–1.25 GER BI

FC Union Berlin

WDDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 9.11–6.14 · xPts 8.83

  • L H Borussia Dortmund 0–3 xG 1.22–1.94 GER BI
  • D A VfB Stuttgart 1–1 xG 1.72–1.75 GER BI
  • D A FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 1.75–0.74 GER BI
  • D H FSV Mainz 05 2–2 xG 2.77–1.09 GER BI
  • W A FC Köln 1–0 xG 1.65–0.62 GER BI

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

TSG Hoffenheim 62 draws6 FC Union Berlin

Goals 26–23 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 71%

Last 10 · 10 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 41 draws5 FC Union Berlin

Goals 18–19 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 20 draws3 FC Union Berlin

Goals 8–10 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–4 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 0–4 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 2–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 0–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 4–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 2–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D TSG Hoffenheim 2–2 FC Union Berlin neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricTSG Hoffenheim all · 34TSG Hoffenheim at home · 17FC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.881.151.00
W / D / L18 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 510 / 9 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.912.061.291.06
Goals against / match1.531.241.711.88
Clean sheets21%24%21%18%
Failed to score18%12%24%29%
Both teams scored65%65%62%53%
Over 2.571%71%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.861.371.17
xG against / match1.461.211.481.79
xG difference0.250.65-0.11-0.62
Finishing vs xG0.200.20-0.07-0.11
xPts / match1.581.781.371.09
Points vs xPts0.210.10-0.22-0.09
Game state
Scored first47%59%41%35%
PPG when scoring first2.752.802.212.50
PPG when conceding first0.940.570.330.18
Came back from behind47%29%29%17%
Leads held86%91%71%83%
Minutes leading37%46%18%10%
Minutes level40%35%50%54%
Minutes trailing22%19%31%36%
First goal (min)34365363
First goal conceded (min)37474343
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%40%66%72%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%62%53%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.410.500.47
Late goals against0.350.350.410.35
Style
Possession55%57%40%39%
Shots14.116.212.511.7
On target5.25.93.93.5
Shot conversion14%13%10%9%
Shots inside box69%68%73%74%
Big chances created2.83.12.21.9
Corners5.86.45.04.8
xG from set plays35%36%48%46%
Goals from headers22%21%21%18%
Pressure index14.516.69.18.5
Dominant minutes56.963.434.732.1
Pass accuracy80%82%72%72%
Fouls13.913.412.312.5
Cards2.261.822.151.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 26%1.891.781.562.051.33
4-4-25 15%1.82.22.21.461.69
4-3-1-24 12%1.752.251.02.011.21
4-3-34 12%2.252.251.251.471.11
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.361.13

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.01.940.21

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 52% P 52%3.8Draw 25% P 26%4.2Away 23% P 21%

Double Chance

1.22TSG Hoffenheim or Draw 38% P 39%1.25TSG Hoffenheim or Union Berlin 37% P 37%1.9Draw or Union Berlin 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 56%2.0No 47% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 54%1.9Under 50% P 46%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw26%27%26%-1.4
Away21%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Robin Braun

Career
13 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.23 (4.0 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.5 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.54
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.624.14+0.8985
Fouls / match21.522.3-0.86
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.25 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.540.32+2.37100
Time added8.56.8+1.6696
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-14 40 151 50'8
2025-11-22 51 230 34'7
2025-10-25 10 170 37'4
2025-09-27 40 161 24'8
2025-08-30 71 212 37'14
2025-02-02 · TSG Hoffenheim 71 210 34'9