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Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Momentum

FC AugsburgHeidenheim
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Capacity
30,660
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,107

Teams

Coaches
Manuel Baum · Frank Schmidt
Position
13 · 18
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-3-1-3

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
-0.8° (feels -4.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
85%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Augsburg

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.98–10.05 · xPts 3.86

  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 0.77–2.23 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–1 xG 0.98–2.55 GER BI
  • W A FC Bayern München 2–1 xG 1.33–2.0 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 2–2 xG 1.17–1.51 GER BI
  • D H FC Union Berlin 1–1 xG 0.74–1.75 GER BI

Heidenheim

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 6.64–10.49 · xPts 4.88

  • L H Hamburger SV 0–2 xG 1.63–1.84 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 2–3 xG 2.25–4.1 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 0–3 xG 0.64–2.15 GER BI
  • D A VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 xG 1.11–1.13 GER BI
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 1–2 xG 1.02–1.27 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

FC Augsburg 40 draws2 Heidenheim

Goals 10–9 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 6 matches

FC Augsburg 40 draws2 Heidenheim

Goals 10–9 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Augsburg 30 draws2 Heidenheim

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Augsburg 1–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 2–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 2–1 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 4–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 1–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 2–5 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg at home · 17Heidenheim all · 34Heidenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.530.760.53
W / D / L12 / 7 / 157 / 5 / 56 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.321.471.211.06
Goals against / match1.791.652.122.06
Clean sheets15%29%3%0%
Failed to score26%18%35%35%
Both teams scored62%59%62%65%
Over 2.562%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.351.361.27
xG against / match1.841.521.911.89
xG difference-0.46-0.17-0.55-0.62
Finishing vs xG-0.060.12-0.16-0.21
xPts / match1.171.311.101.04
Points vs xPts0.100.22-0.33-0.51
Game state
Scored first50%59%24%18%
PPG when scoring first1.762.202.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.750.500.380.29
Came back from behind21%17%23%14%
Leads held57%64%46%33%
Minutes leading24%29%15%12%
Minutes level46%48%48%50%
Minutes trailing30%23%37%39%
First goal (min)42454553
First goal conceded (min)41453941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%60%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%46%54%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.290.320.24
Late goals against0.290.180.440.35
Style
Possession44%45%42%43%
Shots13.213.211.411.3
On target4.65.13.63.3
Shot conversion10%11%11%9%
Shots inside box64%66%69%72%
Big chances created2.22.52.52.4
Corners4.65.24.54.4
xG from set plays31%25%33%27%
Goals from headers16%12%15%17%
Pressure index9.512.17.78.0
Dominant minutes40.546.935.333.2
Pass accuracy78%79%76%76%
Fouls11.011.39.810.3
Cards2.472.651.441.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.113
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 50%3.75Draw 25% P 26%3.8Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Augsburg or Draw 38% P 38%1.25Augsburg or Heidenheim 38% P 37%1.9Draw or Heidenheim 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 60%2.1No 44% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 57%2.1Under 45% P 43%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-1.9
Draw26%28%29%+1.7
Away24%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.224.14+0.0152
Fouls / match21.822.3-0.57
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.2030
Time added6.96.8-0.0144
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 10 240 44'6
2026-01-28 90 300 29'8
2026-01-17 80 160 18'6
2026-01-10 60 242 38'6
2025-12-14 51 210 11'8
2025-12-09 50 251 13'13
2025-11-29 20 130 39'8
2025-11-26 11 261 45'7
2025-11-07 20 210 61'7
2025-10-26 70 231 45'11