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Bundesliga · Matchweek 23

Momentum

FC KölnTSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Capacity
50,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
49,600

Teams

Coaches
Lukas Kwasniok · Christian Ilzer
Position
12 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Robert Schröder

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.6° (feels 9.9°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
86%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Köln

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 7.87–9.14 · xPts 6.34

  • L A VfB Stuttgart 1–3 xG 1.49–1.93 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 1–2 xG 1.36–2.79 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 xG 1.13–1.29 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.85–2.3 GER BI
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 2–1 xG 2.03–0.83 GER BI

TSG Hoffenheim

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 7.41–10.92 · xPts 6.22

  • W H SC Freiburg 3–0 xG 2.31–1.02 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–5 xG 1.33–5.76 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 3–1 xG 1.64–1.45 GER BI
  • W A Werder Bremen 2–0 xG 0.79–1.89 GER BI
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 xG 1.33–0.79 GER BI

All meetings · 29 matches since 2008

FC Köln 79 draws13 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 33–59 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Köln 33 draws4 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 12–19 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Köln 22 draws1 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Köln 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 0–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 5–0 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Köln all · 34FC Köln at home · 17TSG Hoffenheim all · 34TSG Hoffenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.121.791.71
W / D / L7 / 11 / 165 / 4 / 818 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.441.761.911.76
Goals against / match1.851.761.531.82
Clean sheets9%6%21%18%
Failed to score12%6%18%24%
Both teams scored79%88%65%65%
Over 2.565%76%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.591.711.56
xG against / match1.661.441.461.70
xG difference-0.180.140.25-0.14
Finishing vs xG-0.050.180.200.20
xPts / match1.271.441.581.38
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.320.210.33
Game state
Scored first41%53%47%35%
PPG when scoring first1.571.562.752.67
PPG when conceding first0.500.630.941.20
Came back from behind38%33%47%60%
Leads held44%46%86%80%
Minutes leading19%27%37%28%
Minutes level51%47%40%46%
Minutes trailing30%26%22%26%
First goal (min)42363433
First goal conceded (min)44463727
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%63%45%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%50%42%
Late goals for (76'+)0.560.650.290.18
Late goals against0.350.290.350.35
Style
Possession47%49%55%54%
Shots13.415.214.112.0
On target4.75.65.24.4
Shot conversion11%12%14%15%
Shots inside box70%69%69%70%
Big chances created2.52.92.82.5
Corners4.64.85.85.2
xG from set plays27%25%35%33%
Goals from headers16%17%22%23%
Pressure index11.013.314.512.4
Dominant minutes42.849.956.950.5
Pass accuracy80%80%80%79%
Fouls8.38.513.914.5
Cards2.002.062.262.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 26%1.891.781.562.051.33
4-4-25 15%1.82.22.21.461.69
4-3-34 12%2.252.251.251.471.11
4-3-1-24 12%1.752.251.02.011.21
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.361.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 23% P 28%3.8Draw 20% P 26%2.05Away 37% P 47%3.8Tie 20%

Double Chance

1.72Cologne or Draw 17% P 27%1.25Cologne or TSG Hoffenheim 23% P 37%1.72Cologne or Tie 17% P 37%1.33Tie or TSG Hoffenheim 22% P 37%1.33Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 22% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%28%34%+6.0
Draw26%26%22%-3.6
Away47%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Robert Schröder

Career
94 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.36 (4.19 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.14-0.4337
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.61
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.32+0.4470
Time added6.46.8-0.5430
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.38

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 41 210 53'9
2026-01-17 30 340 42'10
2026-01-10 · FC Köln 30 160 21'8
2025-12-11 70 291 7'6
2025-12-06 50 231 22'16
2025-07-24 50 250 68'6
2025-05-10 10 220 67'13
2025-04-19 71 290 27'9