Rating 7.87 (100th pct) · G+A 36 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.64 ppg with (25) · 2.56 without (9)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Momentum
– FCBTSG –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| FC Bayern München | at home | Stat | league | away | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.4 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 55.2 #4 |
| 19.2 #1 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 14.1 #5 |
| 8.5 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #4 |
| 6.3 #1 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 8.8 #16 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 13.9 #1 |
| 2.4 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 12.9 #18 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.5 #7 |
| 136.3 #1 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 108.2 #4 |
| 70.8 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 53.1 #4 |
| 700.9 #1 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 472.5 #8 |
| 1.7 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| 2.8 #1 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.4 #6 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #14 |
| 2.7 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #6 |
| 0.9 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #11 |
| 3.6 #1 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 #6 |
| 1.1 #17 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 #13 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #8 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.3 #16 |
| – #18 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 7.1 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 4.9 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #10 |
| 13.0 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.7 #5 |
| 5.8 #2 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #3 |
| 6.2 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.4 #7 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Bayern München · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 19 (28% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.52 ppg with (23) · 2.82 without (11)
Rating 7.45 (98th pct) · G+A 16 + 14 (25% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 2.74 ppg with (27) · 2.14 without (7)
TSG Hoffenheim · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.09 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Rating 7.12 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 7.18 (93th pct) · G+A 14 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.08 ppg with (26) · 0.88 without (8)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 21
Venue
- Stadium
- Allianz Arena, Munich
- Capacity
- 75,024
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 75,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Vincent Kompany · Christian Ilzer
- Position
- 1 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
Referee
Tobias Stieler
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 6.2° (feels 5.1°)
- Wind
- 3.5
- Humidity
- 78%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Bayern München
WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 13.78–7.55 · xPts 10.24
- D
A
Hamburger SV
2–2
xG 2.41–2.56
GER BI
- W
A
PSV
2–1
xG 2.06–0.77
UEFA CL - L
H
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 2.0–1.33
GER BI
- W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2–0
xG 3.42–0.65
UEFA CL - W
A
RB Leipzig
5–1
xG 3.88–2.25
GER BI
WDWWWWWLWD 7W 2D 1L · 23 pts (2.3 ppg) · GF 32 GA 11 · xG 27.24–10.94 · xPts 22.56
- D
A
Hamburger SV
2–2
xG 2.41–2.56
GER BI
- W
A
PSV
2–1
xG 2.06–0.77
UEFA CL
- L
H
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 2.0–1.33
GER BI
- W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2–0
xG 3.42–0.65
UEFA CL
- W
A
RB Leipzig
5–1
xG 3.88–2.25
GER BI
- W
A
FC Köln
3–1
xG 1.5–0.6
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
8–1
xG 2.33–0.92
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
4–0
xG 3.57–1.0
GER BI
- D
H
FSV Mainz 05
2–2
xG 3.86–0.54
GER BI
- W
H
Sporting CP
3–1
xG 2.21–0.33
UEFA CL
TSG Hoffenheim
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 3 · xG 8.31–5.83 · xPts 8.24
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–1
xG 1.64–1.45
GER BI
- W
A
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 0.79–1.89
GER BI
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
xG 1.33–0.79
GER BI
- W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
xG 1.38–0.94
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5–1
xG 3.17–0.76
GER BI
DWLWDWWWWW 7W 2D 1L · 23 pts (2.3 ppg) · GF 22 GA 7 · xG 14.83–12.53 · xPts 14.9
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–1
xG 1.64–1.45
GER BI
- W
A
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 0.79–1.89
GER BI
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
xG 1.33–0.79
GER BI
- W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
xG 1.38–0.94
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5–1
xG 3.17–0.76
GER BI
- D
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–0
xG 0.19–1.25
GER BI
- W
H
Hamburger SV
4–1
xG 1.48–1.39
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 1.49–0.94
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
3–0
xG 1.86–0.87
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 1.51–2.27
GER BI
All meetings · 36 matches since 2008
Goals 93–34 · 3.53 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 64%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 31–8 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 20–6 · 5.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 1–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 0–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 5–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- L TSG Hoffenheim 4–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 3–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Bayern München 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 0–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 4–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 34 | FC Bayern München at home · 17 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 34 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.62 | 2.59 | 1.79 | 1.71 |
| W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 | 14 / 2 / 1 | 18 / 7 / 9 | 8 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 3.59 | 4.00 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.53 | 1.82 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 29% | 21% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 18% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 71% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 71% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.70 | 2.94 | 1.71 | 1.56 |
| xG against / match | 1.22 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | 1.48 | 1.94 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.89 | 1.06 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 2.15 | 2.35 | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.47 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 76% | 47% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.77 | 2.62 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.33 | 2.50 | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 93% | 83% | 47% | 60% |
| Leads held | 90% | 88% | 86% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 50% | 59% | 37% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 31% | 40% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 10% | 22% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 25 | 34 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 41 | 37 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 47% | 45% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 47% | 50% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.03 | 0.82 | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 67% | 68% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 19.2 | 21.5 | 14.1 | 12.0 |
| On target | 8.5 | 8.9 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 19% | 19% | 14% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 69% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 4.9 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 24% | 35% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 9% | 22% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 27.5 | 30.1 | 14.5 | 12.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 74.2 | 79.8 | 56.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 91% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.5 | 13.9 | 14.5 |
| Cards | 1.79 | 1.35 | 2.26 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044
Game state
When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774
Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05
TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073
Game state
When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013
Situations
At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154
Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 97% | 2.67 | 3.61 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.56 | 2.05 | 1.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 15% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.36 | 1.13 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 10 | FC Bayern München at home · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 3.00 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 90% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.30 | 2.82 | 1.84 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.44 | 1.27 | 1.44 | 1.93 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 1.54 | 0.40 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.70 | 1.08 | -0.24 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 2.17 | 1.64 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.43 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 70% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 3.00 | 1.86 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.67 | 2.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 100% | 20% | 29% |
| Leads held | 86% | 100% | 57% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 46% | 40% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 31% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 23% | 20% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 35 | 27 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 36 | 40 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 73% | 62% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 38% | 65% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 69% | 68% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 18.6 | 22.9 | 16.3 | 13.8 |
| On target | 7.5 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 17% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 62% | 60% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 4.5 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.9 | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 35% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 8% | 12% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 22.0 | 22.1 | 15.2 | 13.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 68.1 | 71.9 | 58.9 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 7.7 | 7.4 | 15.1 | 15.0 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.10 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'22
16–30'44
31–45'24
46–60'63
61–75'61
76–90'101
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'23
16–30'43
31–45'51
46–60'22
61–75'24
76–90'17
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.22 | 3.0 | 1.33 | 2.32 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 2.04 | 1.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.54 | 1.8 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.22 | 1.99 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 48 | FC Bayern München at home · 23 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 35 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 23 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.52 | 2.61 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 38 / 7 / 3 | 19 / 3 / 1 | 17 / 7 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 3.33 | 3.70 | 1.83 | 1.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.57 | 1.94 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 26% | 20% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 2% | 0% | 20% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 74% | 63% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 91% | 69% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.64 | 2.91 | 1.74 | 1.59 |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.45 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 1.37 | 1.86 | 0.29 | -0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.69 | 0.79 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 2.10 | 2.31 | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.42 | 0.29 | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 70% | 51% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.74 | 2.69 | 2.44 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.19 | 2.43 | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Came back from behind | 84% | 89% | 39% | 46% |
| Leads held | 90% | 90% | 77% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 51% | 37% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 33% | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 15% | 21% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 41 | 40 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 58% | 44% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 56% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 66% | 67% | 56% | 55% |
| Shots | 19.2 | 21.7 | 14.8 | 13.0 |
| On target | 8.3 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 17% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 67% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 4.8 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.3 | 6.1 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 33% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 12% | 22% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 25.8 | 28.8 | 15.1 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 70.2 | 76.8 | 57.6 | 52.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 8.6 | 14.1 | 14.9 |
| Cards | 1.69 | 1.30 | 2.29 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'137
16–30'2111
31–45'2810
46–60'266
61–75'277
76–90'4514
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'68
16–30'129
31–45'187
46–60'135
61–75'711
76–90'815
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 48 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.69) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.06
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6948
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6048
Late push (76+, level)+0.9014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5010
Game state
When ahead+0.7542
When level+0.7248
When behind+0.5019
10 min after conceding+0.2930
10 min after scoring+1.0647
Situations
With ten men+0.363
Against ten men+0.455
At home+0.7723
Away+0.6325
3 days rest or fewer+0.8314
4+ days rest+0.6334
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4521
v mid-tier opponents+0.8212
v bottom-tier opponents+0.686
As favourite+0.7744
Evenly matched+0.123
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2548
Conceded when ahead-0.3542
Conceded late (76+)-0.5035
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.22
TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2135
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2935
Late push (76+, level)-0.1611
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0110
Game state
When ahead+0.1322
When level+0.2135
When behind+0.3318
10 min after conceding-0.1026
10 min after scoring+0.5528
Situations
With ten men+0.203
Against ten men-0.013
At home+0.0418
Away+0.3917
3 days rest or fewer+0.182
4+ days rest+0.2133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0713
v mid-tier opponents+0.4310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.325
As favourite+0.3318
Evenly matched+0.1112
As underdog-0.025
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2035
Conceded when ahead-0.1422
Conceded late (76+)-0.1530
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.11
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 47 98% | 2.55 | 3.34 | 1.11 | 2.65 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.14 |
| 4-4-2 | 7 20% | 1.29 | 2.14 | 2.43 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 11% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.61 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.97 | 1.24 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.2Home 79% P 75%8.0Draw 12% P 14%10.0Away 9% P 11%
Double Chance
1.08Bayern Munich or Draw 44% P 45%1.11Bayern Munich or TSG Hoffenheim 43% P 43%3.5Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 14% P 12%
Draw No Bet
1.11 86%7.02 14%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.28Over 75%3.75Under 25%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
2.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 70–80% · away 10–20% · 777 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 75% | 72% | 74% | +2.4 |
| Draw | 14% | 17% | 16% | -1.3 |
| Away | 11% | 11% | 10% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 65%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Tobias Stieler
- Career
- 284 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.05 (3.83 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 42%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.59 | 4.14 | -1.38 | 4 |
| Fouls / match | 21.2 | 22.3 | -1.05 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.0 | 5.4 | +0.86 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.36 | 0.32 | +0.37 | 63 |
| Time added | 7.0 | 6.8 | +0.09 | 56 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 24% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 26' | 8 |
| 2026-01-24 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 89' | 4 |
| 2025-12-20 | – | – | 20 | – | – | 11 |
| 2025-12-06 · FC Bayern München | 6 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 2' | 12 |
| 2025-11-26 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2025-11-23 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 38' | 8 |
| 2025-10-31 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 49' | 9 |
| 2025-10-23 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 15' | 10 |
| 2025-10-05 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 55' | 6 |
| 2025-10-02 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 13' | 8 |