Rating 7.41 (96th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
Momentum
– FSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| FSV Mainz 05 | at home | Stat | league | away | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.4 #12 |
| 12.1 #13 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #11 |
| 4.2 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 5.1 #7 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 11.0 #7 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.8 #3 |
| 2.3 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 15.3 #9 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 100.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 82.8 #18 |
| 49.7 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 34.3 #18 |
| 370.8 #16 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 390.1 #15 |
| 2.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #4 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.8 #17 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #12 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.6 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #16 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.3 #12 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 #16 |
| 1.6 #11 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 #10 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 10.5 #1 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.4 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #15 |
| 9.2 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.1 #13 |
| 4.6 #15 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 2.9 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #10 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
FSV Mainz 05
- injury Benedict Hollerbach #15 key player attacker · Achilles tendon rupture · 23 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 23
Venue
- Stadium
- Mewa Arena, Mainz
- Capacity
- 34,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 33,305
Teams
- Coaches
- Urs Fischer · Merlin Polzin
- Position
- 14 · 9
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Robin Braun
Weather
- Conditions
- mist
- Temperature
- 4.6° (feels 3.2°)
- Wind
- 1.8
- Humidity
- 97%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FSV Mainz 05
LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 9.98–8.39 · xPts 7.71
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–4
xG 1.41–2.59
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–0
xG 2.23–0.77
GER BI
- W
A
RB Leipzig
2–1
xG 2.0–1.92
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3–1
xG 3.51–1.08
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–2
xG 0.83–2.03
GER BI
DWDDWLWWWL 5W 3D 2L · 18 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 16 GA 13 · xG 16.47–17.09 · xPts 14.44
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–4
xG 1.41–2.59
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–0
xG 2.23–0.77
GER BI
- W
A
RB Leipzig
2–1
xG 2.0–1.92
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3–1
xG 3.51–1.08
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–2
xG 0.83–2.03
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 1.27–1.02
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
2–2
xG 1.09–2.77
GER BI
- D
H
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 1.58–0.28
GER BI
- W
H
Samsunspor
2–0
xG 2.0–0.77
UEFA ECL - D
A
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 0.54–3.86
GER BI
Hamburger SV
DDDWW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.78–6.73 · xPts 7.55
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–2
xG 1.72–1.84
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.84–1.63
GER BI
- D
H
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 2.56–2.41
GER BI
- D
A
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 0.37–0.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.29–0.54
GER BI
WWLDLDDDWW 4W 4D 2L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 14 · xG 13.34–14.69 · xPts 13.06
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–2
xG 1.72–1.84
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.84–1.63
GER BI
- D
H
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 2.56–2.41
GER BI
- D
A
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 0.37–0.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.29–0.54
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 0.58–2.49
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–1
xG 0.96–1.67
GER BI
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–4
xG 1.39–1.48
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
3–2
xG 1.47–1.03
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.18–1.29
GER BI
All meetings · 25 matches since 2005
Goals 33–30 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 52%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–11 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 0–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 3–2 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 0–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 0–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 1–3 FSV Mainz 05 neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 9 / 11 / 14 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 12% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 59% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 41% | 56% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 1.74 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.65 | 1.40 | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.34 | -0.50 | -0.96 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.28 | -0.50 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.60 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | -0.60 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.81 | 1.71 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.59 | 0.44 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 27% | 36% | 25% |
| Leads held | 53% | 50% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 23% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 49% | 58% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 28% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 36 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 45 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 52% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 60% | 54% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.1 | 13.6 | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 76% | 77% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 38% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 14% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.9 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.0 | 50.3 | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 76% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 1.94 | 2.68 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 3-3-1-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 | 0.64 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 10 | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.55 | 1.33 | 2.02 | 2.37 |
| xG difference | 0.36 | 0.50 | -0.79 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.41 | -0.43 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.70 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.50 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 20% | 25% | 38% |
| Leads held | 75% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 29% | 8% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 34% | 54% | 43% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 17% | 48% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 44 | 28 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 40% | 43% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 73% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 44% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 16.5 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| On target | 5.5 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 72% | 60% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 29% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 21% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 13.8 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | 53.6 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 78% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 12.0 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 22 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 44 | 22 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 15 | 9 / 6 / 7 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.36 | 1.23 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 32% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 23% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% | 59% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.60 | 1.85 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.31 | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.54 | -0.51 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.44 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.71 | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | -0.21 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 52% | 50% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.09 | 2.18 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 36% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 63% | 69% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 44% | 56% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 26% | 28% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 40 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 55% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 65% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 38% | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 16% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 12.1 | 14.2 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.3 | 51.5 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 12.4 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.86 | 2.56 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2412
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 28.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.0Home 26% P 46%3.4Draw 15% P 28%3.75Away 14% P 26%3.4Empate 15%3.9Hamburgo 13%3.3Tie 16%
Double Chance
1.25Mainz or Draw 14% P 37%1.3Mainz or Hamburg 14% P 36%1.28Mainz or Tie 14% P 36%1.7Tie or Hamburg 10% P 36%1.8Draw or Hamburg 10% P 27%1.8Empate ou Hamburgo 10%1.25Mainz ou Empate 14%1.3Mainz ou Hamburgo 14%
Draw No Bet
1.51 47%2.52 28%2.75Hamburgo 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 29% P 59%2.2No 21% P 41%2.05Não 23%1.7Sim 27%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 28% P 54%2.1Under 23% P 46%1.8Mais de 26%2.0Menos de 24%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 7%3.16 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 29%4.3312 - 14 17%10.0Over 14 7%10.0Moins de 6 7%10.0Plus de 14 7%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 44% | -1.8 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 30% | +1.8 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 26% | +0.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Robin Braun
- Career
- 13 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.23 (4.0 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.5 · 5.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.54
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 13 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.62 | 4.14 | +0.89 | 85 |
| Fouls / match | 21.5 | 22.3 | -0.86 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.7 | 5.4 | -1.25 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.54 | 0.32 | +2.37 | 100 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 6.8 | +1.66 | 96 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 53% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 8' | 9 |
| 2025-12-14 · FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 50' | 8 |
| 2025-11-22 · Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 34' | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 37' | 4 |
| 2025-09-27 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 24' | 8 |
| 2025-08-30 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 37' | 14 |