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Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Momentum

VFBFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Capacity
60,449
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,000

Teams

Coaches
Sebastian Hoeneß · Lukas Kwasniok
Position
6 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Robert Hartmann

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
2.0° (feels -1.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
92%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfB Stuttgart

LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 9.15–6.7 · xPts 8.28

  • L A St. Pauli 1–2 xG 0.62–1.9 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 1–0 xG 2.15–0.82 GER BI
  • W H Young Boys 3–2 xG 3.26–1.69 UEFA EL
  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 xG 1.67–1.24 GER BI
  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 1.44–1.05 UEFA EL

FC Köln

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 6.98–8.7 · xPts 5.92

  • L H RB Leipzig 1–2 xG 1.36–2.79 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 xG 1.13–1.29 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.85–2.3 GER BI
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 2–1 xG 2.03–0.83 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–3 xG 0.6–1.5 GER BI

All meetings · 27 matches since 2005

VfB Stuttgart 137 draws7 FC Köln

Goals 45–30 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfB Stuttgart 72 draws1 FC Köln

Goals 18–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfB Stuttgart 41 draws0 FC Köln

Goals 12–4 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W VfB Stuttgart 4–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfB Stuttgart 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 0–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 2–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 1–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart at home · 17FC Köln all · 34FC Köln away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.822.290.940.76
W / D / L18 / 8 / 812 / 3 / 27 / 11 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match2.091.761.441.12
Goals against / match1.440.941.851.94
Clean sheets32%47%9%12%
Failed to score9%18%12%18%
Both teams scored62%41%79%71%
Over 2.574%47%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.802.001.491.39
xG against / match1.541.201.661.88
xG difference0.260.80-0.18-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.28-0.23-0.05-0.27
xPts / match1.581.861.271.10
Points vs xPts0.240.43-0.33-0.34
Game state
Scored first53%53%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.332.781.571.60
PPG when conceding first1.271.860.500.42
Came back from behind56%71%38%43%
Leads held75%92%44%40%
Minutes leading32%30%19%11%
Minutes level47%58%51%55%
Minutes trailing21%11%30%34%
First goal (min)40434248
First goal conceded (min)38374442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%53%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%56%56%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.530.560.47
Late goals against0.500.470.350.41
Style
Possession58%58%47%46%
Shots15.216.613.411.7
On target6.16.24.73.8
Shot conversion14%11%11%10%
Shots inside box66%65%70%71%
Big chances created3.33.72.52.1
Corners5.75.94.64.4
xG from set plays24%22%27%29%
Goals from headers9%10%16%16%
Pressure index19.217.511.08.6
Dominant minutes61.563.442.835.8
Pass accuracy84%84%80%80%
Fouls9.69.38.38.1
Cards1.911.942.001.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 64%5.0Draw 19% P 20%5.25Away 18% P 16%

Double Chance

1.12VfB Stuttgart or Draw 42% P 42%1.18VfB Stuttgart or Cologne 40% P 40%2.62Draw or Cologne 18% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%63%64%+0.7
Draw20%21%19%-2.0
Away16%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Robert Hartmann

Career
180 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.63 (3.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.974.14-0.5430
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.41
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.32+0.4367
Time added7.06.8+0.0956
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.37

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 10 261 59'9
2026-01-14 40 280 14'8
2025-12-14 · VfB Stuttgart 21 170 11'10
2025-11-22 30 190 34'7
2025-11-01 40 190 18'8
2025-10-05 50 270 17'10
2025-09-20 30 262 9'14
2025-08-23 · VfB Stuttgart 80 340 26'14
2025-04-26 30 240 37'12
2025-04-05 31 220 4'6