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Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Momentum

FCUSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Capacity
22,012
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,012

Teams

Coaches
Steffen Baumgart · Riera
Position
9 · 8
Formation
5-3-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sören Storks

Weather

Conditions
fog
Temperature
1.2° (feels -1.1°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 437

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Union Berlin

DDDLL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 8.92–7.16 · xPts 7.98

  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 xG 1.45–1.64 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 0–3 xG 1.22–1.94 GER BI
  • D A VfB Stuttgart 1–1 xG 1.72–1.75 GER BI
  • D A FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 1.75–0.74 GER BI
  • D H FSV Mainz 05 2–2 xG 2.77–1.09 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 14 · xG 4.32–7.84 · xPts 4.42

  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 0.93–1.06 GER BI
  • L H Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 xG 0.47–1.5 UEFA CL
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 xG 0.79–1.33 GER BI
  • L A Qarabağ 2–3 xG 1.29–2.38 UEFA CL
  • D A Werder Bremen 3–3 xG 0.84–1.56 GER BI

All meetings · 15 matches since 2019

FC Union Berlin 55 draws5 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 24–27 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Union Berlin 44 draws2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Union Berlin 23 draws0 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 11–9 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 3–4 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin at home · 17Eintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.291.291.12
W / D / L10 / 9 / 155 / 7 / 511 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.291.531.791.88
Goals against / match1.711.531.912.24
Clean sheets21%24%21%6%
Failed to score24%18%9%12%
Both teams scored62%71%74%88%
Over 2.562%71%68%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.561.351.21
xG against / match1.481.161.501.76
xG difference-0.110.40-0.15-0.55
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.030.450.67
xPts / match1.371.641.311.06
Points vs xPts-0.22-0.35-0.020.05
Game state
Scored first41%47%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.212.001.941.57
PPG when conceding first0.330.570.630.78
Came back from behind29%44%43%50%
Leads held71%62%55%44%
Minutes leading18%27%25%28%
Minutes level50%47%46%42%
Minutes trailing31%26%29%30%
First goal (min)53454133
First goal conceded (min)43443536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%62%56%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%58%58%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.530.380.35
Late goals against0.410.470.560.82
Style
Possession40%41%55%56%
Shots12.513.212.010.9
On target3.94.44.63.9
Shot conversion10%12%15%17%
Shots inside box73%71%67%66%
Big chances created2.22.52.52.4
Corners5.05.24.73.9
xG from set plays48%50%28%22%
Goals from headers21%23%12%12%
Pressure index9.19.812.812.3
Dominant minutes34.737.348.544.5
Pass accuracy72%70%83%83%
Fouls12.312.110.410.6
Cards2.152.592.062.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
4-2-2-21 3%3.01.00.00.641.39

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.25Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.3Union Berlin or Draw 36% P 36%1.28Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt 37% P 36%1.7Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 53%2.1No 44% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Sören Storks

Career
70 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.16 (3.97 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.0 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 30 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.234.14+2.24100
Fouls / match20.822.3-1.48
Fouls per card4.15.4-2.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.32-1.850
Time added7.86.8+0.9389
First card
38' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 20 181 43'8
2025-12-13 51 210 25'9
2025-11-30 61 280 23'7
2025-11-01 · FC Union Berlin 70 330 1'10
2025-10-04 40 170 68'9
2025-08-31 81 291 40'16
2025-05-03 · FC Union Berlin 50 170 45'7
2025-04-20 50 240 63'5
2025-03-30 · FC Union Berlin 70 190 68'10
2025-03-01 50 240 6'3